KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 13
Stoke CityStoke City
5–1
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– Stoke CityBristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
13

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
23,241

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Gerhard Struber
Position
6 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

James Bell

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
10.7° (feels 10.0°)
Wind
10.8
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

DDWLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 5.53–6.74 · xPts 6.25

  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.96–1.65 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–2 xG 0.87–1.89 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wrexham 1–0 xG 0.99–0.25 UK CHAMP
  • D A Blackburn Rovers 1–1 xG 1.29–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 1.42–1.04 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

DLWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 4 · xG 6.35–5.91 · xPts 6.94

  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 0.29–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 3–1 xG 1.17–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 1–0 xG 1.96–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–2 xG 1.65–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • D H Ipswich Town 1–1 xG 1.29–1.69 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 18 matches since 2007

Stoke City 72 draws9 Bristol City

Goals 24–23 · 2.61 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 41 draws5 Bristol City

Goals 17–14 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 21 draws2 Bristol City

Goals 11–7 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 5–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 4–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–3 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 1–2 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.351.35
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 817 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.111.481.281.13
Goals against / match1.221.221.281.22
Clean sheets28%26%30%26%
Failed to score37%22%33%35%
Both teams scored44%61%46%52%
Over 2.544%56%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.181.16
xG against / match1.431.191.481.46
xG difference-0.190.26-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.130.030.10-0.03
xPts / match1.281.551.201.19
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.120.150.16
Game state
Scored first44%52%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.252.172.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.670.67
Came back from behind22%38%31%33%
Leads held71%69%77%80%
Minutes leading24%31%30%28%
Minutes level50%48%41%43%
Minutes trailing27%21%29%29%
First goal (min)37343236
First goal conceded (min)44473029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.240.13
Late goals against0.350.350.240.17
Style
Possession52%53%49%46%
Shots11.212.712.211.7
On target3.84.74.14.2
Shot conversion10%12%10%10%
Shots inside box65%67%60%62%
Big chances created1.82.11.91.9
Corners6.06.44.85.0
xG from set plays28%34%24%29%
Goals from headers16%15%21%20%
Pressure index13.316.311.99.3
Dominant minutes52.757.343.939.0
Pass accuracy78%79%78%76%
Fouls10.410.69.510.3
Cards2.302.261.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-2-2-21 2%3.02.00.00.962.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.37Home 39% P 40%3.3Draw 28% P 30%2.9Away 32% P 30%

Double Chance

1.4Stoke or Draw 34% P 35%1.33Stoke or Bristol City 35% P 35%1.53Draw or Bristol City 31% P 30%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 52%1.83No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home40%41%41%-0.1
Draw30%28%26%-1.9
Away30%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

James Bell

Career
75 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.95 (3.81 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.964.05-0.1747
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.36
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.48 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2049
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-25 30 201 28'10
2025-10-18 50 210 43'7
2025-08-09 40 251 25'10
2025-05-03 20 180 48'7
2025-04-28 · Bristol City 10 100 49'6
2025-04-21 30 220 73'6
2025-04-08 30 130 39'2
2025-04-05 60 320 18'6
2025-03-07 20 180 69'6
2025-02-22 71 260 52'12