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Championship · Matchweek 16

Momentum

Ipswich TownWrexham
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
Portman Road Stadium, Ipswich
Capacity
29,673
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,147

Teams

Coaches
Kieran McKenna · Phil Parkinson
Position
8 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2

Referee

Dean Whitestone

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
6.9° (feels 3.3°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Ipswich Town

LWWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 6 · xG 9.39–4.78 · xPts 9.95

  • W A Swansea City 4–1 xG 1.15–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 1–1 xG 1.92–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 4–1 xG 1.48–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 1.81–0.44 UK CHAMP
  • L H Charlton Athletic 0–3 xG 3.03–1.89 UK CHAMP

Wrexham

WDWDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 5.7–4.77 · xPts 7.29

  • W H Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 2.54–0.41 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 0–0 xG 0.54–1.81 UK CHAMP
  • W H Coventry City 3–2 xG 1.35–1.48 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.52–0.93 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 1–0 xG 0.75–0.14 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Ipswich Town 01 draws2 Wrexham

Goals 3–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Ipswich Town 01 draws2 Wrexham

Goals 3–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Ipswich Town 01 draws2 Wrexham

Goals 3–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • L Wrexham 5–3 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Wrexham 1–0 Ipswich Town UK FA Cup · Round 4
  • D Ipswich Town 0–0 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricIpswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town at home · 23Wrexham all · 46Wrexham away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.832.171.541.48
W / D / L23 / 15 / 814 / 8 / 119 / 14 / 139 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.741.871.501.22
Goals against / match1.020.741.411.22
Clean sheets37%44%26%30%
Failed to score13%9%13%22%
Both teams scored56%52%65%56%
Over 2.552%56%50%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.832.071.220.91
xG against / match1.030.841.481.68
xG difference0.801.23-0.26-0.77
Finishing vs xG-0.09-0.200.280.31
xPts / match1.882.161.220.91
Points vs xPts-0.060.020.320.57
Game state
Scored first54%70%52%48%
PPG when scoring first2.682.622.081.91
PPG when conceding first0.781.170.951.10
Came back from behind60%86%46%42%
Leads held79%82%63%64%
Minutes leading33%45%31%32%
Minutes level50%48%46%49%
Minutes trailing17%8%23%20%
First goal (min)40323736
First goal conceded (min)40464043
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half59%44%54%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half51%59%55%61%
Late goals for (76'+)0.500.480.370.26
Late goals against0.130.040.410.48
Style
Possession56%56%48%45%
Shots15.116.511.38.5
On target5.15.73.82.7
Shot conversion12%11%13%14%
Shots inside box67%68%66%64%
Big chances created2.83.52.31.7
Corners5.76.24.53.7
xG from set plays32%29%32%25%
Goals from headers12%5%29%15%
Pressure index18.820.710.17.1
Dominant minutes62.366.741.932.4
Pass accuracy81%81%78%76%
Fouls11.210.39.710.5
Cards1.931.391.591.91

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.44Home 65% P 66%4.2Draw 22% P 21%7.5Away 13% P 13%

Double Chance

1.1Ipswich or Draw 43% P 43%1.22Ipswich or Wrexham 39% P 40%2.62Draw or Wrexham 18% P 17%

Draw No Bet

1.121 84%6.02 16%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 49%1.8No 51% P 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 44%1.72Under 54% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 65–67.5% · away 12.5–15% · 566 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home66%66%69%+3.3
Draw21%20%20%-0.7
Away13%14%11%-2.7

In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 58%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes49%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Dean Whitestone

Career
255 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
2.93 (2.83 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
20.1 · 5.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.22
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 108 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.83
Fouls per card6.35.4+1.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.4878
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
42' on average
Card timing
12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 20 270 9'12
2025-11-04 30 180 37'17
2025-10-25 51 181 44'9
2025-09-27 30 270 23'8
2025-09-13 30 260 58'9
2025-08-23 30 270 54'11
2025-08-09 30 250 41'15
2025-04-26 30 270 43'5
2025-04-18 60 220 42'10
2025-04-08 40 250 4'2