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Championship · Matchweek 10
Norwich CityNorwich City
0–1
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– Norwich CityBristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Carrow Road, Norwich
Capacity
27,244
Surface
grass
Attendance
26,249

Teams

Coaches
Liam Manning · Gerhard Struber
Position
20 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Tom Nield

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.7° (feels 12.8°)
Wind
5.4
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Norwich City

DLDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 5.44–10.92 · xPts 4.88

  • L A Ipswich Town 1–3 xG 0.66–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 1.91–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 1–1 xG 1.06–2.14 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 2–3 xG 1.55–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • D A Coventry City 1–1 xG 0.27–4.63 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 6.53–6.0 · xPts 7.3

  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–2 xG 1.65–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 1.29–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 0–0 xG 1.45–0.68 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–3 xG 1.22–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 3–0 xG 0.93–0.86 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2007

Norwich City 104 draws8 Bristol City

Goals 33–27 · 2.73 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Norwich City 51 draws4 Bristol City

Goals 16–13 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Norwich City 11 draws3 Bristol City

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Bristol City 2–4 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 0–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 3–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 1–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricNorwich City all · 46Norwich City at home · 23Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.411.301.351.35
W / D / L19 / 8 / 199 / 3 / 1117 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.371.171.281.13
Goals against / match1.221.221.281.22
Clean sheets20%17%30%26%
Failed to score20%26%33%35%
Both teams scored61%56%46%52%
Over 2.548%44%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.411.181.16
xG against / match1.461.271.481.46
xG difference-0.100.14-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.240.10-0.03
xPts / match1.351.461.201.19
Points vs xPts0.06-0.160.150.16
Game state
Scored first52%48%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.082.092.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.680.580.670.67
Came back from behind27%21%31%33%
Leads held68%69%77%80%
Minutes leading28%24%30%28%
Minutes level48%53%41%43%
Minutes trailing24%24%29%29%
First goal (min)42493236
First goal conceded (min)46503029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%59%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%64%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.220.240.13
Late goals against0.300.300.240.17
Style
Possession54%56%49%46%
Shots12.613.712.211.7
On target4.54.54.14.2
Shot conversion11%9%10%10%
Shots inside box64%62%60%62%
Big chances created2.32.51.91.9
Corners5.35.74.85.0
xG from set plays25%27%24%29%
Goals from headers10%8%21%20%
Pressure index12.514.111.99.3
Dominant minutes53.258.843.939.0
Pass accuracy79%80%78%76%
Fouls10.210.09.510.3
Cards1.931.571.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 38% P 38%3.3Draw 28% P 27%2.8Away 33% P 35%

Double Chance

1.4Norwich or Draw 34% P 33%1.33Norwich or Bristol City 35% P 37%1.53Draw or Bristol City 31% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 56%2.1No 44% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 57%2.2Under 42% P 43%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.5
Draw27%28%28%-0.0
Away35%34%33%-0.4

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Tom Nield

Career
79 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.114.05+0.1057
Fouls / match23.321.8+1.27
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.140.17-0.4720
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
37' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 60 250 8'8
2025-09-13 · Bristol City 20 280 7'7
2025-08-23 60 370 12'6
2025-08-16 90 270 27'10
2025-04-12 10 310 88'2
2025-04-05 50 290 59'13
2025-03-08 71 230 12'6
2025-03-01 30 270 33'9
2025-02-21 · Bristol City 20 230 57'5
2025-02-11 40 180 75'6