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Championship · Matchweek 11
Bristol CityBristol City
3–1
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– Bristol CitySouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,019

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · William Still
Position
7 · 16
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
12.0° (feels 11.5°)
Wind
9.0
Humidity
88%

Where to watch · 253

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

LDDLW 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 7.56–6.08 · xPts 7.96

  • W A Norwich City 1–0 xG 1.96–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–2 xG 1.65–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 1.29–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • D A Preston North End 0–0 xG 1.45–0.68 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–3 xG 1.22–1.86 UK CHAMP

Southampton

LDWDD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 7.79–4.85 · xPts 8.6

  • D H Swansea City 0–0 xG 2.62–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 1.02–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 2.11–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 1.04–0.55 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 1–3 xG 1.0–1.63 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 11 matches since 2007

Bristol City 71 draws3 Southampton

Goals 17–12 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 61 draws3 Southampton

Goals 15–11 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 21 draws2 Southampton

Goals 9–9 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Southampton 4–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 3–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 3–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 1–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 0–1 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–0 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.351.351.751.54
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1023 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.281.431.751.83
Goals against / match1.281.351.191.54
Clean sheets30%35%25%8%
Failed to score33%30%12%8%
Both teams scored46%39%71%88%
Over 2.546%48%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.711.64
xG against / match1.481.491.331.57
xG difference-0.29-0.280.380.06
Finishing vs xG0.100.220.040.20
xPts / match1.201.211.591.41
Points vs xPts0.150.130.160.13
Game state
Scored first39%44%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.332.202.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.670.671.261.20
Came back from behind31%29%54%46%
Leads held77%75%72%62%
Minutes leading30%33%34%31%
Minutes level41%38%49%49%
Minutes trailing29%29%18%20%
First goal (min)32284040
First goal conceded (min)30314446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.380.50
Late goals against0.240.300.270.38
Style
Possession49%52%56%54%
Shots12.212.714.413.1
On target4.14.05.35.1
Shot conversion10%11%12%14%
Shots inside box60%59%68%71%
Big chances created1.92.02.92.8
Corners4.84.75.85.0
xG from set plays24%20%28%32%
Goals from headers21%21%22%19%
Pressure index11.914.517.914.7
Dominant minutes43.948.959.054.2
Pass accuracy78%80%83%82%
Fouls9.58.810.711.5
Cards1.831.651.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 8 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.378
Early press (0-15, level)+0.568
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.105
When level+0.478
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.087
10 min after scoring+0.496

Situations

At home+0.154
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.423
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.244
As favourite+0.193
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.148
Conceded when ahead-0.285
Conceded late (76+)-0.408

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level +0.04

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Bristol City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-2-2-21 2%3.02.00.00.962.9

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 38% P 38%3.3Draw 28% P 28%2.8Away 33% P 34%

Double Chance

1.4Bristol City or Draw 34% P 33%1.33Bristol City or Southampton 35% P 36%1.53Draw or Southampton 31% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 55%2.1No 44% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 48%1.8Under 51% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 572 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.4
Draw28%28%28%+0.1
Away34%34%33%-0.5

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8480
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.18
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.12 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3139
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-04 30 190 68'7
2025-09-27 60 260 39'9
2025-09-20 · Southampton 80 250 15'10
2025-08-30 20 240 30'6
2025-08-16 70 252 45'10
2025-05-03 50 240 29'8
2025-04-18 22 201 45'10
2025-01-17 40 182 84'7
2025-01-04 10 230 83'5
2024-12-26 41 230 39'13