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Championship · Matchweek 12
PortsmouthPortsmouth
0–1
FT
Stoke CityStoke City

Momentum

– PortsmouthStoke City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,164

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Mark Robins
Position
17 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
10.5° (feels 9.5°)
Wind
11.3
Humidity
74%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

LDWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 4.49–8.13 · xPts 4.48

  • L H Coventry City 1–2 xG 0.79–2.55 UK CHAMP
  • D A Leicester City 1–1 xG 1.27–1.46 UK CHAMP
  • W H Middlesbrough 1–0 xG 0.51–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 2–2 xG 1.11–1.54 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.81–1.55 UK CHAMP

Stoke City

DDDWL 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 6.71–6.15 · xPts 7.41

  • L A Millwall 0–2 xG 0.87–1.89 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 1–0 xG 0.99–0.25 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 1.29–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.42–1.04 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 2.14–1.06 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 8 matches since 2008

Portsmouth 31 draws4 Stoke City

Goals 12–15 · 3.37 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 75%

Last 10 · 8 matches

Portsmouth 31 draws4 Stoke City

Goals 12–15 · 3.37 per match · BTTS 75% · over 2.5 75%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 20 draws3 Stoke City

Goals 8–11 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Stoke City 1–3 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 0–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 6–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 1–2 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 1–0 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 2–1 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Stoke City all · 46Stoke City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.301.200.96
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 915 / 10 / 216 / 4 / 13
Goals for / match1.071.091.110.74
Goals against / match1.391.001.221.22
Clean sheets22%26%28%30%
Failed to score28%30%37%52%
Both teams scored54%48%44%26%
Over 2.544%39%44%30%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.241.03
xG against / match1.241.121.431.67
xG difference-0.060.34-0.19-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.37-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.361.601.281.01
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.30-0.08-0.05
Game state
Scored first46%48%44%35%
PPG when scoring first2.192.272.252.38
PPG when conceding first0.300.360.270.08
Came back from behind27%31%22%7%
Leads held64%67%71%75%
Minutes leading18%23%24%16%
Minutes level51%51%50%51%
Minutes trailing31%27%27%32%
First goal (min)50453742
First goal conceded (min)41454440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%55%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%62%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.150.04
Late goals against0.280.130.350.35
Style
Possession50%54%52%51%
Shots12.215.411.29.8
On target3.74.43.82.8
Shot conversion9%7%10%8%
Shots inside box65%67%65%62%
Big chances created1.61.81.81.4
Corners5.66.36.05.6
xG from set plays40%41%28%19%
Goals from headers16%20%16%19%
Pressure index11.714.813.310.2
Dominant minutes49.757.052.748.2
Pass accuracy74%74%78%78%
Fouls10.29.810.410.2
Cards1.931.742.302.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.87Home 33% P 33%3.1Draw 31% P 29%2.6Away 36% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5Portsmouth or Draw 32% P 31%1.36Portsmouth or Stoke 35% P 35%1.4Draw or Stoke 34% P 34%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 52%2.0No 46% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 45%1.8Under 53% P 55%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49% P 45%1.8Under 51% P 55%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%31%-2.8
Draw29%28%28%-0.1
Away38%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.12
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.98 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-22 40 120 72'9
2025-10-05 40 240 38'7
2025-10-04 30 211 71'8
2025-09-27 51 230 34'12
2025-09-13 40 200 8'10
2025-08-30 40 230 64'13
2025-08-16 40 270 16'12
2025-04-18 · Portsmouth 40 231 31'11
2025-03-01 60 291 14'7
2025-02-25 40 210 50'10