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Championship · Matchweek 11
Sheffield WednesdaySHF
0–1
FT
MiddlesbroughMID

Momentum

– SHFMID –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Hillsborough Stadium, Sheffield
Capacity
34,835
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,578

Teams

Coaches
Henrik Pedersen · Rob Edwards
Position
24 · 2
Formation
3-5-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
10.7° (feels 9.6°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
68%

Where to watch · 262

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Sheffield Wednesday

WDDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 5.17–12.04 · xPts 3.67

  • L A Charlton Athletic 1–2 xG 1.8–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–5 xG 0.97–4.68 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 2–2 xG 0.45–1.48 UK CHAMP
  • D H Queens Park Rangers 1–1 xG 0.92–2.53 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 2–0 xG 1.01–1.93 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 5.23–6.31 · xPts 6.1

  • W H Ipswich Town 2–1 xG 1.69–2.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.02–0.51 UK CHAMP
  • D H Stoke City 0–0 xG 1.04–1.42 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 1–1 xG 0.55–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 0.93–1.0 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 25 matches since 2009

Sheffield Wednesday 84 draws13 Middlesbrough

Goals 29–37 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sheffield Wednesday 32 draws5 Middlesbrough

Goals 14–16 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sheffield Wednesday 11 draws3 Middlesbrough

Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Middlesbrough 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 3–3 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 2–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 3–1 Sheffield Wednesday neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 1–4 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game0.390.431.651.52
W / D / L2 / 12 / 321 / 7 / 1522 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match0.630.611.491.56
Goals against / match1.931.911.021.28
Clean sheets9%4%29%16%
Failed to score50%52%26%24%
Both teams scored48%48%55%64%
Over 2.552%48%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.880.961.591.55
xG against / match2.011.951.051.15
xG difference-1.13-0.990.530.40
Finishing vs xG-0.25-0.35-0.100.01
xPts / match0.730.831.701.60
Points vs xPts-0.34-0.40-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first26%35%53%52%
PPG when scoring first1.001.002.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.100.070.670.64
Came back from behind9%6%46%50%
Leads held15%12%79%71%
Minutes leading13%16%32%31%
Minutes level41%45%49%47%
Minutes trailing46%39%19%22%
First goal (min)38363736
First goal conceded (min)36434645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%43%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%64%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.070.040.220.28
Late goals against0.430.430.290.28
Style
Possession45%47%59%58%
Shots8.79.316.215.3
On target2.52.54.84.5
Shot conversion7%6%9%10%
Shots inside box68%71%64%65%
Big chances created1.21.42.42.5
Corners4.34.86.85.8
xG from set plays33%35%24%18%
Goals from headers17%29%12%10%
Pressure index6.97.719.718.4
Dominant minutes32.836.563.163.2
Pass accuracy73%74%84%84%
Fouls11.811.79.39.5
Cards1.701.521.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
3-4-34 9%0.250.752.01.051.86
5-3-24 9%0.250.52.01.052.15

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.0Home 19% P 20%4.1Draw 23% P 25%1.61Away 58% P 55%

Double Chance

2.25Sheff Wed or Draw 21% P 23%1.22Sheff Wed or Middlesbrough 39% P 38%1.16Draw or Middlesbrough 41% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.751 25%1.252 75%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51%1.9Under 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 20–22.5% · away 52.5–55% · 365 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%21%23%+1.8
Draw25%25%25%-0.3
Away55%54%52%-1.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.12
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-05 40 240 38'7
2025-10-04 30 211 71'8
2025-09-27 51 230 34'12
2025-09-13 · Middlesbrough 40 200 8'10
2025-08-30 40 230 64'13
2025-08-16 40 270 16'12
2025-04-18 40 231 31'11
2025-03-01 60 291 14'7
2025-02-25 40 210 50'10
2025-02-08 40 281 88'11