KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 11
Preston North EndPNE
0–1
FT
Birmingham CityBRC

Momentum

– PNEBRC –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,857

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Chris Davies
Position
8 · 17
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
13.0° (feels 12.5°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

WDDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 5.49–6.21 · xPts 6.47

  • L A West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 1.05–2.03 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 2–0 xG 1.51–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 2–2 xG 1.52–1.63 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bristol City 0–0 xG 0.68–1.45 UK CHAMP
  • W A Derby County 1–0 xG 0.74–0.35 UK CHAMP

Birmingham City

WLDDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 8.19–7.19 · xPts 7.68

  • L H Hull City 2–3 xG 2.75–1.45 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 1.38–1.44 UK CHAMP
  • D H Sheffield Wednesday 2–2 xG 1.48–0.45 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–3 xG 0.36–2.34 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 1–0 xG 2.22–1.5 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 24 matches since 2006

Preston North End 116 draws7 Birmingham City

Goals 28–25 · 2.21 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 32 draws5 Birmingham City

Goals 8–10 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 20 draws3 Birmingham City

Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Birmingham City 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 0–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 2–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 0–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Birmingham City all · 46Birmingham City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.390.87
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 817 / 13 / 165 / 5 / 13
Goals for / match1.201.221.240.78
Goals against / match1.351.301.221.48
Clean sheets20%22%22%13%
Failed to score26%26%24%39%
Both teams scored59%56%56%48%
Over 2.548%48%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.491.07
xG against / match1.631.421.141.27
xG difference-0.45-0.200.35-0.21
Finishing vs xG0.020.00-0.25-0.28
xPts / match1.131.251.571.23
Points vs xPts0.170.10-0.18-0.36
Game state
Scored first41%39%50%22%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.352.40
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.410.44
Came back from behind38%43%33%32%
Leads held62%73%71%83%
Minutes leading28%27%28%11%
Minutes level45%46%42%38%
Minutes trailing27%27%31%51%
First goal (min)36403952
First goal conceded (min)42433527
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%49%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%39%32%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.240.30
Late goals against0.300.350.150.13
Style
Possession46%48%54%52%
Shots10.911.313.69.9
On target3.63.44.12.6
Shot conversion11%11%9%8%
Shots inside box68%69%64%67%
Big chances created1.61.72.41.8
Corners4.55.35.85.0
xG from set plays34%35%30%33%
Goals from headers22%21%21%17%
Pressure index8.89.514.410.4
Dominant minutes40.542.354.344.6
Pass accuracy72%73%77%77%
Fouls10.410.111.712.3
Cards2.092.132.112.22

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 31% P 32%3.0Draw 31% P 31%2.55Away 37% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Preston or Draw 31% P 32%1.36Preston or Birmingham 34% P 34%1.36Draw or Birmingham 34% P 34%

Draw No Bet

2.01 46%1.722 54%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 46%1.72No 54% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.5Over 38% P 38%1.53Under 62% P 62%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 34%4.7512 - 14 19%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 35–37.5% · 235 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%32%27%-4.3
Draw31%32%34%+2.2
Away37%37%39%+2.2

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.538%39%39%+0.7

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2841
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.01
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.3043
Time added8.27.2+1.1488
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-04 70 150 5'11
2025-10-01 40 180 17'8
2025-09-20 · Preston North End 40 170 55'9
2025-08-30 30 180 18'10
2025-08-16 30 220 13'10
2025-05-25 20 350 16'9
2025-05-03 80 270 28'9
2025-04-18 10 280 45'8
2025-03-11 · Preston North End 40 210 20'10
2025-03-08 30 192 31'12