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Championship · Matchweek 10

Momentum

MIDIpswich Town
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,805

Teams

Coaches
Rob Edwards · Kieran McKenna
Position
2 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Matt Donohue

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
13.0° (feels 12.1°)
Wind
2.4
Humidity
66%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

DWDDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 5.3–5.09 · xPts 6.87

  • L A Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.02–0.51 UK CHAMP
  • D H Stoke City 0–0 xG 1.04–1.42 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 1–1 xG 0.55–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 0.93–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 2–2 xG 1.76–1.13 UK CHAMP

Ipswich Town

DWWDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 10.52–4.66 · xPts 10.54

  • W H Norwich City 3–1 xG 1.86–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • D A Bristol City 1–1 xG 1.69–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 2–1 xG 1.55–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 5–0 xG 2.09–0.46 UK CHAMP
  • D H Derby County 2–2 xG 3.32–1.45 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2000

Middlesbrough 99 draws8 Ipswich Town

Goals 35–32 · 2.58 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 42%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Middlesbrough 54 draws1 Ipswich Town

Goals 15–8 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Middlesbrough 22 draws1 Ipswich Town

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Ipswich Town 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 0–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 0–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Ipswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.831.48
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 523 / 15 / 89 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.491.421.741.61
Goals against / match1.020.751.021.30
Clean sheets29%42%37%30%
Failed to score26%29%13%17%
Both teams scored55%46%56%61%
Over 2.553%42%52%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.831.59
xG against / match1.050.951.031.22
xG difference0.530.670.800.36
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.21-0.090.02
xPts / match1.701.801.881.61
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.01-0.06-0.13
Game state
Scored first53%54%54%39%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.682.78
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.780.58
Came back from behind46%38%60%46%
Leads held79%86%79%75%
Minutes leading32%33%33%21%
Minutes level49%52%50%53%
Minutes trailing19%15%17%26%
First goal (min)37384050
First goal conceded (min)46474035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%51%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.500.52
Late goals against0.290.290.130.22
Style
Possession59%60%56%56%
Shots16.217.315.113.7
On target4.85.25.14.5
Shot conversion9%8%12%12%
Shots inside box64%63%67%66%
Big chances created2.42.32.82.2
Corners6.87.85.75.2
xG from set plays24%30%32%36%
Goals from headers12%15%12%19%
Pressure index19.721.018.816.9
Dominant minutes63.163.162.357.8
Pass accuracy84%84%81%80%
Fouls9.39.211.212.0
Cards1.611.081.932.48

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.4h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.87Home 33% P 31%3.3Draw 29% P 29%2.45Away 39% P 40%

Double Chance

1.53Middlesbrough or Draw 31% P 30%1.33Middlesbrough or Ipswich 35% P 36%1.4Draw or Ipswich 34% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 52%1.9No 49% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home31%31%31%-0.2
Draw29%28%24%-4.2
Away40%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Matt Donohue

Career
202 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.26 (4.07 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.634.05+1.0590
Fouls / match23.021.8+0.99
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4126
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-30 50 260 20'10
2025-09-14 60 300 45'13
2025-08-30 40 180 60'12
2025-08-23 · Ipswich Town 80 191 26'9
2025-08-10 21 190 71'13
2025-04-26 50 230 30'11
2025-04-18 112 210 59'9
2025-04-08 31 220 81'2
2025-03-29 · Middlesbrough 20 160 58'8
2025-03-12 51 280 67'14