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Championship · Matchweek 12

Momentum

Hull CityCHA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,804

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Nathan Jones
Position
8 · 7
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
7.2° (feels 2.9°)
Wind
9.3
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

LDWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 6.24–12.71 · xPts 3.79

  • W H Leicester City 2–1 xG 1.34–2.07 UK CHAMP
  • W A Birmingham City 3–2 xG 1.45–2.75 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 0.64–2.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 2–2 xG 1.63–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 1–2 xG 1.18–3.46 UK CHAMP

Charlton Athletic

WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 5.93–8.88 · xPts 5.16

  • W A Ipswich Town 3–0 xG 1.89–3.03 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 xG 1.41–1.8 UK CHAMP
  • L A Preston North End 0–2 xG 0.74–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 0.72–1.9 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 3–0 xG 1.16–0.65 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 10 matches since 2007

Hull City 24 draws4 Charlton Athletic

Goals 14–11 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 24 draws4 Charlton Athletic

Goals 14–11 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 12 draws2 Charlton Athletic

Goals 10–6 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Charlton Athletic 2–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 2–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 6–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 2–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 0–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 1–1 Hull City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 1–2 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Charlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic away · 23
Results
Matches49254623
Points per game1.631.681.150.96
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 713 / 14 / 194 / 10 / 9
Goals for / match1.491.440.960.91
Goals against / match1.351.361.261.39
Clean sheets29%28%28%22%
Failed to score18%24%22%26%
Both teams scored61%60%54%56%
Over 2.561%56%39%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.151.03
xG against / match1.661.421.551.76
xG difference-0.290.04-0.40-0.72
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.02-0.19-0.12
xPts / match1.251.411.191.00
Points vs xPts0.380.27-0.03-0.04
Game state
Scored first57%48%48%39%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.051.78
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.270.38
Came back from behind35%36%24%36%
Leads held72%80%59%44%
Minutes leading30%28%16%14%
Minutes level53%54%56%61%
Minutes trailing17%18%28%26%
First goal (min)32305661
First goal conceded (min)40384350
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%66%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%53%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.260.22
Late goals against0.310.240.330.61
Style
Possession45%47%42%40%
Shots11.111.211.09.2
On target4.13.83.53.0
Shot conversion13%13%9%10%
Shots inside box68%68%68%68%
Big chances created2.22.11.91.7
Corners4.44.24.13.2
xG from set plays21%27%39%44%
Goals from headers14%9%19%20%
Pressure index9.311.07.04.7
Dominant minutes39.846.734.427.4
Pass accuracy72%73%70%69%
Fouls11.210.812.012.7
Cards2.552.082.202.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.037
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.172
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.373
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.35Home 40% P 40%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.9Away 32% P 32%

Double Chance

1.4Hull or Draw 34% P 34%1.3Hull or Charlton 36% P 36%1.57Draw or Charlton 30% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 54%1.9No 49% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 48%1.72Under 55% P 52%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

2.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%39%39%-0.2
Draw28%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Andrew Kitchen

Career
95 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.3110
Fouls / match22.821.8+0.82
Fouls per card7.05.4+2.14 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0255
Time added7.57.2+0.3259
First card
43' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 30 100 10'10
2025-10-05 40 240 17'8
2025-09-27 30 260 7'5
2025-09-19 10 8
2025-08-30 · Charlton Athletic 40 230 17'8
2025-08-17 · Hull City 20 150 12'9
2025-08-08 50 381 19'10
2025-05-18 10 270 46'5
2025-05-03 10 210 90'5
2025-04-26 10 260 33'5