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Championship · Matchweek 12
MillwallMillwall
1–0
FT
Leicester CityLEI

Momentum

– MillwallLEI –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,738

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Martí Cifuentes Corvillo
Position
4 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

James Bell

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
11.4° (feels 10.5°)
Wind
6.1
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

DLWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 7.57–8.5 · xPts 6.67

  • W H Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.89–0.87 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 1.52–2.1 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–0 xG 1.29–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–4 xG 1.58–3.09 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.28–1.77 UK CHAMP

Leicester City

DDWDL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 7.49–7.2 · xPts 7.03

  • L A Hull City 1–2 xG 2.07–1.34 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 1.46–1.27 UK CHAMP
  • W A Swansea City 3–1 xG 2.01–1.93 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 1–1 xG 0.96–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 0.99–1.72 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 16 matches since 2005

Millwall 82 draws6 Leicester City

Goals 21–20 · 2.56 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Millwall 51 draws4 Leicester City

Goals 11–13 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Millwall 21 draws2 Leicester City

Goals 7–7 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Leicester City 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 2–3 Leicester City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Leicester City 3–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Leicester City UK FA Cup · 5th Round
  • L Millwall 1–3 Leicester City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 3–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 48Millwall at home · 24Leicester City all · 46Leicester City away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.751.131.04
W / D / L24 / 12 / 1213 / 3 / 812 / 16 / 185 / 9 / 9
Goals for / match1.331.381.261.17
Goals against / match1.061.131.481.48
Clean sheets40%46%13%13%
Failed to score21%21%20%17%
Both teams scored48%38%72%74%
Over 2.546%50%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.501.631.281.22
xG against / match1.331.151.471.67
xG difference0.180.49-0.19-0.45
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.26-0.02-0.05
xPts / match1.471.631.261.12
Points vs xPts0.280.12-0.13-0.08
Game state
Scored first52%58%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.602.571.731.88
PPG when conceding first0.790.560.550.57
Came back from behind43%27%33%40%
Leads held86%87%46%50%
Minutes leading27%34%26%19%
Minutes level56%50%43%45%
Minutes trailing17%16%31%36%
First goal (min)44374051
First goal conceded (min)43443934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%52%48%59%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%50%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.330.370.43
Late goals against0.350.460.280.26
Style
Possession48%50%52%50%
Shots12.913.512.912.0
On target4.24.64.24.3
Shot conversion10%10%10%10%
Shots inside box68%71%59%66%
Big chances created2.32.41.71.5
Corners5.76.25.34.4
xG from set plays33%36%34%38%
Goals from headers16%19%12%11%
Pressure index11.914.812.69.9
Dominant minutes44.449.747.141.7
Pass accuracy70%72%80%79%
Fouls12.610.910.810.9
Cards1.901.381.962.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 30%3.2Draw 29% P 29%2.6Away 36% P 42%

Double Chance

1.5Millwall or Draw 32% P 29%1.36Millwall or Leicester 35% P 36%1.44Draw or Leicester 33% P 35%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 51%1.83No 50% P 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 45%1.66Under 57% P 55%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

2.51.57Over 59%2.25Under 41%
3.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 40–42.5% · 469 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home30%29%31%+2.1
Draw29%30%25%-4.9
Away42%41%44%+2.7

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes51%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%44%43%-1.2

James Bell

Career
75 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.95 (3.81 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.964.05-0.1747
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.33
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.1949
Time added7.77.2+0.5567
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 50 210 43'7
2025-08-09 40 251 25'10
2025-05-03 20 180 48'7
2025-04-28 10 100 49'6
2025-04-21 30 220 73'6
2025-04-08 30 130 39'2
2025-04-05 60 320 18'6
2025-03-07 20 180 69'6
2025-02-22 71 260 52'12
2025-02-15 · Millwall 30 300 82'3