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Championship · Matchweek 15
Swansea CitySwansea City
1–4
FT
Ipswich TownIpswich Town

Momentum

– Swansea CityIpswich Town –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
15

Venue

Stadium
Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
Capacity
20,827
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,783

Teams

Coaches
Alan Sheehan · Kieran McKenna
Position
17 · 11
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Edward Duckworth

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
12.0° (feels 11.3°)
Wind
11.6
Humidity
81%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Swansea City

DLWDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 3.31–7.35 · xPts 4.37

  • L A Preston North End 1–2 xG 1.0–0.6 UK CHAMP
  • D A Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 0.81–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • W H Norwich City 2–1 xG 0.64–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 0–1 xG 0.5–1.74 UK CHAMP
  • D A Southampton 0–0 xG 0.35–2.62 UK CHAMP

Ipswich Town

LLWWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 7 · xG 10.58–5.88 · xPts 9.93

  • D H Watford 1–1 xG 1.92–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 4–1 xG 1.48–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 1.81–0.44 UK CHAMP
  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–3 xG 3.03–1.89 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 2.35–1.69 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 13 matches since 2007

Swansea City 43 draws6 Ipswich Town

Goals 20–21 · 3.15 per match · BTTS 62% · over 2.5 69%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Swansea City 32 draws5 Ipswich Town

Goals 15–18 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Swansea City 10 draws4 Ipswich Town

Goals 5–12 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Ipswich Town 3–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–4 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 1–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 3–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 2–3 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 4–1 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 1–3 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 0–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Ipswich Town 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricSwansea City all · 46Swansea City at home · 23Ipswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.391.701.831.48
W / D / L18 / 10 / 1811 / 6 / 623 / 15 / 89 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.241.481.741.61
Goals against / match1.281.171.021.30
Clean sheets26%30%37%30%
Failed to score22%9%13%17%
Both teams scored54%61%56%61%
Over 2.550%52%52%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.351.831.59
xG against / match1.371.371.031.22
xG difference-0.15-0.020.800.36
Finishing vs xG0.020.13-0.090.02
xPts / match1.281.361.881.61
Points vs xPts0.120.34-0.06-0.13
Game state
Scored first48%61%54%39%
PPG when scoring first2.362.362.682.78
PPG when conceding first0.480.670.780.58
Came back from behind28%40%60%46%
Leads held72%69%79%75%
Minutes leading25%28%33%21%
Minutes level48%48%50%53%
Minutes trailing27%23%17%26%
First goal (min)46494050
First goal conceded (min)40374035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half65%65%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%44%51%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.430.500.52
Late goals against0.300.300.130.22
Style
Possession55%56%56%56%
Shots12.313.615.113.7
On target3.93.85.14.5
Shot conversion10%11%12%12%
Shots inside box58%60%67%66%
Big chances created1.71.72.82.2
Corners4.55.15.75.2
xG from set plays36%36%32%36%
Goals from headers13%16%12%19%
Pressure index12.815.218.816.9
Dominant minutes51.958.062.357.8
Pass accuracy79%80%81%80%
Fouls9.89.111.212.0
Cards2.001.911.932.48

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Swansea City

0–15'66
16–30'86
31–45'616
46–60'1011
61–75'116
76–90'1614

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-122 48%1.321.231.411.191.3
4-1-4-111 24%1.821.360.731.351.38
4-3-37 15%1.431.141.141.131.33
3-4-2-12 4%0.01.03.00.80.88
4-4-21 2%0.01.03.01.932.01

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.5Home 27% P 27%3.3Draw 28% P 28%2.1Away 45% P 44%

Double Chance

1.7Swansea or Draw 28% P 28%1.33Swansea or Ipswich 35% P 36%1.28Draw or Ipswich 37% P 36%

Draw No Bet

2.51 38%1.52 62%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 50%1.8No 51% P 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 44%1.72Under 54% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 42.5–45% · 322 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home27%27%26%-0.8
Draw28%29%32%+2.9
Away44%44%42%-2.0

In those fixtures: 2.3 goals a game · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 39%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes50%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Edward Duckworth

Career
16 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.19 (4.0 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
19.3 · 3.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.25 cards, 20.2 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-05 40 170 17'8
2025-10-04 60 170 29'7