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Championship · Matchweek 13

Momentum

Norwich CityHull City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Carrow Road, Norwich
Capacity
27,244
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,724

Teams

Coaches
Liam Manning · Sergej Jakirović
Position
23 · 8
Formation
3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Joshua Smith

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
12.2° (feels 11.9°)
Wind
9.9
Humidity
93%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Norwich City

LLLLL 0W 0D 5L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 8 · xG 5.85–6.72 · xPts 6.36

  • L A Swansea City 1–2 xG 0.97–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 1.37–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 0–1 xG 0.94–1.96 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 1–3 xG 0.66–1.86 UK CHAMP
  • L H West Bromwich Albion 0–1 xG 1.91–1.0 UK CHAMP

Hull City

DWWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 6.24–10.88 · xPts 4.49

  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.18–1.63 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 2–1 xG 1.34–2.07 UK CHAMP
  • W A Birmingham City 3–2 xG 1.45–2.75 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 1–0 xG 0.64–2.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 2–2 xG 1.63–1.52 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Norwich City 87 draws7 Hull City

Goals 31–28 · 2.68 per match · BTTS 73% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Norwich City 52 draws3 Hull City

Goals 17–12 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Norwich City 21 draws2 Hull City

Goals 8–6 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Hull City 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Norwich City 0–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 4–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 2–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 2–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 3–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 0–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricNorwich City all · 46Norwich City at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.411.301.631.58
W / D / L19 / 8 / 199 / 3 / 1123 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.371.171.491.54
Goals against / match1.221.221.351.33
Clean sheets20%17%29%29%
Failed to score20%26%18%12%
Both teams scored61%56%61%62%
Over 2.548%44%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.411.371.27
xG against / match1.461.271.661.91
xG difference-0.100.14-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.240.120.27
xPts / match1.351.461.251.09
Points vs xPts0.06-0.160.380.49
Game state
Scored first52%48%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.082.092.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.680.580.880.71
Came back from behind27%21%35%33%
Leads held68%69%72%65%
Minutes leading28%24%30%32%
Minutes level48%53%53%52%
Minutes trailing24%24%17%16%
First goal (min)42493233
First goal conceded (min)46504044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%59%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%64%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.220.270.33
Late goals against0.300.300.310.38
Style
Possession54%56%45%43%
Shots12.613.711.111.0
On target4.54.54.14.3
Shot conversion11%9%13%14%
Shots inside box64%62%68%68%
Big chances created2.32.52.22.3
Corners5.35.74.44.6
xG from set plays25%27%21%13%
Goals from headers10%8%14%19%
Pressure index12.514.19.37.6
Dominant minutes53.258.839.832.6
Pass accuracy79%80%72%71%
Fouls10.210.011.211.5
Cards1.931.572.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.082
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.573
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 45% P 47%3.8Draw 25% P 25%3.1Away 30% P 28%

Double Chance

1.33Norwich or Draw 35% P 36%1.25Norwich or Hull 38% P 37%1.72Draw or Hull 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58% P 59%2.2No 42% P 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home47%46%50%+4.6
Draw25%26%23%-2.4
Away28%28%26%-2.2

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 57.5–60% · 1,955 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes59%59%60%+1.5

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Joshua Smith

Career
156 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 121 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.284.05+0.4163
Fouls / match22.221.8+0.28
Fouls per card5.35.4-0.36 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.2867
Time added6.97.2-0.3735
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-25 20 200 75'7
2025-10-18 40 250 34'8
2025-09-30 · Hull City 10 200 51'6
2025-09-22 10 200 30'7
2025-08-29 60 270 45'14
2025-08-23 61 180 25'12
2025-08-09 20 7
2025-03-12 · Hull City 61 200 45'7
2025-02-15 10 200 82'6
2025-01-31 20 191 63'9