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Championship · Matchweek 14
Queens Park RangersQPR
1–2
FT
SouthamptonSouthampton

Momentum

– QPRSouthampton –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
14

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,404

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Tonda Eckert
Position
15 · 21
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

James Bell

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
14.8° (feels 14.4°)
Wind
6.5
Humidity
80%

Where to watch · 179

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

WLWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 6.55–6.75 · xPts 6.67

  • L H Ipswich Town 1–4 xG 1.51–1.48 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 0.29–1.6 UK CHAMP
  • W A Swansea City 1–0 xG 1.74–0.5 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 1–2 xG 2.1–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 2–1 xG 0.91–1.65 UK CHAMP

Southampton

DDLLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 6.96–6.91 · xPts 6.79

  • L H Preston North End 0–2 xG 0.65–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • L A Blackburn Rovers 1–2 xG 1.15–2.18 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 1–3 xG 1.53–1.17 UK CHAMP
  • D H Swansea City 0–0 xG 2.62–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • D A Derby County 1–1 xG 1.02–1.31 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 16 matches since 2005

Queens Park Rangers 52 draws9 Southampton

Goals 17–27 · 2.75 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 21 draws7 Southampton

Goals 10–18 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 00 draws5 Southampton

Goals 2–11 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Southampton 5–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Southampton neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Queens Park Rangers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 4–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.261.431.751.54
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1023 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.331.741.751.83
Goals against / match1.591.611.191.54
Clean sheets22%17%25%8%
Failed to score28%17%12%8%
Both teams scored63%74%71%88%
Over 2.563%78%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.711.64
xG against / match1.331.211.331.57
xG difference-0.030.420.380.06
Finishing vs xG0.020.110.040.20
xPts / match1.371.681.591.41
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.240.160.13
Game state
Scored first33%48%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.600.601.261.20
Came back from behind26%17%54%46%
Leads held84%77%72%62%
Minutes leading20%30%34%31%
Minutes level46%45%49%49%
Minutes trailing34%26%18%20%
First goal (min)45414040
First goal conceded (min)34434446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.380.50
Late goals against0.260.480.270.38
Style
Possession46%47%56%54%
Shots12.714.314.413.1
On target4.15.05.35.1
Shot conversion10%12%12%14%
Shots inside box63%63%68%71%
Big chances created1.82.42.92.8
Corners4.85.45.85.0
xG from set plays31%28%28%32%
Goals from headers17%15%22%19%
Pressure index11.715.417.914.7
Dominant minutes46.754.459.054.2
Pass accuracy76%75%83%82%
Fouls11.011.110.711.5
Cards1.912.131.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
4-1-4-12 4%3.01.50.51.392.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 35%3.25Draw 29% P 28%2.6Away 36% P 36%

Double Chance

1.5QPR or Draw 31% P 32%1.3QPR or Southampton 36% P 36%1.44Draw or Southampton 33% P 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 55%2.1No 44% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 49%1.9Under 49% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-0.6
Draw28%28%28%+0.2
Away36%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

James Bell

Career
75 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.95 (3.81 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.6 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 67 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.964.05-0.1747
Fouls / match20.421.8-1.33
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.1949
Time added7.77.2+0.5567
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 30 230 7'6
2025-10-25 30 201 28'10
2025-10-18 50 210 43'7
2025-08-09 · Southampton 40 251 25'10
2025-05-03 20 180 48'7
2025-04-28 10 100 49'6
2025-04-21 30 220 73'6
2025-04-08 30 130 39'2
2025-04-05 60 320 18'6
2025-03-07 20 180 69'6