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Championship · Matchweek 15
SouthamptonSouthampton
3–1
FT
Sheffield WednesdaySHF

Momentum

– SouthamptonSHF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Capacity
32,384
Surface
grass
Attendance
27,607

Teams

Coaches
Tonda Eckert · Henrik Pedersen
Position
19 · 24
Formation
3-4-3 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
13.4° (feels 12.8°)
Wind
5.9
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Southampton

DLLLW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 6.75–7.19 · xPts 6.46

  • W A Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 0.81–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 0–2 xG 0.65–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • L A Blackburn Rovers 1–2 xG 1.15–2.18 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 1–3 xG 1.53–1.17 UK CHAMP
  • D H Swansea City 0–0 xG 2.62–0.35 UK CHAMP

Sheffield Wednesday

LLLDD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 6.26–7.07 · xPts 6.21

  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 1.33–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 0.35–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–2 xG 1.65–1.21 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 0–1 xG 1.13–1.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 1–2 xG 1.8–1.41 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2005

Southampton 73 draws2 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 22–15 · 3.08 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 67%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Southampton 53 draws2 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 18–15 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Southampton 40 draws1 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 12–5 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Sheffield Wednesday 1–3 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 3–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 4–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 1–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 2–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Sheffield Wednesday neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield Wednesday 5–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 3–3 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSouthampton all · 48Southampton at home · 24Sheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.960.390.35
W / D / L23 / 15 / 1013 / 8 / 32 / 12 / 321 / 5 / 17
Goals for / match1.751.670.630.65
Goals against / match1.190.831.931.96
Clean sheets25%42%9%13%
Failed to score12%17%50%48%
Both teams scored71%54%48%48%
Over 2.562%54%52%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.780.880.80
xG against / match1.331.092.012.07
xG difference0.380.69-1.13-1.27
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.11-0.25-0.15
xPts / match1.591.780.730.62
Points vs xPts0.160.18-0.34-0.28
Game state
Scored first52%50%26%17%
PPG when scoring first2.242.671.001.00
PPG when conceding first1.261.330.100.12
Came back from behind54%67%9%10%
Leads held72%81%15%20%
Minutes leading34%36%13%9%
Minutes level49%48%41%37%
Minutes trailing18%16%46%53%
First goal (min)40393840
First goal conceded (min)44403628
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%49%48%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%55%55%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.250.070.09
Late goals against0.270.170.430.43
Style
Possession56%58%45%43%
Shots14.415.78.78.0
On target5.35.52.52.5
Shot conversion12%11%7%8%
Shots inside box68%66%68%65%
Big chances created2.92.91.20.9
Corners5.86.54.33.9
xG from set plays28%26%33%29%
Goals from headers22%25%17%7%
Pressure index17.921.16.96.1
Dominant minutes59.063.832.829.2
Pass accuracy83%84%73%72%
Fouls10.79.811.811.9
Cards1.881.631.701.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33
4-1-4-12 4%3.01.50.51.392.18

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
5-3-24 9%0.250.52.01.052.15
3-4-1-24 9%0.251.02.51.242.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.44Home 65% P 66%4.75Draw 20% P 20%6.0Away 16% P 14%

Double Chance

1.12Southampton or Draw 42% P 43%1.18Southampton or Sheff Wed 40% P 40%2.62Draw or Sheff Wed 18% P 17%

Draw No Bet

1.161 81%5.02 19%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 50%1.9No 49% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

17.0Under 6 5%4.336 - 8 20%2.759 - 11 32%3.412 - 14 26%5.5Over 14 16%

Number of Cards

4.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home66%66%69%+3.3
Draw20%20%20%-0.7
Away14%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4098
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.66
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3335
Time added7.57.2+0.3259
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 60 250 50'10
2025-10-18 111 211 16'12
2025-10-04 30 140 36'6
2025-10-01 40 230 74'6
2025-09-20 · Sheffield Wednesday 50 150 17'7
2025-09-13 30 180 59'8
2025-08-30 30 230 49'4
2025-04-12 90 311 6'3
2025-03-29 40 220 8'8
2025-03-08 20 280 28'8