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Championship · Matchweek 16
Queens Park RangersQPR
3–2
FT
Hull CityHull City

Momentum

– QPRHull City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
16

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass
Attendance
16,657

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Sergej Jakirović
Position
18 · 6
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

James Linington

Weather

Conditions
heavy intensity rain
Temperature
7.2° (feels 3.6°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

WLLLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 5.86–6.26 · xPts 6.63

  • D A Sheffield United 0–0 xG 0.74–1.88 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 1.58–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 1–4 xG 1.51–1.48 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 0.29–1.6 UK CHAMP
  • W A Swansea City 1–0 xG 1.74–0.5 UK CHAMP

Hull City

WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 7.57–7.84 · xPts 6.84

  • W H Portsmouth 3–2 xG 2.01–1.12 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 1–2 xG 1.21–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 2–0 xG 1.83–2.28 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.18–1.63 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 2–1 xG 1.34–2.07 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2005

Queens Park Rangers 108 draws10 Hull City

Goals 40–41 · 2.89 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 64%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 61 draws3 Hull City

Goals 18–15 · 3.3 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 30 draws2 Hull City

Goals 9–10 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Hull City 1–3 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 3–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 3–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 3–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 3–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 0–3 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers at home · 23Hull City all · 49Hull City away · 24
Results
Matches46234924
Points per game1.261.431.631.58
W / D / L16 / 10 / 2010 / 3 / 1023 / 11 / 1511 / 5 / 8
Goals for / match1.331.741.491.54
Goals against / match1.591.611.351.33
Clean sheets22%17%29%29%
Failed to score28%17%18%12%
Both teams scored63%74%61%62%
Over 2.563%78%61%67%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.301.631.371.27
xG against / match1.331.211.661.91
xG difference-0.030.42-0.29-0.63
Finishing vs xG0.020.110.120.27
xPts / match1.371.681.251.09
Points vs xPts-0.11-0.240.380.49
Game state
Scored first33%48%57%67%
PPG when scoring first2.472.272.182.00
PPG when conceding first0.600.600.880.71
Came back from behind26%17%35%33%
Leads held84%77%72%65%
Minutes leading20%30%30%32%
Minutes level46%45%53%52%
Minutes trailing34%26%17%16%
First goal (min)45413233
First goal conceded (min)34434044
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%55%45%49%
Goals conceded in 2nd half48%68%52%62%
Late goals for (76'+)0.390.520.270.33
Late goals against0.260.480.310.38
Style
Possession46%47%45%43%
Shots12.714.311.111.0
On target4.15.04.14.3
Shot conversion10%12%13%14%
Shots inside box63%63%68%68%
Big chances created1.82.42.22.3
Corners4.85.44.44.6
xG from set plays31%28%21%13%
Goals from headers17%15%14%19%
Pressure index11.715.49.37.6
Dominant minutes46.754.439.832.6
Pass accuracy76%75%72%71%
Fouls11.011.111.211.5
Cards1.912.132.553.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-3-31 2%1.00.00.00.561.69

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 49% P 49%3.4Draw 27% P 26%4.0Away 23% P 25%

Double Chance

1.25QPR or Draw 38% P 38%1.3QPR or Hull 36% P 37%1.8Draw or Hull 26% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.41 66%2.752 34%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home49%49%47%-1.9
Draw26%28%29%+1.7
Away25%24%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

James Linington

Career
298 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.82 (3.69 yellow · 0.08 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 103 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.324.05+0.4969
Fouls / match22.021.8+0.11
Fouls per card5.15.4-0.61 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.220.17+0.6280
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
33' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)
VAR events / match
1.0

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-04 50 190 11'6
2025-10-25 30 150 30'7
2025-10-21 30 200 15'8
2025-10-04 20 150 38'6
2025-05-03 60 160 22'7
2025-04-26 · Queens Park Rangers 60 240 8'6
2025-04-18 40 220 29'10
2025-04-05 50 140 52'7
2025-03-08 · Hull City 41 141 14'10
2025-03-04 30 160 90'6