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Championship · Matchweek 14
Preston North EndPNE
2–1
FT
Swansea CitySwansea City

Momentum

– PNESwansea City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
15,911

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Alan Sheehan
Position
6 · 17
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
13.1° (feels 13.0°)
Wind
6.6
Humidity
97%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

WLLWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 5 · xG 7.45–6.26 · xPts 7.86

  • W A Southampton 2–0 xG 1.91–0.65 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield United 3–2 xG 1.49–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • L H Birmingham City 0–1 xG 1.5–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 1.05–2.03 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 2–0 xG 1.51–0.74 UK CHAMP

Swansea City

LDLWD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 4.23–8.75 · xPts 4.05

  • D A Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 0.81–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 2–1 xG 0.64–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 0.5–1.74 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 0–0 xG 0.35–2.62 UK CHAMP
  • L H Leicester City 1–3 xG 1.93–2.01 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2008

Preston North End 74 draws11 Swansea City

Goals 22–34 · 2.55 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 42 draws4 Swansea City

Goals 12–14 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 12 draws2 Swansea City

Goals 4–7 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Swansea City 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 3–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 4–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 3–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 46Preston North End at home · 23Swansea City all · 46Swansea City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.301.351.391.09
W / D / L15 / 15 / 168 / 7 / 818 / 10 / 187 / 4 / 12
Goals for / match1.201.221.241.00
Goals against / match1.351.301.281.39
Clean sheets20%22%26%22%
Failed to score26%26%22%35%
Both teams scored59%56%54%48%
Over 2.548%48%50%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.221.221.10
xG against / match1.631.421.371.37
xG difference-0.45-0.20-0.15-0.27
Finishing vs xG0.020.000.02-0.10
xPts / match1.131.251.281.19
Points vs xPts0.170.100.12-0.11
Game state
Scored first41%39%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.162.332.362.38
PPG when conceding first0.680.690.480.36
Came back from behind38%43%28%20%
Leads held62%73%72%78%
Minutes leading28%27%25%22%
Minutes level45%46%48%47%
Minutes trailing27%27%27%31%
First goal (min)36404643
First goal conceded (min)42434042
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half51%61%65%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%60%52%59%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.350.26
Late goals against0.300.350.300.30
Style
Possession46%48%55%54%
Shots10.911.312.311.0
On target3.63.43.94.0
Shot conversion11%11%10%9%
Shots inside box68%69%58%56%
Big chances created1.61.71.71.8
Corners4.55.34.54.0
xG from set plays34%35%36%36%
Goals from headers22%21%13%9%
Pressure index8.89.512.810.5
Dominant minutes40.542.351.945.9
Pass accuracy72%73%79%79%
Fouls10.410.19.810.6
Cards2.092.132.002.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'1111
16–30'107
31–45'613
46–60'109
61–75'68
76–90'1214

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-5-214 30%1.51.361.361.191.42
3-1-4-29 20%1.221.111.111.221.23
5-3-27 15%0.710.861.710.971.94
3-4-1-25 11%1.21.01.21.231.86
4-4-25 11%1.81.41.61.441.99

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-5-11 2%1.02.02.02.283.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 42%3.0Draw 31% P 31%3.5Away 27% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28Preston or Draw 37% P 36%1.36Preston or Swansea 34% P 35%1.61Draw or Swansea 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 48%1.72No 54% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 39%1.57Under 60% P 61%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.756 - 8 32%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 25–27.5% · 232 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%42%47%+5.0
Draw31%32%29%-2.8
Away27%27%25%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 41%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.539%39%39%+0.7

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8580
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.19
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3341
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-31 30 190 43'6
2025-10-21 30 210 70'7
2025-10-04 30 190 68'7
2025-09-27 60 260 39'9
2025-09-20 80 250 15'10
2025-08-30 · Swansea City 20 240 30'6
2025-08-16 70 252 45'10
2025-05-03 50 240 29'8
2025-04-18 22 201 45'10
2025-01-17 40 182 84'7