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Championship · Matchweek 9

Momentum

Swansea CityLEI
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
9

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,601

Teams

Coaches
Alan Sheehan · Martí Cifuentes Corvillo
Position
8 · 6
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
12.3° (feels 11.3°)
Wind
12.9
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

WDLDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 6.42–6.92 · xPts 6.66

  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 0.62–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 1–1 xG 1.77–1.28 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–1 xG 1.5–2.22 UK CHAMP
  • D H Hull City 2–2 xG 0.97–2.1 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 xG 1.56–0.58 UK CHAMP

Leicester City

WDDDD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 4.59–6.89 · xPts 5.27

  • D H Wrexham 1–1 xG 0.96–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 0.99–1.72 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 0–0 xG 1.3–0.82 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 2–2 xG 0.89–1.95 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 2–0 xG 0.44–1.45 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 17 matches since 2009

Swansea City 51 draws11 Leicester City

Goals 17–29 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 59%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 21 draws7 Leicester City

Goals 9–21 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 11 draws3 Leicester City

Goals 5–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Leicester City 0–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–3 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 3–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–3 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Leicester City 1–1 Swansea City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–2 Leicester City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 2–0 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 2–1 Swansea City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 4–0 Swansea City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 0–3 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Leicester City all · 46Leicester City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.131.04
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 612 / 16 / 185 / 9 / 9
Goals for / match1.241.481.261.17
Goals against / match1.281.171.481.48
Clean sheets26%30%13%13%
Failed to score22%9%20%17%
Both teams scored54%61%72%74%
Over 2.550%52%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.281.22
xG against / match1.371.371.471.67
xG difference-0.15-0.02-0.19-0.45
Finishing vs xG0.020.13-0.02-0.05
xPts / match1.281.361.261.12
Points vs xPts0.120.34-0.13-0.08
Game state
Scored first48%61%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.362.361.731.88
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.550.57
Came back from behind28%40%33%40%
Leads held72%69%46%50%
Minutes leading25%28%26%19%
Minutes level48%48%43%45%
Minutes trailing27%23%31%36%
First goal (min)46494051
First goal conceded (min)40373934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%48%59%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%50%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.370.43
Late goals against0.300.300.280.26
Style
Possession55%56%52%50%
Shots12.313.612.912.0
On target3.93.84.24.3
Shot conversion10%11%10%10%
Shots inside box58%60%59%66%
Big chances created1.71.71.71.5
Corners4.55.15.34.4
xG from set plays36%36%34%38%
Goals from headers13%16%12%11%
Pressure index12.815.212.69.9
Dominant minutes51.958.047.141.7
Pass accuracy79%80%80%79%
Fouls9.89.110.810.9
Cards2.001.911.962.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-1-11 2%3.01.00.00.611.68

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.5Home 37% P 37%3.4Draw 27% P 29%2.62Away 35% P 35%

Double Chance

1.44Swansea or Draw 33% P 33%1.3Swansea or Leicester 36% P 36%1.5Draw or Leicester 31% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.81 51%1.92 49%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 51%1.8No 51% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.66Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.1Over 44% P 46%1.66Under 56% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home37%36%35%-1.6
Draw29%30%32%+2.1
Away35%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.12
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 51 230 34'12
2025-09-13 40 200 8'10
2025-08-30 40 230 64'13
2025-08-16 · Swansea City 40 270 16'12
2025-04-18 40 231 31'11
2025-03-01 60 291 14'7
2025-02-25 40 210 50'10
2025-02-08 40 281 88'11
2025-01-11 30 230 6'7
2024-12-22 50 250 16'6