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Championship · Matchweek 13
Sheffield UnitedSHU
1–3
FT
Derby CountyDerby County

Momentum

– SHUDerby County –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Capacity
32,702
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,473

Teams

Coaches
Chris Wilder · John Eustace
Position
22 · 17
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Michael Salisbury

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
10.8° (feels 10.0°)
Wind
10.0
Humidity
79%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Sheffield United

LLWWL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 9.25–6.31 · xPts 8.59

  • L A Preston North End 2–3 xG 2.01–1.49 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 3–1 xG 1.19–0.99 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 1–0 xG 2.12–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 0–1 xG 2.91–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 1.02–2.11 UK CHAMP

Derby County

DDLWW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 6.39–5.34 · xPts 7.72

  • W H Queens Park Rangers 1–0 xG 1.6–0.29 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 1–0 xG 1.25–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • L A Oxford United 0–1 xG 0.32–1.94 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 1–1 xG 1.31–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.9–0.72 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2005

Sheffield United 112 draws5 Derby County

Goals 25–18 · 2.39 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sheffield United 61 draws3 Derby County

Goals 14–11 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sheffield United 30 draws2 Derby County

Goals 5–6 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Derby County 1–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 1–3 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Derby County 0–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 1–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 2–0 Sheffield United neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 1–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 3–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 2–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 3–1 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSheffield United all · 46Sheffield United at home · 23Derby County all · 46Derby County away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.501.43
W / D / L18 / 6 / 229 / 4 / 1020 / 9 / 1710 / 3 / 10
Goals for / match1.431.651.461.57
Goals against / match1.431.431.281.39
Clean sheets22%22%26%22%
Failed to score24%13%9%13%
Both teams scored56%70%65%65%
Over 2.559%74%52%65%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.641.861.231.18
xG against / match1.311.161.321.54
xG difference0.320.70-0.09-0.35
Finishing vs xG-0.20-0.210.230.38
xPts / match1.571.791.331.18
Points vs xPts-0.26-0.440.170.25
Game state
Scored first54%56%54%56%
PPG when scoring first1.841.852.242.15
PPG when conceding first0.650.670.620.50
Came back from behind18%17%35%23%
Leads held62%60%69%67%
Minutes leading27%28%30%32%
Minutes level44%43%46%46%
Minutes trailing29%30%24%22%
First goal (min)39424035
First goal conceded (min)40414045
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%60%52%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%58%58%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.200.260.260.26
Late goals against0.260.260.300.35
Style
Possession52%58%44%40%
Shots13.415.411.010.0
On target4.34.83.63.4
Shot conversion11%11%13%16%
Shots inside box68%67%70%77%
Big chances created2.52.72.22.2
Corners6.67.54.53.6
xG from set plays35%38%39%33%
Goals from headers8%10%28%25%
Pressure index15.120.610.18.6
Dominant minutes50.559.539.934.2
Pass accuracy76%80%73%70%
Fouls10.39.812.312.8
Cards1.961.782.632.96

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sheffield United

0–15'118
16–30'911
31–45'106
46–60'1619
61–75'1110
76–90'912

Derby County

0–15'811
16–30'95
31–45'159
46–60'135
61–75'1015
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sheffield United · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)-0.365
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.392

Game state

When ahead-0.373
When level-0.117
When behind-0.355
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring-0.104

Situations

At home-0.154
Away-0.223
3 days rest or fewer-0.202
4+ days rest-0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
v bottom-tier opponents-0.303
As favourite-0.202
Evenly matched-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.347
Conceded when ahead+0.303
Conceded late (76+)+0.197

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.23

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Sheffield United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-119 41%1.261.631.791.471.44
4-4-211 24%2.01.640.911.641.36
3-4-2-16 13%1.01.331.671.891.36
4-2-2-24 9%2.01.750.252.50.62
4-3-33 6%0.00.01.01.01.34

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.621.461.131.481.25
3-4-2-111 24%1.821.551.180.921.35
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.41.61.031.95
4-4-24 9%0.251.02.250.831.09
3-5-21 2%0.01.02.00.841.63

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 52% P 52%3.5Draw 27% P 28%4.5Away 21% P 20%

Double Chance

1.18Sheff Utd or Draw 40% P 40%1.28Sheff Utd or Derby 36% P 36%1.95Draw or Derby 24% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

2.1Yes 44% P 46%1.66No 56% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 41%1.66Under 57% P 59%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 49%1.72Under 54% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%55%+3.6
Draw28%27%26%-1.4
Away20%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Michael Salisbury

Career
139 matches · 12 seasons
Cards / match
3.52 (3.35 yellow · 0.14 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.384.05-1.2214
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.26
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4422
Time added6.57.2-0.8316
First card
35' on average
Card timing
18% in first 30' · 24% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-05 50 291 68'9
2025-09-27 50 200 32'9
2025-09-13 40 220 77'8
2025-08-23 10 140 19'16
2025-04-26 51 181 30'11
2025-04-23 20 100 45'11
2025-04-12 40 240 45'12
2025-04-06 20 361 26'11
2025-03-15 20 170 54'6
2025-03-10 10 220 84'8