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Championship · Matchweek 12
Blackburn RoversBBR
2–1
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– BBRSouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
13,686

Teams

Coaches
Valérien Ismaël · William Still
Position
23 · 18
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-3

Referee

Robert Madley

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
7.9° (feels 3.8°)
Wind
9.2
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 250

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

LLDLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 11 · xG 5.55–5.29 · xPts 6.87

  • L H Sheffield United 1–3 xG 0.99–1.19 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–2 xG 1.26–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Stoke City 1–1 xG 1.91–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 1–2 xG 0.74–0.62 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–3 xG 0.65–1.16 UK CHAMP

Southampton

DWDDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 8.32–4.39 · xPts 9.28

  • L A Bristol City 1–3 xG 1.53–1.17 UK CHAMP
  • D H Swansea City 0–0 xG 2.62–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 1.02–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 2.11–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 1.04–0.55 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2001

Blackburn Rovers 53 draws4 Southampton

Goals 14–16 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 33 draws4 Southampton

Goals 10–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 21 draws2 Southampton

Goals 5–8 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Southampton 3–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 4–0 Blackburn Rovers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 3–0 Southampton neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–2 Blackburn Rovers UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–0 Blackburn Rovers UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Blackburn Rovers UK PL · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.130.911.751.54
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1023 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match0.910.831.751.83
Goals against / match1.221.171.191.54
Clean sheets26%22%25%8%
Failed to score35%30%12%8%
Both teams scored48%56%71%88%
Over 2.539%30%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.711.64
xG against / match1.301.151.331.57
xG difference-0.100.110.380.06
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.430.040.20
xPts / match1.321.461.591.41
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.540.160.13
Game state
Scored first46%39%52%54%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.520.671.261.20
Came back from behind26%38%54%46%
Leads held56%40%72%62%
Minutes leading21%14%34%31%
Minutes level55%61%49%49%
Minutes trailing24%24%18%20%
First goal (min)44514040
First goal conceded (min)49534446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.380.50
Late goals against0.390.430.270.38
Style
Possession48%48%56%54%
Shots11.511.614.413.1
On target3.23.25.35.1
Shot conversion8%7%12%14%
Shots inside box67%69%68%71%
Big chances created2.01.72.92.8
Corners5.35.85.85.0
xG from set plays27%30%28%32%
Goals from headers27%26%22%19%
Pressure index10.110.717.914.7
Dominant minutes44.645.859.054.2
Pass accuracy74%73%83%82%
Fouls10.59.810.711.5
Cards2.172.001.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
3-1-4-21 2%0.00.03.00.782.71

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.0Home 31% P 30%3.2Draw 29% P 29%2.37Away 40% P 41%

Double Chance

1.53Blackburn or Draw 31% P 30%1.36Blackburn or Southampton 35% P 35%1.36Draw or Southampton 35% P 35%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 45%1.66Under 57% P 55%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 55%1.9Under 49% P 45%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 40–42.5% · 560 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%31%31%-0.2
Draw29%28%24%-4.2
Away41%41%46%+4.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

Robert Madley

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.49 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
17.7 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.684.05+1.1494
Fouls / match21.421.8-0.39
Fouls per card4.75.4-1.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.17-0.0551
Time added8.37.2+1.2692
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 10 130 54'8
2025-10-03 20 120 83'8
2025-09-27 50 190 30'7
2025-09-13 41 300 54'8
2025-08-17 · Southampton 40 270 41'12
2025-08-09 60 180 57'9
2025-04-21 70 241 13'11
2025-04-08 20 220 33'9
2025-03-29 70 271 13'8
2025-03-15 51 190 51'9