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Championship · Matchweek 10
Birmingham CityBRC
2–3
FT
Hull CityHull City

Momentum

– BRCHull City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Capacity
29,409
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,215

Teams

Coaches
Chris Davies · Sergej Jakirović
Position
17 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
12.8° (feels 12.0°)
Wind
4.3
Humidity
70%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Birmingham City

LWLDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 6.23–6.6 · xPts 6.82

  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 1.38–1.44 UK CHAMP
  • D H Sheffield Wednesday 2–2 xG 1.48–0.45 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–3 xG 0.36–2.34 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 1–0 xG 2.22–1.5 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 0–1 xG 0.78–0.86 UK CHAMP

Hull City

DWLDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 7.17–9.86 · xPts 6.03

  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 0.64–2.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 2–2 xG 1.63–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 1–2 xG 1.18–3.46 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 3–1 xG 1.63–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 2–2 xG 2.1–0.97 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2006

Birmingham City 68 draws12 Hull City

Goals 28–44 · 2.77 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Birmingham City 24 draws4 Hull City

Goals 9–12 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Birmingham City 13 draws1 Hull City

Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Hull City 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 2–3 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 2–1 Hull City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round Replays
  • D Hull City 1–1 Birmingham City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Birmingham City 0–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 0–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBirmingham City all · 46Birmingham City at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.391.911.631.58
W / D / L17 / 13 / 1612 / 8 / 323 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.241.701.491.54
Goals against / match1.220.961.351.33
Clean sheets22%30%29%29%
Failed to score24%9%18%12%
Both teams scored56%65%61%62%
Over 2.546%48%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.491.911.371.27
xG against / match1.141.001.661.91
xG difference0.350.91-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.210.120.27
xPts / match1.571.921.251.09
Points vs xPts-0.18-0.010.380.49
Game state
Scored first50%78%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.352.332.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.410.250.880.71
Came back from behind33%40%35%33%
Leads held71%67%72%65%
Minutes leading28%44%30%32%
Minutes level42%46%53%52%
Minutes trailing31%10%17%16%
First goal (min)39303233
First goal conceded (min)35464044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half49%44%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half39%50%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.170.270.33
Late goals against0.150.170.310.38
Style
Possession54%55%45%43%
Shots13.617.311.111.0
On target4.15.74.14.3
Shot conversion9%10%13%14%
Shots inside box64%63%68%68%
Big chances created2.43.02.22.3
Corners5.86.64.44.6
xG from set plays30%29%21%13%
Goals from headers21%24%14%19%
Pressure index14.418.39.37.6
Dominant minutes54.364.039.832.6
Pass accuracy77%77%72%71%
Fouls11.711.011.211.5
Cards2.112.002.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-1-11 2%1.02.02.01.420.96

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 53% P 53%3.7Draw 26% P 26%4.33Away 22% P 21%

Double Chance

1.2Birmingham or Draw 39% P 40%1.28Birmingham or Hull 37% P 37%1.95Draw or Hull 24% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 53%2.0Under 46% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home53%54%56%+2.6
Draw26%25%27%+1.4
Away21%21%17%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4098
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.66
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3335
Time added7.57.2+0.3259
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-04 30 140 36'6
2025-10-01 40 230 74'6
2025-09-20 50 150 17'7
2025-09-13 30 180 59'8
2025-08-30 30 230 49'4
2025-04-12 90 311 6'3
2025-03-29 40 220 8'8
2025-03-08 20 280 28'8
2025-02-08 40 151 27'5
2025-01-14 20 250 18'6