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Championship · Matchweek 14
Leicester CityLEI
1–1
FT
MiddlesbroughMID

Momentum

– LEIMID –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Capacity
32,312
Surface
grass
Attendance
28,389

Teams

Coaches
Martí Cifuentes Corvillo · Rob Edwards
Position
14 · 2
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Adam Herczeg

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
14.3° (feels 13.9°)
Wind
8.9
Humidity
80%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Leicester City

WDLLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 7.63–7.68 · xPts 6.8

  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–2 xG 1.3–1.73 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–1 xG 0.8–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 1–2 xG 2.07–1.34 UK CHAMP
  • D H Portsmouth 1–1 xG 1.46–1.27 UK CHAMP
  • W A Swansea City 3–1 xG 2.01–1.93 UK CHAMP

Middlesbrough

LWWDL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 6.4–5.31 · xPts 7.77

  • L A Watford 0–3 xG 0.97–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 1–1 xG 0.93–0.52 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 1–0 xG 1.79–1.13 UK CHAMP
  • W H Ipswich Town 2–1 xG 1.69–2.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A Portsmouth 0–1 xG 1.02–0.51 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2000

Leicester City 710 draws5 Middlesbrough

Goals 27–23 · 2.27 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Leicester City 44 draws2 Middlesbrough

Goals 12–9 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Leicester City 03 draws2 Middlesbrough

Goals 3–5 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Middlesbrough 1–1 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Leicester City 1–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 1–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Middlesbrough 1–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Middlesbrough 0–0 Leicester City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Leicester City 2–2 Middlesbrough UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 2–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 1–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 1–0 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Middlesbrough 1–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricLeicester City all · 46Leicester City at home · 23Middlesbrough all · 49Middlesbrough away · 25
Results
Matches46234925
Points per game1.131.221.651.52
W / D / L12 / 16 / 187 / 7 / 922 / 15 / 1210 / 8 / 7
Goals for / match1.261.351.491.56
Goals against / match1.481.481.021.28
Clean sheets13%13%29%16%
Failed to score20%22%26%24%
Both teams scored72%70%55%64%
Over 2.554%52%53%64%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.281.341.591.55
xG against / match1.471.271.051.15
xG difference-0.190.070.530.40
Finishing vs xG-0.020.01-0.100.01
xPts / match1.261.391.701.60
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.17-0.04-0.08
Game state
Scored first48%61%53%52%
PPG when scoring first1.731.642.462.31
PPG when conceding first0.550.500.670.64
Came back from behind33%25%46%50%
Leads held46%44%79%71%
Minutes leading26%34%32%31%
Minutes level43%41%49%47%
Minutes trailing31%25%19%22%
First goal (min)40303736
First goal conceded (min)39444645
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%51%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%56%55%52%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.300.220.28
Late goals against0.280.300.290.28
Style
Possession52%54%59%58%
Shots12.913.816.215.3
On target4.24.04.84.5
Shot conversion10%10%9%10%
Shots inside box59%54%64%65%
Big chances created1.72.02.42.5
Corners5.36.16.85.8
xG from set plays34%30%24%18%
Goals from headers12%13%12%10%
Pressure index12.615.319.718.4
Dominant minutes47.152.463.163.2
Pass accuracy80%82%84%84%
Fouls10.810.79.39.5
Cards1.961.741.612.12

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Middlesbrough

0–15'97
16–30'1010
31–45'175
46–60'136
61–75'138
76–90'1113

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-114 29%1.431.140.931.521.11
4-2-3-111 22%2.452.00.731.541.13
4-2-2-28 16%0.750.630.881.921.08
4-4-25 10%2.42.41.61.131.07
4-3-33 6%2.331.670.01.250.75

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.1Home 44% P 45%3.3Draw 28% P 27%3.4Away 27% P 28%

Double Chance

1.3Leicester or Draw 36% P 36%1.33Leicester or Middlesbrough 36% P 36%1.7Draw or Middlesbrough 28% P 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 52%2.0No 46% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 48%1.8Under 53% P 52%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 27.5–30% · 766 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%44%43%-0.3
Draw27%28%30%+2.4
Away28%29%26%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.548%49%50%+1.3

Adam Herczeg

Career
41 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.05-0.2645
Fouls / match22.321.8+0.38
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4422
Time added7.97.2+0.7974
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-25 40 250 45'8
2025-10-18 60 190 33'12
2025-10-04 20 120 45'11
2025-09-30 70 331 36'8
2025-08-23 30 230 28'7
2025-08-09 50 200 35'7
2025-03-15 10 250 13'9
2025-03-08 81 271 33'11
2025-02-15 · Middlesbrough 40 140 47'5
2025-01-18 40 220 1'6