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Championship · Matchweek 13
Oxford UnitedOXF
2–2
FT
MillwallMillwall

Momentum

– OXFMillwall –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
The Kassam Stadium, Oxford
Capacity
12,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,023

Teams

Coaches
Gary Rowett · Alex Neil
Position
20 · 3
Formation
4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Farai Hallam

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
9.4° (feels 7.4°)
Wind
10.2
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Oxford United

DLWLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 5.1–7.96 · xPts 5.27

  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 xG 1.21–1.65 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–1 xG 0.14–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 1–0 xG 1.94–0.32 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 1–2 xG 1.32–4.01 UK CHAMP
  • D A Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 0.5–1.23 UK CHAMP

Millwall

LWWWW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 7.7–7.52 · xPts 7.43

  • W H Leicester City 1–0 xG 1.41–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.89–0.87 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 1.52–2.1 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 3–0 xG 1.29–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–4 xG 1.58–3.09 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Oxford United 12 draws1 Millwall

Goals 4–5 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Oxford United 12 draws1 Millwall

Goals 4–5 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Oxford United 12 draws1 Millwall

Goals 4–5 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • L Millwall 2–0 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Oxford United 2–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 0–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Oxford United 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricOxford United all · 46Oxford United at home · 23Millwall all · 48Millwall away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.021.261.751.75
W / D / L11 / 14 / 217 / 8 / 824 / 12 / 1211 / 9 / 4
Goals for / match0.981.041.331.29
Goals against / match1.281.171.061.00
Clean sheets17%22%40%33%
Failed to score41%39%21%21%
Both teams scored52%48%48%58%
Over 2.546%44%46%42%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.171.361.501.38
xG against / match1.431.171.331.51
xG difference-0.250.190.18-0.13
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.32-0.17-0.08
xPts / match1.211.481.471.30
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.220.280.45
Game state
Scored first39%44%52%46%
PPG when scoring first2.062.402.602.64
PPG when conceding first0.220.270.791.00
Came back from behind19%27%43%60%
Leads held58%70%86%85%
Minutes leading21%23%27%20%
Minutes level47%47%56%61%
Minutes trailing32%30%17%18%
First goal (min)28264451
First goal conceded (min)35334342
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%38%61%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half41%41%67%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.170.350.38
Late goals against0.150.040.350.25
Style
Possession40%42%48%46%
Shots11.914.112.912.3
On target3.44.24.23.8
Shot conversion8%7%10%10%
Shots inside box54%55%68%65%
Big chances created1.61.72.32.2
Corners4.04.65.75.2
xG from set plays40%46%33%30%
Goals from headers16%12%16%13%
Pressure index6.49.111.99.1
Dominant minutes33.744.244.439.2
Pass accuracy69%69%70%69%
Fouls10.810.512.614.4
Cards1.671.301.902.42

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.55Home 37% P 35%3.3Draw 28% P 30%2.7Away 35% P 35%

Double Chance

1.44Oxford Utd or Draw 32% P 33%1.33Oxford Utd or Millwall 35% P 35%1.44Draw or Millwall 32% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 50%1.83Under 50% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-0.6
Draw30%28%28%+0.2
Away35%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Farai Hallam

Career
52 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.52 yellow · 0.0 red)
Fouls / match
21.9 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
36%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 36 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.03
Fouls per card6.15.4+0.76 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.17.2-0.1343
First card
35' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
36% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-24 50 250 29'10
2025-10-21 30 180 45'8
2025-10-18 30 240 3'10
2025-09-27 70 280 24'5
2025-09-12 20 260 53'6
2025-08-30 70 260 12'5
2025-08-23 –– 15– –6
2025-08-09 70 300 10'7
2025-05-03 20 270 57'10
2025-04-21 · Oxford United 40 310 40'5