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Championship · Matchweek 12
Coventry CityCVC
3–1
FT
WatfordWatford

Momentum

– CVCWatford –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry
Capacity
32,609
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,109

Teams

Coaches
Frank Lampard · Javier Gracia Carlos
Position
1 · 12
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-3-3

Referee

Dean Whitestone

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
9.1° (feels 5.4°)
Wind
9.2
Humidity
64%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Coventry City

WWWWW 5W 0D 0L · 15 pts (3.0 ppg) · GF 16 GA 1 · xG 13.69–4.98 · xPts 11.19

  • W A Portsmouth 2–1 xG 2.55–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 2–0 xG 1.02–1.26 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 5–0 xG 4.68–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • W A Millwall 4–0 xG 3.09–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 3–0 xG 2.34–0.36 UK CHAMP

Watford

WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 11.12–6.64 · xPts 8.96

  • W H West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 1.02–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 0–1 xG 1.08–2.12 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 2–1 xG 4.01–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 2–2 xG 1.54–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 2–1 xG 3.46–1.18 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Coventry City 87 draws7 Watford

Goals 34–35 · 3.14 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 73%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Coventry City 54 draws1 Watford

Goals 20–12 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Coventry City 41 draws0 Watford

Goals 12–4 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Watford 0–4 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 3–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Coventry City 2–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Watford 1–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–2 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 3–3 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 2–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 0–1 Coventry City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Coventry City 0–0 Watford neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 3–2 Coventry City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCoventry City all · 46Coventry City at home · 23Watford all · 46Watford away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game2.072.391.240.87
W / D / L28 / 11 / 717 / 4 / 214 / 15 / 174 / 8 / 11
Goals for / match2.112.221.151.00
Goals against / match0.980.831.411.65
Clean sheets37%35%15%9%
Failed to score15%17%30%30%
Both teams scored59%61%59%65%
Over 2.563%65%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match2.042.351.341.19
xG against / match1.141.091.251.34
xG difference0.901.270.10-0.15
Finishing vs xG0.07-0.14-0.19-0.19
xPts / match1.832.031.431.30
Points vs xPts0.230.36-0.20-0.43
Game state
Scored first65%56%26%22%
PPG when scoring first2.433.002.331.80
PPG when conceding first1.551.860.840.59
Came back from behind53%71%47%35%
Leads held80%100%67%40%
Minutes leading38%39%18%10%
Minutes level50%48%49%50%
Minutes trailing12%13%34%40%
First goal (min)33354853
First goal conceded (min)45423432
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half53%59%58%70%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%47%48%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.480.570.300.30
Late goals against0.170.170.280.35
Style
Possession55%58%51%51%
Shots16.318.013.812.0
On target5.65.84.43.5
Shot conversion13%12%8%8%
Shots inside box72%72%58%58%
Big chances created2.83.22.12.0
Corners5.35.94.94.4
xG from set plays36%34%27%31%
Goals from headers20%14%14%9%
Pressure index17.021.310.99.5
Dominant minutes58.865.347.041.8
Pass accuracy80%82%80%79%
Fouls9.69.511.010.8
Cards1.611.352.152.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Coventry City

0–15'155
16–30'106
31–45'216
46–60'189
61–75'1111
76–90'228

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Coventry City · 4 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.28

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.104
Early press (0-15, level)-0.284
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.242

Game state

When level+0.024
When behind-0.224
10 min after conceding-0.264

Situations

At home+0.102
Away-0.342
4+ days rest-0.104

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.163
As underdog-0.163

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.462

Behind vs level -0.24

Watford · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.128
Early press (0-15, level)-0.178
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.264

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.198
When behind-0.055
10 min after conceding-0.218
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away-0.014
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.186

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.203
As underdog-0.126

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.308
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)+0.068

Congested vs rested +0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.14

Coventry City

Current: winless 4 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 78%2.142.170.862.091.12
4-4-24 9%2.252.251.51.831.58
3-4-2-11 2%1.01.01.01.40.96
4-3-31 2%3.03.01.02.011.29
4-1-4-11 2%0.02.03.01.310.85

Watford

Current: winless 2 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.55Home 61% P 61%4.33Draw 22% P 22%5.5Away 17% P 17%

Double Chance

1.14Coventry or Draw 41% P 41%1.2Coventry or Watford 39% P 39%2.37Draw or Watford 20% P 19%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 53%2.0No 46% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 56%1.83Under 50% P 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home61%61%62%+0.4
Draw22%23%23%+0.7
Away17%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Dean Whitestone

Career
255 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
2.93 (2.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 107 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.324.05-1.328
Fouls / match21.021.8-0.79
Fouls per card6.45.4+1.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added7.37.2+0.0953
First card
42' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-27 30 270 23'8
2025-09-13 · Watford 30 260 58'9
2025-08-23 30 270 54'11
2025-08-09 30 250 41'15
2025-04-26 30 270 43'5
2025-04-18 60 220 42'10
2025-04-08 40 250 4'2
2025-04-05 20 230 28'6
2025-03-15 · Coventry City 30 201 54'6
2025-03-12 –– 19– –7