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Championship · Matchweek 12

Momentum

Ipswich TownWBA
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,447

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · Ryan Mason
Position
14 · 11
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
11.1° (feels 10.0°)
Wind
9.1
Humidity
66%

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2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

WDWLL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 10.47–6.34 · xPts 9.53

  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–3 xG 3.03–1.89 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 2.35–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 3–1 xG 1.86–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • D A Bristol City 1–1 xG 1.69–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 2–1 xG 1.55–0.81 UK CHAMP

West Bromwich Albion

DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 6.33–6.26 · xPts 6.82

  • L A Watford 1–2 xG 0.92–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 2–1 xG 2.03–1.05 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–3 xG 0.66–1.29 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 1–0 xG 1.0–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.72–0.99 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2006

Ipswich Town 24 draws6 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 9–21 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ipswich Town 24 draws4 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 8–14 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ipswich Town 13 draws1 West Bromwich Albion

Goals 4–5 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 2–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 1–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 2–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 4–0 Ipswich Town neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23West Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.832.171.150.83
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 113 / 14 / 195 / 4 / 14
Goals for / match1.741.871.040.87
Goals against / match1.020.741.261.43
Clean sheets37%44%30%26%
Failed to score13%9%33%35%
Both teams scored56%52%50%48%
Over 2.552%56%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.441.21
xG against / match1.030.841.051.32
xG difference0.801.230.39-0.11
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.20-0.40-0.34
xPts / match1.882.161.621.29
Points vs xPts-0.060.02-0.47-0.47
Game state
Scored first54%70%41%30%
PPG when scoring first2.682.622.052.14
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.380.14
Came back from behind60%86%17%12%
Leads held79%82%62%71%
Minutes leading33%45%25%18%
Minutes level50%48%50%49%
Minutes trailing17%8%25%33%
First goal (min)40324246
First goal conceded (min)40464541
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%53%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.260.35
Late goals against0.130.040.260.22
Style
Possession56%56%52%50%
Shots15.116.513.411.7
On target5.15.74.13.5
Shot conversion12%11%8%7%
Shots inside box67%68%65%67%
Big chances created2.83.52.11.9
Corners5.76.25.24.2
xG from set plays32%29%36%30%
Goals from headers12%5%26%30%
Pressure index18.820.713.410.4
Dominant minutes62.366.752.948.6
Pass accuracy81%81%80%79%
Fouls11.210.310.210.4
Cards1.931.391.832.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.22

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.95Home 49% P 50%3.3Draw 29% P 28%4.2Away 23% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Ipswich or Draw 39% P 39%1.33Ipswich or West Brom 35% P 36%1.8Draw or West Brom 26% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 49%1.8No 51% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 44%1.66Under 57% P 56%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 59%2.1Under 44% P 41%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 20–22.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%49%47%-2.2
Draw28%29%33%+3.5
Away22%22%20%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 121 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.284.05+0.4163
Fouls / match22.221.8+0.28
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.2867
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 40 250 34'8
2025-09-30 10 200 51'6
2025-09-22 10 200 30'7
2025-08-29 60 270 45'14
2025-08-23 61 180 25'12
2025-08-09 20 7
2025-03-12 61 200 45'7
2025-02-15 10 200 82'6
2025-01-31 20 191 63'9
2025-01-27 30 200 31'4