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Championship · Matchweek 13

Momentum

QPRIpswich Town
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,505

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Kieran McKenna
Position
10 · 13
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Samuel Allison

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
10.7° (feels 10.2°)
Wind
7.8
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 210

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 6.27–5.77 · xPts 7.21

  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 0.29–1.6 UK CHAMP
  • W A Swansea City 1–0 xG 1.74–0.5 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 1–2 xG 2.1–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 2–1 xG 0.91–1.65 UK CHAMP
  • D H Oxford United 0–0 xG 1.23–0.5 UK CHAMP

Ipswich Town

DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 10.74–5.96 · xPts 9.97

  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 1.81–0.44 UK CHAMP
  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–3 xG 3.03–1.89 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 2.35–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 3–1 xG 1.86–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • D A Bristol City 1–1 xG 1.69–1.29 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 26 matches since 2005

Queens Park Rangers 105 draws11 Ipswich Town

Goals 30–35 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 42 draws4 Ipswich Town

Goals 10–13 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 11 draws3 Ipswich Town

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Ipswich Town 3–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–4 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 3–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 3–0 Queens Park Rangers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Ipswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.261.431.831.48
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1023 / 15 / 89 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.331.741.741.61
Goals against / match1.591.611.021.30
Clean sheets22%17%37%30%
Failed to score28%17%13%17%
Both teams scored63%74%56%61%
Over 2.563%78%52%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.831.59
xG against / match1.331.211.031.22
xG difference-0.030.420.800.36
Finishing vs xG0.020.11-0.090.02
xPts / match1.371.681.881.61
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.24-0.06-0.13
Game state
Scored first33%48%54%39%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.682.78
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.780.58
Came back from behind26%17%60%46%
Leads held84%77%79%75%
Minutes leading20%30%33%21%
Minutes level46%45%50%53%
Minutes trailing34%26%17%26%
First goal (min)45414050
First goal conceded (min)34434035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%51%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.500.52
Late goals against0.260.480.130.22
Style
Possession46%47%56%56%
Shots12.714.315.113.7
On target4.15.05.14.5
Shot conversion10%12%12%12%
Shots inside box63%63%67%66%
Big chances created1.82.42.82.2
Corners4.85.45.75.2
xG from set plays31%28%32%36%
Goals from headers17%15%12%19%
Pressure index11.715.418.816.9
Dominant minutes46.754.462.357.8
Pass accuracy76%75%81%80%
Fouls11.011.111.212.0
Cards1.912.131.932.48

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.4Home 28% P 28%3.4Draw 28% P 27%2.15Away 44% P 45%

Double Chance

1.7QPR or Draw 28% P 27%1.28QPR or Ipswich 37% P 36%1.3Draw or Ipswich 36% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.371 39%1.532 61%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 55%2.1No 44% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.2Over 42% P 44%1.61Under 58% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 27.5–30% · away 45–47.5% · 218 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home28%28%34%+6.0
Draw27%26%22%-3.6
Away45%46%44%-2.4

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 59%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Samuel Allison

Career
80 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.88 (3.8 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 64 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4029
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.25
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9710
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
33' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 20 220 18'6
2025-10-01 50 170 28'8
2025-04-21 71 250 27'13
2025-04-08 10 230 45'2
2025-03-29 30 220 4'5
2025-03-14 50 210 34'5
2025-03-11 30 140 28'4
2025-03-01 60 240 5'8
2025-02-22 50 180 45'12
2025-02-15 20 230 12'6