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Championship · Matchweek 14
Ipswich TownIpswich Town
1–1
FT
WatfordWatford

Momentum

– Ipswich TownWatford –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,184

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · Javier Gracia Carlos
Position
9 · 10
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

David Webb

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
14.3° (feels 14.0°)
Wind
7.9
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

WLLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 10.53–6.19 · xPts 9.67

  • W A Queens Park Rangers 4–1 xG 1.48–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 1.81–0.44 UK CHAMP
  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–3 xG 3.03–1.89 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 2.35–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 3–1 xG 1.86–0.66 UK CHAMP

Watford

WLWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 9.21–6.89 · xPts 7.8

  • W H Middlesbrough 3–0 xG 0.8–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–3 xG 2.29–1.56 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 2–1 xG 1.02–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • L A Sheffield United 0–1 xG 1.08–2.12 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 2–1 xG 4.01–1.32 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2005

Ipswich Town 55 draws13 Watford

Goals 18–30 · 2.09 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Ipswich Town 53 draws2 Watford

Goals 10–8 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Ipswich Town 32 draws0 Watford

Goals 6–2 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • W Watford 0–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 1–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 0–1 Ipswich Town neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Watford 3–1 Ipswich Town neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 0–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Watford 0–1 Ipswich Town neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23Watford all · 46Watford away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.832.171.240.87
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 114 / 15 / 174 / 8 / 11
Goals for / match1.741.871.151.00
Goals against / match1.020.741.411.65
Clean sheets37%44%15%9%
Failed to score13%9%30%30%
Both teams scored56%52%59%65%
Over 2.552%56%48%52%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.341.19
xG against / match1.030.841.251.34
xG difference0.801.230.10-0.15
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.20-0.19-0.19
xPts / match1.882.161.431.30
Points vs xPts-0.060.02-0.20-0.43
Game state
Scored first54%70%26%22%
PPG when scoring first2.682.622.331.80
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.840.59
Came back from behind60%86%47%35%
Leads held79%82%67%40%
Minutes leading33%45%18%10%
Minutes level50%48%49%50%
Minutes trailing17%8%34%40%
First goal (min)40324853
First goal conceded (min)40463432
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%58%70%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%48%45%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.300.30
Late goals against0.130.040.280.35
Style
Possession56%56%51%51%
Shots15.116.513.812.0
On target5.15.74.43.5
Shot conversion12%11%8%8%
Shots inside box67%68%58%58%
Big chances created2.83.52.12.0
Corners5.76.24.94.4
xG from set plays32%29%27%31%
Goals from headers12%5%14%9%
Pressure index18.820.710.99.5
Dominant minutes62.366.747.041.8
Pass accuracy81%81%80%79%
Fouls11.210.311.010.8
Cards1.931.392.152.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Watford

0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Watford · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.128
Early press (0-15, level)-0.178
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.264

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.198
When behind-0.055
10 min after conceding-0.218
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away-0.014
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.186

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.203
As underdog-0.126

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.308
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)+0.068

Congested vs rested +0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.14

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Watford

Current: winless 2 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-221 46%1.481.291.291.251.32
4-2-3-110 22%1.31.21.11.250.83
3-5-25 11%0.40.82.00.861.68
3-4-1-23 6%2.332.01.333.01.2
4-3-32 4%0.00.52.01.481.61

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.65Home 57% P 58%3.7Draw 25% P 25%5.25Away 18% P 18%

Double Chance

1.16Ipswich or Draw 41% P 41%1.28Ipswich or Watford 37% P 38%2.15Draw or Watford 22% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50% P 52%1.83No 50% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 17.5–20% · 511 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home58%59%60%+1.3
Draw25%23%24%+1.3
Away18%18%16%-2.6

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 57%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

David Webb

Career
296 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
2.96 (2.84 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
18.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 136 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.264.05-1.436
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.29
Fouls per card6.55.4+1.45 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2247
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
38' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 –– 18– –10
2025-10-21 20 160 61'7
2025-09-30 20 130 13'7
2025-09-20 40 150 13'10
2025-09-13 20 130 52'10
2025-08-22 30 200 65'7
2025-08-09 41 260 47'8
2025-05-20 30 220 22'9
2025-05-03 40 250 52'17
2025-04-21 40 251 27'9