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Championship · Matchweek 12
Swansea CitySwansea City
2–1
FT
Norwich CityNorwich City

Momentum

– Swansea CityNorwich City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
12

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
14,729

Teams

Coaches
Alan Sheehan · Liam Manning
Position
16 · 22
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Adam Herczeg

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
8.9° (feels 4.8°)
Wind
10.7
Humidity
73%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

DWLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.18–8.38 · xPts 4.99

  • L H Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 0.5–1.74 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 0–0 xG 0.35–2.62 UK CHAMP
  • L H Leicester City 1–3 xG 1.93–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 0.62–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 1–1 xG 1.77–1.28 UK CHAMP

Norwich City

DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 5.94–8.21 · xPts 5.5

  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 1.37–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 0–1 xG 0.94–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–3 xG 0.66–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 1.91–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • D A Stoke City 1–1 xG 1.06–2.14 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 24 matches since 2008

Swansea City 104 draws10 Norwich City

Goals 36–36 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 52 draws3 Norwich City

Goals 14–12 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 22 draws1 Norwich City

Goals 7–9 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Norwich City 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 5–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 1–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 2–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 0–3 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 0–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 2–0 Norwich City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 1–0 Swansea City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Norwich City all · 46Norwich City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.411.52
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 619 / 8 / 1910 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.241.481.371.57
Goals against / match1.281.171.221.22
Clean sheets26%30%20%22%
Failed to score22%9%20%13%
Both teams scored54%61%61%65%
Over 2.550%52%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.351.30
xG against / match1.371.371.461.64
xG difference-0.15-0.02-0.10-0.35
Finishing vs xG0.020.130.020.27
xPts / match1.281.361.351.23
Points vs xPts0.120.340.060.29
Game state
Scored first48%61%52%56%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.082.08
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.680.80
Came back from behind28%40%27%33%
Leads held72%69%68%67%
Minutes leading25%28%28%32%
Minutes level48%48%48%42%
Minutes trailing27%23%24%26%
First goal (min)46494236
First goal conceded (min)40374641
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%57%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%59%54%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.260.30
Late goals against0.300.300.300.30
Style
Possession55%56%54%52%
Shots12.313.612.611.5
On target3.93.84.54.4
Shot conversion10%11%11%14%
Shots inside box58%60%64%66%
Big chances created1.71.72.32.1
Corners4.55.15.35.0
xG from set plays36%36%25%23%
Goals from headers13%16%10%11%
Pressure index12.815.212.510.8
Dominant minutes51.958.053.247.7
Pass accuracy79%80%79%78%
Fouls9.89.110.210.4
Cards2.001.911.932.30

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.072
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%3.3Draw 29% P 28%3.2Away 29% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Swansea or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Swansea or Norwich 36% P 36%1.61Draw or Norwich 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 54%2.1No 44% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away30%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Adam Herczeg

Career
41 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.05-0.2645
Fouls / match22.321.8+0.38
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4422
Time added7.97.2+0.7974
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 60 190 33'12
2025-10-04 20 120 45'11
2025-09-30 70 331 36'8
2025-08-23 30 230 28'7
2025-08-09 · Norwich City 50 200 35'7
2025-03-15 10 250 13'9
2025-03-08 81 271 33'11
2025-02-15 40 140 47'5
2025-01-18 40 220 1'6
2025-01-09 –– 22– –7