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Championship · Matchweek 11
Hull CityHull City
2–1
FT
Leicester CityLEI

Momentum

– Hull CityLEI –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,211

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Martí Cifuentes Corvillo
Position
10 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Matt Donohue

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.8° (feels 13.2°)
Wind
5.1
Humidity
76%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

WLDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 7 · xG 6.52–11.64 · xPts 4.65

  • W A Birmingham City 3–2 xG 1.45–2.75 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 0.64–2.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 2–2 xG 1.63–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 1–2 xG 1.18–3.46 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 3–1 xG 1.63–1.0 UK CHAMP

Leicester City

DDDWD 1W 4D 0L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 6.72–6.69 · xPts 6.91

  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 1.46–1.27 UK CHAMP
  • W A Swansea City 3–1 xG 2.01–1.93 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 1–1 xG 0.96–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 0.99–1.72 UK CHAMP
  • D H Coventry City 0–0 xG 1.3–0.82 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Hull City 76 draws7 Leicester City

Goals 24–24 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 34 draws3 Leicester City

Goals 11–13 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 22 draws1 Leicester City

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Leicester City 2–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 2–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 3–1 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–1 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Leicester City 0–0 Hull City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–1 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 0–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Leicester City all · 46Leicester City away · 23
Results
Matches49254623
Points per game1.631.681.131.04
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 712 / 16 / 185 / 9 / 9
Goals for / match1.491.441.261.17
Goals against / match1.351.361.481.48
Clean sheets29%28%13%13%
Failed to score18%24%20%17%
Both teams scored61%60%72%74%
Over 2.561%56%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.281.22
xG against / match1.661.421.471.67
xG difference-0.290.04-0.19-0.45
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.02-0.02-0.05
xPts / match1.251.411.261.12
Points vs xPts0.380.27-0.13-0.08
Game state
Scored first57%48%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.182.421.731.88
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.550.57
Came back from behind35%36%33%40%
Leads held72%80%46%50%
Minutes leading30%28%26%19%
Minutes level53%54%43%45%
Minutes trailing17%18%31%36%
First goal (min)32304051
First goal conceded (min)40383934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%48%59%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%50%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.370.43
Late goals against0.310.240.280.26
Style
Possession45%47%52%50%
Shots11.111.212.912.0
On target4.13.84.24.3
Shot conversion13%13%10%10%
Shots inside box68%68%59%66%
Big chances created2.22.11.71.5
Corners4.44.25.34.4
xG from set plays21%27%34%38%
Goals from headers14%9%12%11%
Pressure index9.311.012.69.9
Dominant minutes39.846.747.141.7
Pass accuracy72%73%80%79%
Fouls11.210.810.810.9
Cards2.552.081.962.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-5-21 2%3.01.00.00.521.73

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 26%3.4Draw 28% P 27%2.1Away 45% P 47%

Double Chance

1.7Hull or Draw 28% P 26%1.3Hull or Leicester 36% P 37%1.3Draw or Leicester 36% P 37%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%26%-0.3
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away47%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Matt Donohue

Career
202 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.26 (4.07 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.634.05+1.0490
Fouls / match23.021.8+0.97
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4026
Time added7.27.2-0.0245
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-17 40 261 20'6
2025-09-30 50 260 20'10
2025-09-14 60 300 45'13
2025-08-30 40 180 60'12
2025-08-23 80 191 26'9
2025-08-10 · Leicester City 21 190 71'13
2025-04-26 50 230 30'11
2025-04-18 112 210 59'9
2025-04-08 31 220 81'2
2025-03-29 20 160 58'8