KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 11
Derby CountyDerby County
1–0
FT
Norwich CityNorwich City

Momentum

– Derby CountyNorwich City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Capacity
33,597
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,844

Teams

Coaches
John Eustace · Liam Manning
Position
21 · 20
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ben Toner

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
11.1° (feels 10.7°)
Wind
5.8
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Derby County

LDDDL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 4.75–5.16 · xPts 6.41

  • L A Oxford United 0–1 xG 0.32–1.94 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 1–1 xG 1.31–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.9–0.72 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 0.86–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 0–1 xG 0.35–0.74 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

LDLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 9 · xG 6.12–8.26 · xPts 5.59

  • L H Bristol City 0–1 xG 0.94–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–3 xG 0.66–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 1.91–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 1–1 xG 1.06–2.14 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 2–3 xG 1.55–1.3 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Derby County 96 draws7 Norwich City

Goals 30–29 · 2.68 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Derby County 43 draws3 Norwich City

Goals 14–13 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Derby County 11 draws3 Norwich City

Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Norwich City 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 2–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 0–1 Norwich City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 0–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 3–4 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 1–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricDerby County all · 46Derby County at home · 23Norwich City all · 46Norwich City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.501.571.411.52
W / D / L20 / 9 / 1710 / 6 / 719 / 8 / 1910 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.461.351.371.57
Goals against / match1.281.171.221.22
Clean sheets26%30%20%22%
Failed to score9%4%20%13%
Both teams scored65%65%61%65%
Over 2.552%39%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.231.271.351.30
xG against / match1.321.111.461.64
xG difference-0.090.16-0.10-0.35
Finishing vs xG0.230.070.020.27
xPts / match1.331.471.351.23
Points vs xPts0.170.090.060.29
Game state
Scored first54%52%52%56%
PPG when scoring first2.242.332.082.08
PPG when conceding first0.620.730.680.80
Came back from behind35%46%27%33%
Leads held69%71%68%67%
Minutes leading30%29%28%32%
Minutes level46%46%48%42%
Minutes trailing24%25%24%26%
First goal (min)40454236
First goal conceded (min)40364641
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%55%57%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half58%48%59%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.260.260.30
Late goals against0.300.260.300.30
Style
Possession44%48%54%52%
Shots11.011.912.611.5
On target3.63.74.54.4
Shot conversion13%11%11%14%
Shots inside box70%65%64%66%
Big chances created2.22.32.32.1
Corners4.55.55.35.0
xG from set plays39%44%25%23%
Goals from headers28%32%10%11%
Pressure index10.111.612.510.8
Dominant minutes39.945.753.247.7
Pass accuracy73%77%79%78%
Fouls12.311.910.210.4
Cards2.632.301.932.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-5-21 2%0.01.02.00.841.63

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 41%3.25Draw 29% P 29%3.2Away 29% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Derby or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Derby or Norwich 36% P 36%1.61Draw or Norwich 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 54%1.83No 50% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 47%1.66Under 57% P 53%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46%1.72Under 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%41%-0.1
Draw29%28%26%-1.9
Away30%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Ben Toner

Career
64 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.77 (3.66 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.25
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 42 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.384.05+0.5971
Fouls / match24.721.8+2.54
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.260.17+1.1792
Time added7.97.2+0.7974
First card
34' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-01 70 240 2'8
2025-09-20 40 320 39'5
2025-09-13 31 210 3'8
2025-04-18 61 301 3'5
2025-04-05 40 330 29'11
2025-03-29 70 291 34'11
2025-02-15 · Norwich City 30 270 56'5
2025-02-08 –– 13– –8
2025-02-01 20 231 67'4
2025-01-11 –– 22– –7