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Championship · Matchweek 10
Stoke CityStoke City
1–0
FT
WrexhamWrexham

Momentum

– Stoke CityWrexham –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
10

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,254

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Phil Parkinson
Position
5 · 18
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Thomas Bramall

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
12.1° (feels 11.2°)
Wind
6.0
Humidity
69%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

WLDDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 6.81–6.06 · xPts 7.32

  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 1.29–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.42–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 2.14–1.06 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 1.1–1.27 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 0.86–0.78 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

LWDDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.84–6.15 · xPts 7.16

  • D H Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.44–1.38 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 1–1 xG 0.94–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • D H Derby County 1–1 xG 0.75–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 3–2 xG 1.3–1.55 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–3 xG 2.4–1.41 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2015

Stoke City 20 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Stoke City 20 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Stoke City 20 draws1 Wrexham

Goals 4–3 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • L Wrexham 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 1–0 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 3–1 Wrexham UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.541.48
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 819 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.111.481.501.22
Goals against / match1.221.221.411.22
Clean sheets28%26%26%30%
Failed to score37%22%13%22%
Both teams scored44%61%65%56%
Over 2.544%56%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.220.91
xG against / match1.431.191.481.68
xG difference-0.190.26-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG-0.130.030.280.31
xPts / match1.281.551.220.91
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.120.320.57
Game state
Scored first44%52%52%48%
PPG when scoring first2.252.172.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.951.10
Came back from behind22%38%46%42%
Leads held71%69%63%64%
Minutes leading24%31%31%32%
Minutes level50%48%46%49%
Minutes trailing27%21%23%20%
First goal (min)37343736
First goal conceded (min)44474043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.370.26
Late goals against0.350.350.410.48
Style
Possession52%53%48%45%
Shots11.212.711.38.5
On target3.84.73.82.7
Shot conversion10%12%13%14%
Shots inside box65%67%66%64%
Big chances created1.82.12.31.7
Corners6.06.44.53.7
xG from set plays28%34%32%25%
Goals from headers16%15%29%15%
Pressure index13.316.310.17.1
Dominant minutes52.757.341.932.4
Pass accuracy78%79%78%76%
Fouls10.410.69.710.5
Cards2.302.261.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.1h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 44%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.4Away 28% P 29%

Double Chance

1.3Stoke or Draw 36% P 36%1.28Stoke or Wrexham 37% P 36%1.7Draw or Wrexham 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 54%2.0No 46% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 48%1.9Under 50% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 51%2.0Under 46% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away29%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Thomas Bramall

Career
131 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.73 (3.6 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
21.7 · 5.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 53 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.74.05-0.6420
Fouls / match21.421.8-0.43
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.35 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3831
Time added6.67.2-0.7118
First card
43' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 40% in last 15'
Cards to home side
52% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-04 50 220 22'10
2025-09-20 20 230 16'6
2025-09-13 20 180 14'9
2025-08-23 61 290 9'11
2025-05-25 41 201 45'10
2025-05-20 42 200 36'8
2025-04-27 30 250 34'8
2025-04-21 40 152 66'6
2025-04-12 40 152 38'2
2025-04-05 30 280 22'9