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Championship · Matchweek 16

Momentum

CHASouthampton
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
The Valley, London
Capacity
27,111
Surface
grass
Attendance
22,708

Teams

Coaches
Nathan Jones · Tonda Eckert
Position
9 · 18
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Stephen Martin

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
8.0° (feels 3.8°)
Wind
8.8
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Charlton Athletic

WDDWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 6.58–8.51 · xPts 6.15

  • L A Wrexham 0–1 xG 0.41–2.54 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 1.22–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • D H Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.43–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 1–1 xG 1.63–1.18 UK CHAMP
  • W A Ipswich Town 3–0 xG 1.89–3.03 UK CHAMP

Southampton

LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.8–7.96 · xPts 5.53

  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 xG 1.67–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 0.81–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 0–2 xG 0.65–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • L A Blackburn Rovers 1–2 xG 1.15–2.18 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 1–3 xG 1.53–1.17 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 16 matches since 2000

Charlton Athletic 49 draws3 Southampton

Goals 15–17 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 31%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Charlton Athletic 35 draws2 Southampton

Goals 11–13 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Charlton Athletic 13 draws1 Southampton

Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Southampton 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–5 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 2–3 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 0–0 Southampton neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 1–1 Southampton neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 0–1 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Southampton 0–0 Charlton Athletic UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 0–0 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 2–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–2 Charlton Athletic UK PL · Regular Season
MetricCharlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic at home · 23Southampton all · 48Southampton away · 24
Results
Matches46234824
Points per game1.151.351.751.54
W / D / L13 / 14 / 199 / 4 / 1023 / 15 / 1010 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match0.961.001.751.83
Goals against / match1.261.131.191.54
Clean sheets28%35%25%8%
Failed to score22%17%12%8%
Both teams scored54%52%71%88%
Over 2.539%44%62%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.151.271.711.64
xG against / match1.551.341.331.57
xG difference-0.40-0.080.380.06
Finishing vs xG-0.19-0.270.040.20
xPts / match1.191.381.591.41
Points vs xPts-0.03-0.030.160.13
Game state
Scored first48%56%52%54%
PPG when scoring first2.052.232.241.85
PPG when conceding first0.270.111.261.20
Came back from behind24%9%54%46%
Leads held59%69%72%62%
Minutes leading16%18%34%31%
Minutes level56%51%49%49%
Minutes trailing28%31%18%20%
First goal (min)56524040
First goal conceded (min)43344446
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half66%61%55%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%35%61%65%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.300.380.50
Late goals against0.330.040.270.38
Style
Possession42%45%56%54%
Shots11.012.814.413.1
On target3.54.15.35.1
Shot conversion9%8%12%14%
Shots inside box68%69%68%71%
Big chances created1.92.12.92.8
Corners4.15.15.85.0
xG from set plays39%36%28%32%
Goals from headers19%17%22%19%
Pressure index7.09.317.914.7
Dominant minutes34.441.359.054.2
Pass accuracy70%71%83%82%
Fouls12.011.310.711.5
Cards2.202.301.882.13

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86
4-1-4-12 4%3.01.50.51.392.18

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 34% P 34%3.25Draw 29% P 28%2.55Away 37% P 38%

Double Chance

1.5Charlton or Draw 32% P 31%1.36Charlton or Southampton 35% P 36%1.4Draw or Southampton 34% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 56%1.9No 49% P 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 49%1.72Under 55% P 51%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home34%34%31%-2.8
Draw28%28%28%-0.1
Away38%39%42%+3.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes56%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Stephen Martin

Career
78 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match23.021.8+1.06
Fouls per card5.25.4-0.59 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9412
Time added7.77.2+0.5667
First card
35' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 40 210 13'7
2025-11-04 10 200 85'8
2025-10-25 50 250 32'9
2025-09-26 70 290 47'6
2025-08-23 80 280 39'13
2025-08-16 60 211 25'12
2025-08-09 · Charlton Athletic 30 220 25'9
2025-05-03 10 270 65'5
2025-04-26 30 260 25'10
2025-04-18 40 300 2'12