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Championship · Matchweek 13

Momentum

SouthamptonPNE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Capacity
32,384
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,233

Teams

Coaches
William Still · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
21 · 8
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-5-2

Referee

Matt Donohue

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
9.5° (feels 7.2°)
Wind
10.2
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Southampton

WDDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 8.43–6.03 · xPts 8.3

  • L A Blackburn Rovers 1–2 xG 1.15–2.18 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 1–3 xG 1.53–1.17 UK CHAMP
  • D H Swansea City 0–0 xG 2.62–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 1.02–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 2–1 xG 2.11–1.02 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

DWLLW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 7.06–7.25 · xPts 6.94

  • W H Sheffield United 3–2 xG 1.49–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • L H Birmingham City 0–1 xG 1.5–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 1.05–2.03 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 2–0 xG 1.51–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 2–2 xG 1.52–1.63 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2005

Southampton 44 draws4 Preston North End

Goals 18–19 · 3.08 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Southampton 42 draws4 Preston North End

Goals 17–18 · 3.5 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Southampton 31 draws1 Preston North End

Goals 11–6 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Preston North End 1–3 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 0–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 3–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 2–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 3–1 Preston North End neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 2–3 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 0–1 Preston North End neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 5–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 3–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Preston North End neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSouthampton all · 48Southampton at home · 24Preston North End all · 46Preston North End away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.961.301.26
W / D / L23 / 15 / 1013 / 8 / 315 / 15 / 167 / 8 / 8
Goals for / match1.751.671.201.17
Goals against / match1.190.831.351.39
Clean sheets25%42%20%17%
Failed to score12%17%26%26%
Both teams scored71%54%59%61%
Over 2.562%54%48%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.781.181.14
xG against / match1.331.091.631.83
xG difference0.380.69-0.45-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.110.020.04
xPts / match1.591.781.131.01
Points vs xPts0.160.180.170.25
Game state
Scored first52%50%41%44%
PPG when scoring first2.242.672.162.00
PPG when conceding first1.261.330.680.67
Came back from behind54%67%38%33%
Leads held72%81%62%54%
Minutes leading34%36%28%30%
Minutes level49%48%45%43%
Minutes trailing18%16%27%27%
First goal (min)40393632
First goal conceded (min)44404240
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%49%51%41%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%55%50%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.250.260.22
Late goals against0.270.170.300.26
Style
Possession56%58%46%44%
Shots14.415.810.910.6
On target5.35.53.63.8
Shot conversion12%11%11%11%
Shots inside box68%66%68%66%
Big chances created2.92.91.61.6
Corners5.86.54.53.7
xG from set plays28%26%34%33%
Goals from headers22%25%22%22%
Pressure index17.921.18.88.1
Dominant minutes59.063.840.538.6
Pass accuracy83%84%72%72%
Fouls10.79.810.410.7
Cards1.881.632.092.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-1-4-12 4%3.01.50.51.392.18
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 55% P 57%3.9Draw 24% P 24%4.5Away 21% P 19%

Double Chance

1.18Southampton or Draw 40% P 40%1.25Southampton or Preston 37% P 38%2.05Draw or Preston 23% P 22%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 50%1.83No 50% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.61Over 58% P 60%2.2Under 42% P 40%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 17.5–20% · 762 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home57%56%53%-2.8
Draw24%25%26%+1.0
Away19%19%21%+1.8

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Matt Donohue

Career
202 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.26 (4.07 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.634.05+1.0590
Fouls / match23.021.8+0.99
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4126
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-21 30 200 52'11
2025-10-17 40 261 20'6
2025-09-30 50 260 20'10
2025-09-14 · Southampton 60 300 45'13
2025-08-30 40 180 60'12
2025-08-23 · Preston North End 80 191 26'9
2025-08-10 21 190 71'13
2025-04-26 · Preston North End 50 230 30'11
2025-04-18 112 210 59'9
2025-04-08 31 220 81'2