Rating 6.86 (59th pct) · G+A 2 + 4 (11% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Team 1.32 ppg with (31) · 1.07 without (15)
Championship · Matchweek 15
Momentum
– WatfordBristol City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Watford | at home | Stat | league | away | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.2 #12 | – | Ball possession | 50.0 | – | 49.3 #14 |
| 13.8 #5 | – | Shots total | 12.6 | – | 12.2 #15 |
| 4.4 #6 | – | Shots on target | 4.1 | – | 4.1 #11 |
| 4.9 #14 | – | Corners | 5.2 | – | 4.8 #15 |
| 11.0 #8 | – | Fouls | 10.7 | – | 9.5 #23 |
| 1.2 #23 | – | Offsides | 1.8 | – | 2.0 #4 |
| 14.9 #14 | – | Tackles | 15.2 | – | 14.9 #14 |
| 90.4 #19 | – | Attacks | 94.9 | – | 90.8 #18 |
| 42.0 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 45.2 | – | 41.4 #21 |
| 414.7 #12 | – | Passes | 400.9 | – | 424.7 #9 |
| 2.2 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 1.9 | – | 1.7 #18 |
| 0.1 #2 | – | Redcards | 0.0 | – | – |
| 0.8 #16 | – | Assists | 0.9 | – | 0.9 #9 |
| – #8 | – | Btts | 56.5 | – | – #23 |
| – #22 | – | Cleansheet | 24.9 | – | – #4 |
| – #2 | – | Draw | 26.6 | – | – #16 |
| 1.3 #11 | – | Expected goals | 1.4 | – | 1.2 #19 |
| -0.2 #17 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 25.0 | – | – #5 |
| 1.1 #17 | 1.3 | Goals | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.3 #12 |
| 1.4 #5 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.3 #10 |
| 0.2 #9 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #18 |
| 9.0 #12 | – | Interceptions | 9.0 | – | 9.7 #6 |
| – #14 | – | Lost | 36.8 | – | – #11 |
| 0.0 #11 | – | Penalties scored | 0.1 | – | 0.0 #17 |
| 6.8 #10 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #7 |
| 4.3 #6 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.7 #13 |
| 8.0 #11 | – | Shots insidebox | 8.2 | – | 7.4 #20 |
| 5.1 #6 | – | Shots off target | 4.7 | – | 4.4 #17 |
| 5.9 #1 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.8 #9 |
| – #17 | – | Win | 36.6 | – | – #12 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2025/2026
- Played
- 557 of 558
- Goals / match
- 2.59 (home 1.39 · away 1.2)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 27% · 32%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 57% · 50%
- Cards / match
- 3.99 (reds 0.06)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Watford · 2025/2026 · Championship
Rating 6.91 (73th pct) · G+A 4 + 2 (11% of team goals) · 60% of minutes
Team 1.14 ppg with (28) · 1.39 without (18)
Rating 6.83 (71th pct) · G+A 10 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 69% of minutes
Team 1.37 ppg with (35) · 0.82 without (11)
Bristol City · 2025/2026 · Championship
Rating 7.1 (97th pct) · G+A 11 + 7 (31% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Rating 6.92 (76th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (8% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 7.02 (93th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (7% of team goals) · 45% of minutes
Team 1.57 ppg with (23) · 1.13 without (23)
Absences
Watford
- injury Pierre Dwomoh midfielder · Thigh Problems · 13 missed · until 2025-11-02
Bristol City
- injury Luke McNally defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 75 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 15
Venue
- Stadium
- Vicarage Road, Watford
- Capacity
- 22,200
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 19,574
Teams
- Coaches
- Javier Gracia Carlos · Gerhard Struber
- Position
- 12 · 7
- Formation
- 3-4-3 · 3-5-2
Referee
Paul Tierney
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 15.0° (feels 14.6°)
- Wind
- 4.4
- Humidity
- 78%
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2025/2026
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry City |
46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97 | 45 | 52 | 95 | DDWWW |
| 2 |  Ipswich Town |
46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 84 | DWDDW |
| 3 |  Millwall |
46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 83 | DWWDW |
| 4 |  Southampton |
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82 | 56 | 26 | 80 | WWDDW |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough |
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72 | 47 | 25 | 80 | LDWWD |
| 6 |  Hull City |
46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 73 | LDDLW |
| 7 |  Wrexham |
46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 | LWWLD |
| 8 |  Derby County |
46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67 | 59 | 8 | 69 | LWLWL |
| 9 |  Norwich City |
46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 65 | LWWDL |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 64 | WDWWD |
| 11 |  Swansea City |
46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57 | 59 | -2 | 64 | WLWDW |
| 12 |  Bristol City |
46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59 | 59 | 0 | 62 | DLDLW |
| 13 |  Sheffield United |
46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 60 | WWLLW |
| 14 |  Preston North End |
46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 60 | WLLWL |
| 15 |  Queens Park Rangers |
46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 58 | DLLLL |
| 16 |  Watford |
46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 57 | LLLLL |
| 17 |  Stoke City |
46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51 | 56 | -5 | 55 | DLLLL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49 | 64 | -15 | 55 | WWLWD |
| 19 |  Charlton Athletic |
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44 | 58 | -14 | 53 | LDLWL |
| 20 |  Blackburn Rovers |
46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42 | 56 | -14 | 52 | DLDWL |
| 21 |  West Bromwich Albion (-2) |
46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48 | 58 | -10 | 51 | DWWDL |
| 22 |  Oxford United |
46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45 | 59 | -14 | 47 | WLLWL |
| 23 |  Leicester City (-6) |
46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58 | 68 | -10 | 46 | LLDDW |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday (-18) |
46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29 | 89 | -60 | 0 | DDLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry City |
23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 55 | DDWWW |
| 2 | Ipswich Town |
23 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 43 | 17 | 26 | 50 | DWDDW |
| 3 | Southampton |
23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 44 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 44 | WDWWD |
| 5 | Middlesbrough |
23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 42 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Millwall |
23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 25 | 8 | 42 | DWWDW |
| 7 | Swansea City |
23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 39 | WLWDW |
| 8 | Hull City |
23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 38 | LDDLW |
| 9 | Wrexham |
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 37 | LWWLD |
| 10 | Watford |
23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 37 | LLLLL |
| 11 | Derby County |
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 36 | LWLWL |
| 12 | West Bromwich Albion |
23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 34 | DWWDL |
| 13 | Stoke City |
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 33 | DLLLL |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 31 | WWLLW |
| 16 | Bristol City |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 31 | DLDLW |
| 17 | Preston North End |
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 31 | WLLWL |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 31 | LDLWL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 30 | WWLWD |
| 20 | Norwich City |
23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 30 | LWWDL |
| 21 | Oxford United |
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 29 | WLLWL |
| 22 | Leicester City |
23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 28 | LLDDW |
| 23 | Blackburn Rovers |
23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 | DLDWL |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday |
23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 44 | -30 | 10 | DDLLW |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millwall |
23 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 41 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Coventry City |
23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 40 | DDWWW |
| 3 | Middlesbrough |
23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 4 | Southampton |
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 36 | WWDDW |
| 5 | Norwich City |
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 35 | LWWDL |
| 6 | Hull City |
23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 35 | LDDLW |
| 7 | Ipswich Town |
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 34 | DWDDW |
| 8 | Wrexham |
23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 34 | LWWLD |
| 9 | Derby County |
23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 33 | LWLWL |
| 10 | Bristol City |
23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 31 | DLDLW |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 31 | DLDWL |
| 12 | Sheffield United |
23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 29 | WWLLW |
| 13 | Preston North End |
23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 29 | WLLWL |
| 14 | Swansea City |
23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 25 | WLWDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 25 | DLLLL |
| 16 | Portsmouth |
23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 | WWLWD |
| 17 | Leicester City |
23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 24 | LLDDW |
| 18 | Charlton Athletic |
23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 22 | LDLWL |
| 19 | Stoke City |
23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 22 | DLLLL |
| 20 | Watford |
23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 21 | Birmingham City |
23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 20 | WDWWD |
| 22 | West Bromwich Albion |
23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 | DWWDL |
| 23 | Oxford United |
23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 18 | WLLWL |
| 24 | Sheffield Wednesday |
23 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 45 | -30 | 8 | DDLLW |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Watford
LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 5.55–7.49 · xPts 5.57
- D
A
Ipswich Town
1–1
xG 0.35–1.92
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
3–0
xG 0.8–0.97
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Coventry City
1–3
xG 2.29–1.56
UK CHAMP
- W
H
West Bromwich Albion
2–1
xG 1.02–0.92
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Sheffield United
0–1
xG 1.08–2.12
UK CHAMP
LLWDWLWLWD 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 13 GA 12 · xG 16.54–13.67 · xPts 14.61
- D
A
Ipswich Town
1–1
xG 0.35–1.92
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
3–0
xG 0.8–0.97
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Coventry City
1–3
xG 2.29–1.56
UK CHAMP
- W
H
West Bromwich Albion
2–1
xG 1.02–0.92
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Sheffield United
0–1
xG 1.08–2.12
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Oxford United
2–1
xG 4.01–1.32
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Portsmouth
2–2
xG 1.54–1.11
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Hull City
2–1
xG 3.46–1.18
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Millwall
0–1
xG 0.86–1.07
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–1
xG 1.13–1.51
UK CHAMP
Bristol City
WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 5.1–6.72 · xPts 5.5
- L
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–1
xG 0.58–1.37
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Stoke City
1–5
xG 1.1–2.04
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Birmingham City
1–0
xG 0.29–0.83
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Southampton
3–1
xG 1.17–1.53
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Norwich City
1–0
xG 1.96–0.94
UK CHAMP
WLDDLWWWLL 4W 2D 4L · 14 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 12 GA 13 · xG 11.63–12.72 · xPts 12.8
- L
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–1
xG 0.58–1.37
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Stoke City
1–5
xG 1.1–2.04
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Birmingham City
1–0
xG 0.29–0.83
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Southampton
3–1
xG 1.17–1.53
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Norwich City
1–0
xG 1.96–0.94
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Queens Park Rangers
1–2
xG 1.65–0.91
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Ipswich Town
1–1
xG 1.29–1.69
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Preston North End
0–0
xG 1.45–0.68
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Oxford United
1–3
xG 1.22–1.86
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Sheffield Wednesday
3–0
xG 0.93–0.86
UK CHAMP
All meetings · 27 matches since 2007
Goals 39–34 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Bristol City 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 1–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bristol City 5–1 Watford UK FA Cup · Round 3
- D Watford 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bristol City 2–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Watford 1–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Bristol City 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 1–4 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Watford 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Bristol City 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Watford all · 46 | Watford at home · 23 | Bristol City all · 46 | Bristol City away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 46 | 23 | 46 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.24 | 1.61 | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 15 / 17 | 10 / 7 / 6 | 17 / 11 / 18 | 8 / 7 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.15 | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.13 |
| Goals against / match | 1.41 | 1.17 | 1.28 | 1.22 |
| Clean sheets | 15% | 22% | 30% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% | 33% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 52% | 46% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 44% | 46% | 44% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.34 | 1.50 | 1.18 | 1.16 |
| xG against / match | 1.25 | 1.15 | 1.48 | 1.46 |
| xG difference | 0.10 | 0.34 | -0.29 | -0.31 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.19 | -0.19 | 0.10 | -0.03 |
| xPts / match | 1.43 | 1.57 | 1.20 | 1.19 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.20 | 0.04 | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 30% | 39% | 35% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.71 | 2.33 | 2.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.84 | 1.13 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 47% | 60% | 31% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | 91% | 77% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 18% | 25% | 30% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 49% | 48% | 41% | 43% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 27% | 29% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 42 | 32 | 36 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 36 | 30 | 29 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 50% | 46% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 48% | 52% | 44% | 39% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 52% | 49% | 46% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 15.7 | 12.2 | 11.7 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | 10% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 57% | 60% | 62% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.4 | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 23% | 24% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 17% | 21% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 12.4 | 11.9 | 9.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.0 | 52.2 | 43.9 | 39.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 78% | 76% |
| Fouls | 11.0 | 11.1 | 9.5 | 10.3 |
| Cards | 2.15 | 1.87 | 1.83 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Watford
0–15'59
16–30'613
31–45'1112
46–60'910
61–75'88
76–90'1413
Bristol City
0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Watford · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193
Game state
When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015
Situations
At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16
Bristol City · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565
Situations
At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 21 46% | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 22% | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.25 | 0.83 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 11% | 0.4 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 0.86 | 1.68 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.61 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 25 54% | 1.48 | 1.44 | 1.4 | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 17% | 1.13 | 1.25 | 1.38 | 0.97 | 1.51 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 11% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 9% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.41 | 1.82 |
| Metric | Watford all · 10 | Watford at home · 10 | Bristol City all · 10 | Bristol City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 2.10 | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 70% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.17 | 1.32 | 1.21 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 1.82 | 1.42 | 1.64 | 1.60 |
| xG difference | -0.64 | -0.09 | -0.44 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.37 | -0.32 | 0.29 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 0.99 | 1.33 | 1.18 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.19 | -0.13 | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.67 | 2.33 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.43 | 0.67 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 33% | 20% | 40% |
| Leads held | 50% | 75% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 19% | 28% | 18% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 49% | 44% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 52% | 32% | 27% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 47 | 38 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 24 | 39 | 45 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 50% | 67% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 38% | 60% | 62% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.5 | 14.1 | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| On target | 3.6 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 7% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 67% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 3.0 | 5.2 | 5.0 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 17% | 25% | 43% | 41% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 10% | 27% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 8.7 | 9.3 | 12.6 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.3 | 44.8 | 46.5 | 42.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 77% | 79% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 12.4 | 10.6 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.40 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Watford
0–15'23
16–30'25
31–45'05
46–60'14
61–75'12
76–90'22
Bristol City
0–15'31
16–30'02
31–45'23
46–60'14
61–75'22
76–90'74
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.79 | 1.83 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.61 | 1.41 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.13 | 2.51 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.21 | 1.64 |
| Metric | Watford all · 49 | Watford at home · 24 | Bristol City all · 50 | Bristol City away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 24 | 50 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.22 | 1.67 | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 15 / 19 | 11 / 7 / 6 | 18 / 10 / 22 | 8 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.14 | 1.33 | 1.24 | 1.04 |
| Goals against / match | 1.49 | 1.17 | 1.38 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 21% | 24% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 25% | 34% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 58% | 48% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 46% | 48% | 48% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.52 | 1.20 | 1.26 |
| xG against / match | 1.33 | 1.18 | 1.48 | 1.49 |
| xG difference | 0.03 | 0.34 | -0.29 | -0.23 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.19 | 0.04 | -0.22 |
| xPts / match | 1.40 | 1.56 | 1.22 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.17 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 33% | 38% | 28% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.23 | 2.50 | 2.37 | 2.43 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.85 | 1.27 | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 60% | 27% | 33% |
| Leads held | 65% | 85% | 78% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 26% | 27% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 48% | 43% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 26% | 30% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 43 | 34 | 42 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 36 | 37 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 50% | 55% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 44% | 50% | 50% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 50% | 48% |
| Shots | 13.6 | 15.5 | 12.3 | 12.6 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 9% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 62% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.4 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 24% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 16% | 27% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 11.0 | 12.5 | 13.4 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.9 | 51.0 | 45.6 | 42.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 2.16 | 2.04 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Watford
0–15'711
16–30'616
31–45'1014
46–60'911
61–75'910
76–90'1511
Bristol City
0–15'99
16–30'815
31–45'1110
46–60'109
61–75'812
76–90'1613
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Watford · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: with ten men -0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0249
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0149
Late push (76+, level)+0.0820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0419
Game state
When ahead-0.0223
When level+0.0649
When behind-0.0134
10 min after conceding-0.2042
10 min after scoring+0.2433
Situations
With ten men-0.273
At home-0.0424
Away+0.0825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1117
4+ days rest-0.0332
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0127
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0415
As favourite+0.0714
Evenly matched-0.0320
As underdog+0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1049
Conceded when ahead+0.1523
Conceded late (76+)-0.1843
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.07
Bristol City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1450
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0550
Late push (76+, level)-0.0716
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2723
Game state
When ahead+0.1223
When level+0.2150
When behind+0.0429
10 min after conceding-0.1936
10 min after scoring+0.5232
Situations
At home+0.0925
Away+0.1825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1417
4+ days rest+0.1433
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0428
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2516
As favourite+0.3316
Evenly matched+0.0422
As underdog+0.0712
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0650
Conceded when ahead+0.1723
Conceded late (76+)+0.0546
Congested vs rested +0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.17
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 21 43% | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 33% | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.79 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.16 | 1.82 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 22 44% | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.5 | 1.16 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 30% | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.11 | 1.55 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 10% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.35 | 1.13 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.05Home 46% P 46%3.6Draw 26% P 27%3.4Away 28% P 27%
Double Chance
1.28Watford or Draw 37% P 37%1.28Watford or Bristol City 37% P 36%1.8Draw or Bristol City 26% P 27%
Draw No Bet
1.441 65%2.622 35%
Both Teams To Score
1.83Yes 50% P 54%1.83No 50% P 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.1Over 45% P 48%1.72Under 55% P 52%
Total Corners
9.0Under 6 10%3.06 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 46% | 46% | 44% | -1.8 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 30% | +1.8 |
| Away | 27% | 26% | 26% | +0.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%
Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54% | 54% | 54% | -0.2 |
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Paul Tierney
- Career
- 356 matches · 17 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.43 (3.32 yellow · 0.06 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.7 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.19
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 8 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.75 cards, 23.3 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-25 | – | – | 22 | – | – | 8 |