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Championship · Matchweek 11
Swansea CitySwansea City
0–1
FT
Queens Park RangersQPR

Momentum

– Swansea CityQPR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,254

Teams

Coaches
Alan Sheehan · Julien Stéphan
Position
14 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
11.9° (feels 11.1°)
Wind
12.8
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

LDWLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 6.17–8.86 · xPts 5.43

  • D A Southampton 0–0 xG 0.35–2.62 UK CHAMP
  • L H Leicester City 1–3 xG 1.93–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 0.62–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 1–1 xG 1.77–1.28 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–1 xG 1.5–2.22 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

WDDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 8.03–5.7 · xPts 8.35

  • L H Millwall 1–2 xG 2.1–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 2–1 xG 0.91–1.65 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 0–0 xG 1.23–0.5 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 2.53–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 1–0 xG 1.27–1.1 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 29 matches since 2008

Swansea City 119 draws9 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 35–30 · 2.24 per match · BTTS 34% · over 2.5 38%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 43 draws3 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 10–7 · 1.7 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 30 draws2 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 3–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.261.09
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 616 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.241.481.330.91
Goals against / match1.281.171.591.57
Clean sheets26%30%22%26%
Failed to score22%9%28%39%
Both teams scored54%61%63%52%
Over 2.550%52%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.300.98
xG against / match1.371.371.331.45
xG difference-0.15-0.02-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG0.020.130.02-0.07
xPts / match1.281.361.371.07
Points vs xPts0.120.34-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first48%61%33%17%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.473.00
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.600.60
Came back from behind28%40%26%33%
Leads held72%69%84%100%
Minutes leading25%28%20%10%
Minutes level48%48%46%48%
Minutes trailing27%23%34%42%
First goal (min)46494550
First goal conceded (min)40373423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.390.26
Late goals against0.300.300.260.04
Style
Possession55%56%46%45%
Shots12.313.612.711.1
On target3.93.84.13.2
Shot conversion10%11%10%8%
Shots inside box58%60%63%63%
Big chances created1.71.71.81.2
Corners4.55.14.84.3
xG from set plays36%36%31%34%
Goals from headers13%16%17%20%
Pressure index12.815.211.77.9
Dominant minutes51.958.046.738.9
Pass accuracy79%80%76%76%
Fouls9.89.111.010.8
Cards2.001.911.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.6Draw 26% P 27%3.4Away 28% P 27%

Double Chance

1.3Swansea or Draw 36% P 36%1.28Swansea or QPR 37% P 37%1.72Draw or QPR 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 56%1.9No 49% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%44%-1.8
Draw27%28%30%+1.8
Away27%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.874.05-0.3335
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.89
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4029
Time added7.87.2+0.6871
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-30 60 251 45'11
2025-09-20 · Swansea City 90 240 12'14
2025-08-23 70 270 41'6
2025-08-16 20 120 27'7
2025-05-09 40 220 21'7
2025-05-03 20 250 13'12
2025-04-21 30 230 22'6
2025-04-12 30 110 45'3
2025-04-04 20 250 23'8
2025-03-15 30 170 45'14