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Championship · Matchweek 11
WrexhamWrexham
1–0
FT
Oxford UnitedOXF

Momentum

– WrexhamOXF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
11

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,547

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Gary Rowett
Position
19 · 20
Formation
3-5-1-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Elliot Bell

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
11.4° (feels 10.3°)
Wind
8.0
Humidity
67%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

WDDDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 4.68–5.74 · xPts 5.82

  • L A Stoke City 0–1 xG 0.25–0.99 UK CHAMP
  • D H Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.44–1.38 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 1–1 xG 0.94–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • D H Derby County 1–1 xG 0.75–0.86 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 3–2 xG 1.3–1.55 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

WLDLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 6.85–7.42 · xPts 7.16

  • W H Derby County 1–0 xG 1.94–0.32 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 1–2 xG 1.32–4.01 UK CHAMP
  • D A Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 0.5–1.23 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 0–1 xG 1.24–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 3–1 xG 1.86–1.22 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2013

Wrexham 20 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 3–2 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Wrexham 20 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 3–2 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Wrexham 20 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 3–2 · 1.67 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • W Oxford United 0–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Wrexham 1–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Wrexham 1–2 Oxford United UK FA Cup · 2nd Round
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.541.611.020.78
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 611 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.501.780.980.91
Goals against / match1.411.611.281.39
Clean sheets26%22%17%13%
Failed to score13%4%41%44%
Both teams scored65%74%52%56%
Over 2.550%56%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.170.99
xG against / match1.481.281.431.68
xG difference-0.260.26-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.280.24-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.221.541.210.95
Points vs xPts0.320.07-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first52%56%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.220.17
Came back from behind46%50%19%13%
Leads held63%62%58%44%
Minutes leading31%30%21%19%
Minutes level46%43%47%47%
Minutes trailing23%26%32%34%
First goal (min)37382829
First goal conceded (min)40373538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.150.13
Late goals against0.410.350.150.26
Style
Possession48%51%40%38%
Shots11.314.111.99.8
On target3.84.83.42.6
Shot conversion13%13%8%9%
Shots inside box66%68%54%53%
Big chances created2.32.81.61.6
Corners4.55.24.03.4
xG from set plays32%36%40%33%
Goals from headers29%38%16%19%
Pressure index10.113.16.43.8
Dominant minutes41.951.333.723.1
Pass accuracy78%80%69%70%
Fouls9.78.810.811.0
Cards1.591.261.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 46% P 47%3.3Draw 28% P 28%3.6Away 26% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28Wrexham or Draw 37% P 37%1.33Wrexham or Oxford Utd 36% P 36%1.8Draw or Oxford Utd 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 53%1.83No 50% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 44%1.83Under 50% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%44%-1.8
Draw28%28%30%+1.8
Away26%26%26%-0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Elliot Bell

Career
25 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.48 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
24.2 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.04
Cards to home side
55%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match22.421.8+0.44
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.050.17-1.792
Time added8.37.2+1.2692
First card
39' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-30 · Wrexham 40 160 25'6
2025-09-27 30 200 74'6
2025-08-23 70 260 7'7
2025-08-09 30 260 38'10
2025-04-26 100 260 16'12
2025-04-21 40 190 61'8
2025-04-09 · Oxford United 50 250 64'2
2025-02-22 20 181 44'12
2025-02-12 20 220 89'5
2025-01-11 50 261 23'8