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Championship · Matchweek 10
Sheffield UnitedSHU
1–0
FT
WatfordWatford

Momentum

– SHUWatford –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Capacity
32,702
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,431

Teams

Coaches
Chris Wilder · Javier Gracia Carlos
Position
24 · 12
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-2-2

Referee

Robert Madley

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
12.4° (feels 11.3°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
61%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Sheffield United

LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 2 GA 9 · xG 5.63–7.07 · xPts 5.58

  • L A Hull City 0–1 xG 2.91–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 1.02–2.11 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 1–0 xG 0.64–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.59–0.99 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–5 xG 0.46–2.09 UK CHAMP

Watford

LLWDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 10.99–6.19 · xPts 9.04

  • W H Oxford United 2–1 xG 4.01–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 2–2 xG 1.54–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 2–1 xG 3.46–1.18 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–1 xG 0.86–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 1.13–1.51 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Sheffield United 113 draws6 Watford

Goals 21–19 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 30%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sheffield United 52 draws3 Watford

Goals 8–7 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sheffield United 50 draws0 Watford

Goals 7–1 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Watford 0–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 1–0 Watford neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 1–0 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield United 1–1 Watford UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Watford 0–0 Sheffield United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Watford 3–0 Sheffield United neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 0–1 Watford neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSheffield United all · 46Sheffield United at home · 23Watford all · 46Watford away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.240.87
W / D / L18 / 6 / 229 / 4 / 1014 / 15 / 174 / 8 / 11
Goals for / match1.431.651.151.00
Goals against / match1.431.431.411.65
Clean sheets22%22%15%9%
Failed to score24%13%30%30%
Both teams scored56%70%59%65%
Over 2.559%74%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.641.861.341.19
xG against / match1.311.161.251.34
xG difference0.320.700.10-0.15
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.21-0.19-0.19
xPts / match1.571.791.431.30
Points vs xPts-0.26-0.44-0.20-0.43
Game state
Scored first54%56%26%22%
PPG when scoring first1.841.852.331.80
PPG when conceding first0.650.670.840.59
Came back from behind18%17%47%35%
Leads held62%60%67%40%
Minutes leading27%28%18%10%
Minutes level44%43%49%50%
Minutes trailing29%30%34%40%
First goal (min)39424853
First goal conceded (min)40413432
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%60%58%70%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%58%48%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.200.260.300.30
Late goals against0.260.260.280.35
Style
Possession52%58%51%51%
Shots13.415.413.812.0
On target4.34.84.43.5
Shot conversion11%11%8%8%
Shots inside box68%67%58%58%
Big chances created2.52.72.12.0
Corners6.67.54.94.4
xG from set plays35%38%27%31%
Goals from headers8%10%14%9%
Pressure index15.120.610.99.5
Dominant minutes50.559.547.041.8
Pass accuracy76%80%80%79%
Fouls10.39.811.010.8
Cards1.961.782.152.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sheffield United

0–15'118
16–30'911
31–45'106
46–60'1619
61–75'1110
76–90'912

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sheffield United · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)-0.365
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.392

Game state

When ahead-0.373
When level-0.117
When behind-0.355
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring-0.104

Situations

At home-0.154
Away-0.223
3 days rest or fewer-0.202
4+ days rest-0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
v bottom-tier opponents-0.303
As favourite-0.202
Evenly matched-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.347
Conceded when ahead+0.303
Conceded late (76+)+0.197

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.23

Watford · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017

Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16

Sheffield United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 41%1.261.631.791.471.44
4-4-211 24%2.01.640.911.641.36
3-4-2-16 13%1.01.331.671.891.36
4-2-2-24 9%2.01.750.252.50.62
4-3-33 6%0.00.01.01.01.34

Watford

Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.6h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 46%3.2Draw 29% P 29%3.6Away 26% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28Sheff Utd or Draw 37% P 37%1.36Sheff Utd or Watford 35% P 36%1.7Draw or Watford 28% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 52%1.9Under 49% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%44%-1.8
Draw29%28%30%+1.8
Away26%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Robert Madley

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.49 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
17.7 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.684.05+1.1494
Fouls / match21.421.8-0.39
Fouls per card4.75.4-1.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.17-0.0551
Time added8.37.2+1.2692
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-03 20 120 83'8
2025-09-27 50 190 30'7
2025-09-13 41 300 54'8
2025-08-17 40 270 41'12
2025-08-09 60 180 57'9
2025-04-21 70 241 13'11
2025-04-08 20 220 33'9
2025-03-29 70 271 13'8
2025-03-15 · Watford 51 190 51'9
2025-01-13 10 140 15'4