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Championship · Matchweek 14

Momentum

Bristol CityBBR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
Capacity
27,000
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,499

Teams

Coaches
Gerhard Struber · Valérien Ismaël
Position
5 · 19
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Dean Whitestone

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
13.1° (feels 12.7°)
Wind
8.0
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bristol City

LWWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 6.17–6.26 · xPts 6.64

  • L A Stoke City 1–5 xG 1.1–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 0.29–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 3–1 xG 1.17–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 1–0 xG 1.96–0.94 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–2 xG 1.65–0.91 UK CHAMP

Blackburn Rovers

DLLWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 8.07–5.95 · xPts 8.22

  • W A Leicester City 2–0 xG 1.73–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 2–1 xG 2.18–1.15 UK CHAMP
  • L H Sheffield United 1–3 xG 0.99–1.19 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 0–2 xG 1.26–1.02 UK CHAMP
  • D H Stoke City 1–1 xG 1.91–1.29 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2012

Bristol City 95 draws9 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 30–32 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Bristol City 52 draws3 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 16–12 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Bristol City 30 draws2 Blackburn Rovers

Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 2–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 3–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 5–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBristol City all · 46Bristol City at home · 23Blackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.351.351.131.35
W / D / L17 / 11 / 189 / 4 / 1013 / 13 / 209 / 4 / 10
Goals for / match1.281.430.911.00
Goals against / match1.281.351.221.26
Clean sheets30%35%26%30%
Failed to score33%30%35%39%
Both teams scored46%39%48%39%
Over 2.546%48%39%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.211.201.13
xG against / match1.481.491.301.45
xG difference-0.29-0.28-0.10-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.100.22-0.28-0.13
xPts / match1.201.211.321.19
Points vs xPts0.150.13-0.190.16
Game state
Scored first39%44%46%52%
PPG when scoring first2.332.201.762.17
PPG when conceding first0.670.670.520.33
Came back from behind31%29%26%9%
Leads held77%75%56%69%
Minutes leading30%33%21%28%
Minutes level41%38%55%48%
Minutes trailing29%29%24%24%
First goal (min)32284436
First goal conceded (min)30314944
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half46%52%48%39%
Goals conceded in 2nd half44%48%59%66%
Late goals for (76'+)0.240.350.220.09
Late goals against0.240.300.390.35
Style
Possession49%52%48%47%
Shots12.212.711.511.4
On target4.14.03.23.1
Shot conversion10%11%8%9%
Shots inside box60%59%67%66%
Big chances created1.92.02.02.2
Corners4.84.75.34.9
xG from set plays24%20%27%24%
Goals from headers21%21%27%27%
Pressure index11.914.510.19.4
Dominant minutes43.948.944.643.4
Pass accuracy78%80%74%75%
Fouls9.58.810.511.3
Cards1.831.652.172.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
3-4-31 2%1.00.00.00.351.13

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
3-1-4-21 2%0.00.03.00.782.71

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%3.3Draw 29% P 29%3.25Away 29% P 30%

Double Chance

1.33Bristol City or Draw 35% P 35%1.33Bristol City or Blackburn 35% P 36%1.61Draw or Blackburn 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 54%2.0No 46% P 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 48%1.9Under 50% P 52%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%42%+0.5
Draw29%30%27%-2.4
Away30%29%31%+1.9

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes54%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Dean Whitestone

Career
255 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
2.93 (2.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.83
Fouls per card6.35.4+1.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.4878
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
42' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-25 51 181 44'9
2025-09-27 30 270 23'8
2025-09-13 · Blackburn Rovers 30 260 58'9
2025-08-23 30 270 54'11
2025-08-09 30 250 41'15
2025-04-26 30 270 43'5
2025-04-18 60 220 42'10
2025-04-08 40 250 4'2
2025-04-05 20 230 28'6
2025-03-15 30 201 54'6