KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 11
MillwallMillwall
2–0
FT
Stoke CityStoke City

Momentum

– MillwallStoke City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass
Attendance
13,792

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Mark Robins
Position
6 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

James Linington

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.1° (feels 12.6°)
Wind
6.0
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 6.75–8.49 · xPts 6.13

  • W A Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 1.52–2.1 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–0 xG 1.29–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–4 xG 1.58–3.09 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.28–1.77 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 1–0 xG 1.07–0.86 UK CHAMP

Stoke City

LDDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 6.94–5.53 · xPts 7.92

  • W H Wrexham 1–0 xG 0.99–0.25 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 1.29–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.42–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 2.14–1.06 UK CHAMP
  • L A Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 1.1–1.27 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 19 matches since 2005

Millwall 95 draws5 Stoke City

Goals 18–12 · 1.58 per match · BTTS 26% · over 2.5 21%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Millwall 72 draws1 Stoke City

Goals 13–5 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Millwall 32 draws0 Stoke City

Goals 7–2 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Stoke City 1–3 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 2–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 2–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 48Millwall at home · 24Stoke City all · 46Stoke City away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.751.200.96
W / D / L24 / 12 / 1213 / 3 / 815 / 10 / 216 / 4 / 13
Goals for / match1.331.381.110.74
Goals against / match1.061.131.221.22
Clean sheets40%46%28%30%
Failed to score21%21%37%52%
Both teams scored48%38%44%26%
Over 2.546%50%44%30%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.501.631.241.03
xG against / match1.331.151.431.67
xG difference0.180.49-0.19-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.26-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.471.631.281.01
Points vs xPts0.280.12-0.08-0.05
Game state
Scored first52%58%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.602.572.252.38
PPG when conceding first0.790.560.270.08
Came back from behind43%27%22%7%
Leads held86%87%71%75%
Minutes leading27%34%24%16%
Minutes level56%50%50%51%
Minutes trailing17%16%27%32%
First goal (min)44373742
First goal conceded (min)43444440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%52%55%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%62%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.330.150.04
Late goals against0.350.460.350.35
Style
Possession48%50%52%51%
Shots12.913.511.29.8
On target4.24.63.82.8
Shot conversion10%10%10%8%
Shots inside box68%71%65%62%
Big chances created2.32.41.81.4
Corners5.76.26.05.6
xG from set plays33%36%28%19%
Goals from headers16%19%16%19%
Pressure index11.914.813.310.2
Dominant minutes44.449.752.748.2
Pass accuracy70%72%78%78%
Fouls12.610.910.410.2
Cards1.901.382.302.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 39%3.25Draw 29% P 30%3.0Away 31% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Millwall or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Millwall or Stoke 35% P 35%1.57Draw or Stoke 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 49%1.8No 51% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home39%39%39%-0.2
Draw30%30%31%+1.5
Away31%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

James Linington

Career
298 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.82 (3.69 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 103 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.324.05+0.4969
Fouls / match22.021.8+0.11
Fouls per card5.15.4-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6280
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-04 20 150 38'6
2025-05-03 60 160 22'7
2025-04-26 60 240 8'6
2025-04-18 40 220 29'10
2025-04-05 50 140 52'7
2025-03-08 41 141 14'10
2025-03-04 30 160 90'6
2025-02-19 20 250 77'9
2025-02-04 –– 20– –6
2025-01-22 40 200 27'9