KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 16
Leicester CityLEI
2–1
FT
Stoke CityStoke City

Momentum

– LEIStoke City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
King Power Stadium, Leicester
Capacity
32,312
Surface
grass
Attendance
29,897

Teams

Coaches
Martí Cifuentes Corvillo · Mark Robins
Position
12 · 3
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Matt Donohue

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
7.7° (feels 4.4°)
Wind
5.9
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Leicester City

LLLDW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 6.85–6.24 · xPts 7.33

  • W A Norwich City 2–1 xG 1.31–0.37 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 1.38–1.39 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–2 xG 1.3–1.73 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–1 xG 0.8–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 1–2 xG 2.07–1.34 UK CHAMP

Stoke City

LWWWL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 7.45–7.83 · xPts 6.53

  • L H Coventry City 0–1 xG 1.09–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 3–0 xG 2.49–1.76 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 5–1 xG 2.04–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.96–1.65 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–2 xG 0.87–1.89 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Leicester City 97 draws4 Stoke City

Goals 40–24 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 65%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Leicester City 64 draws0 Stoke City

Goals 25–8 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Leicester City 41 draws0 Stoke City

Goals 15–3 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • D Stoke City 2–2 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 2–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 0–5 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 0–4 Leicester City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • D Leicester City 1–1 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 2–0 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 3–0 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
MetricLeicester City all · 46Leicester City at home · 23Stoke City all · 46Stoke City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.131.221.200.96
W / D / L12 / 16 / 187 / 7 / 915 / 10 / 216 / 4 / 13
Goals for / match1.261.351.110.74
Goals against / match1.481.481.221.22
Clean sheets13%13%28%30%
Failed to score20%22%37%52%
Both teams scored72%70%44%26%
Over 2.554%52%44%30%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.281.341.241.03
xG against / match1.471.271.431.67
xG difference-0.190.07-0.19-0.63
Finishing vs xG-0.020.01-0.13-0.30
xPts / match1.261.391.281.01
Points vs xPts-0.13-0.17-0.08-0.05
Game state
Scored first48%61%44%35%
PPG when scoring first1.731.642.252.38
PPG when conceding first0.550.500.270.08
Came back from behind33%25%22%7%
Leads held46%44%71%75%
Minutes leading26%34%24%16%
Minutes level43%41%50%51%
Minutes trailing31%25%27%32%
First goal (min)40303742
First goal conceded (min)39444440
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%39%55%65%
Goals conceded in 2nd half50%56%62%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.300.150.04
Late goals against0.280.300.350.35
Style
Possession52%54%52%51%
Shots12.913.811.29.8
On target4.24.03.82.8
Shot conversion10%10%10%8%
Shots inside box59%54%65%62%
Big chances created1.72.01.81.4
Corners5.36.16.05.6
xG from set plays34%30%28%19%
Goals from headers12%13%16%19%
Pressure index12.615.313.310.2
Dominant minutes47.152.452.748.2
Pass accuracy80%82%78%78%
Fouls10.810.710.410.2
Cards1.961.742.302.35

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.0Home 47% P 46%3.3Draw 28% P 27%3.8Away 25% P 26%

Double Chance

1.28Leicester or Draw 37% P 37%1.33Leicester or Stoke 36% P 36%1.72Draw or Stoke 27% P 27%

Draw No Bet

1.51 62%2.52 38%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 53%2.0No 46% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home46%46%44%-1.8
Draw27%28%30%+1.8
Away26%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Matt Donohue

Career
202 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
4.26 (4.07 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
23.4 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 134 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.634.05+1.0590
Fouls / match23.021.8+0.99
Fouls per card5.05.4-0.77 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4126
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
36' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
47% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-01 40 290 41'9
2025-10-21 · Leicester City 30 200 52'11
2025-10-17 40 261 20'6
2025-09-30 50 260 20'10
2025-09-14 60 300 45'13
2025-08-30 · Stoke City 40 180 60'12
2025-08-23 80 191 26'9
2025-08-10 · Leicester City 21 190 71'13
2025-04-26 50 230 30'11
2025-04-18 112 210 59'9