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Championship · Matchweek 12
MiddlesbroughMID
1–1
FT
WrexhamWrexham

Momentum

– MIDWrexham –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,046

Teams

Coaches
Rob Edwards · Phil Parkinson
Position
2 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
7.4° (feels 2.6°)
Wind
12.7
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

DDLWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 6.09–6.44 · xPts 6.63

  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.79–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 2–1 xG 1.69–2.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.02–0.51 UK CHAMP
  • D H Stoke City 0–0 xG 1.04–1.42 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 1–1 xG 0.55–1.04 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

DDDLW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 4.13–4.33 · xPts 6.5

  • W H Oxford United 1–0 xG 0.75–0.14 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 0–1 xG 0.25–0.99 UK CHAMP
  • D H Birmingham City 1–1 xG 1.44–1.38 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 1–1 xG 0.94–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • D H Derby County 1–1 xG 0.75–0.86 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Middlesbrough 02 draws0 Wrexham

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Middlesbrough 02 draws0 Wrexham

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Middlesbrough 02 draws0 Wrexham

Goals 3–3 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Wrexham 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough at home · 24Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches49244623
Points per game1.651.791.541.48
W / D / L22 / 15 / 1212 / 7 / 519 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.491.421.501.22
Goals against / match1.020.751.411.22
Clean sheets29%42%26%30%
Failed to score26%29%13%22%
Both teams scored55%46%65%56%
Over 2.553%42%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.591.621.220.91
xG against / match1.050.951.481.68
xG difference0.530.67-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG-0.10-0.210.280.31
xPts / match1.701.801.220.91
Points vs xPts-0.04-0.010.320.57
Game state
Scored first53%54%52%48%
PPG when scoring first2.462.622.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.670.710.951.10
Came back from behind46%38%46%42%
Leads held79%86%63%64%
Minutes leading32%33%31%32%
Minutes level49%52%46%49%
Minutes trailing19%15%23%20%
First goal (min)37383736
First goal conceded (min)46474043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%53%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%61%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.170.370.26
Late goals against0.290.290.410.48
Style
Possession59%60%48%45%
Shots16.217.311.38.5
On target4.85.23.82.7
Shot conversion9%8%13%14%
Shots inside box64%63%66%64%
Big chances created2.42.32.31.7
Corners6.87.84.53.7
xG from set plays24%30%32%25%
Goals from headers12%15%29%15%
Pressure index19.721.010.17.1
Dominant minutes63.163.141.932.4
Pass accuracy84%84%78%76%
Fouls9.39.29.710.5
Cards1.611.081.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
3-4-1-23 6%1.01.672.670.881.17

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 53% P 54%3.5Draw 26% P 26%4.5Away 21% P 20%

Double Chance

1.22Middlesbrough or Draw 39% P 40%1.28Middlesbrough or Wrexham 37% P 37%1.9Draw or Wrexham 25% P 23%

Draw No Bet

1.361 69%3.02 31%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home54%54%56%+2.6
Draw26%25%27%+1.4
Away20%21%17%-4.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.06
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-09-26 70 290 47'6
2025-08-23 80 280 39'13
2025-08-16 60 211 25'12
2025-08-09 30 220 25'9
2025-05-03 10 270 65'5
2025-04-26 30 260 25'10
2025-04-18 40 300 2'12
2025-04-09 20 230 21'2
2025-04-02 30 210 15'8
2025-03-11 40 170 90'6