KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 17
Hull CityHull City
0–2
FT
Ipswich TownIpswich Town

Momentum

– Hull CityIpswich Town –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
MKM Stadium, Hull
Capacity
25,586
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,271

Teams

Coaches
Sergej Jakirović · Kieran McKenna
Position
6 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
4.4° (feels 1.7°)
Wind
3.1
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Hull City

DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 9 GA 8 · xG 7.64–9.18 · xPts 6.37

  • L A Queens Park Rangers 2–3 xG 1.41–3.41 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 3–2 xG 2.01–1.12 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 1–2 xG 1.21–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 2–0 xG 1.83–2.28 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 1.18–1.63 UK CHAMP

Ipswich Town

WWDWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 10 GA 3 · xG 7.88–2.94 · xPts 10.46

  • D H Wrexham 0–0 xG 1.52–0.06 UK CHAMP
  • W A Swansea City 4–1 xG 1.15–0.59 UK CHAMP
  • D H Watford 1–1 xG 1.92–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 4–1 xG 1.48–1.51 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 1.81–0.44 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Hull City 116 draws5 Ipswich Town

Goals 33–24 · 2.59 per match · BTTS 41% · over 2.5 46%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Hull City 52 draws3 Ipswich Town

Goals 16–11 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Hull City 11 draws3 Ipswich Town

Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Ipswich Town 1–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Hull City 0–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 3–3 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Ipswich Town 3–0 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–2 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 2–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–3 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Hull City 2–2 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Ipswich Town 0–1 Hull City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Hull City 3–0 Ipswich Town UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricHull City all · 49Hull City at home · 25Ipswich Town all · 46Ipswich Town away · 23
Results
Matches49254623
Points per game1.631.681.831.48
W / D / L23 / 11 / 1512 / 6 / 723 / 15 / 89 / 7 / 7
Goals for / match1.491.441.741.61
Goals against / match1.351.361.021.30
Clean sheets29%28%37%30%
Failed to score18%24%13%17%
Both teams scored61%60%56%61%
Over 2.561%56%52%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.461.831.59
xG against / match1.661.421.031.22
xG difference-0.290.040.800.36
Finishing vs xG0.12-0.02-0.090.02
xPts / match1.251.411.881.61
Points vs xPts0.380.27-0.06-0.13
Game state
Scored first57%48%54%39%
PPG when scoring first2.182.422.682.78
PPG when conceding first0.881.000.780.58
Came back from behind35%36%60%46%
Leads held72%80%79%75%
Minutes leading30%28%33%21%
Minutes level53%54%50%53%
Minutes trailing17%18%17%26%
First goal (min)32304050
First goal conceded (min)40384035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half45%42%59%76%
Goals conceded in 2nd half52%41%51%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.270.200.500.52
Late goals against0.310.240.130.22
Style
Possession45%47%56%56%
Shots11.111.215.113.7
On target4.13.85.14.5
Shot conversion13%13%12%12%
Shots inside box68%68%67%66%
Big chances created2.22.12.82.2
Corners4.44.25.75.2
xG from set plays21%27%32%36%
Goals from headers14%9%12%19%
Pressure index9.311.018.816.9
Dominant minutes39.846.762.357.8
Pass accuracy72%73%81%80%
Fouls11.210.811.212.0
Cards2.552.081.932.48

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Hull City

0–15'117
16–30'1413
31–45'1512
46–60'910
61–75'119
76–90'1315

Ipswich Town

0–15'124
16–30'56
31–45'1613
46–60'149
61–75'109
76–90'236

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Hull City · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.42) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.424
Early press (0-15, level)-0.574
Late push (76+, level)-0.503

Game state

When ahead-0.363
When level-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.133

Situations

At home-0.452
Away-0.392
4+ days rest-0.424

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.393
As underdog-0.424

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.364
Conceded when ahead+0.583
Conceded late (76+)+0.274

Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level -0.08

Ipswich Town · 4 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: early press (0-15, level) -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.254
Early press (0-15, level)-0.494
Late push (76+, level)-0.762

Game state

When ahead+0.003
When level-0.364
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.444
10 min after scoring+0.143

Situations

At home-0.202
Away-0.302
4+ days rest-0.254

Opposition

v top-tier opponents-0.202
v mid-tier opponents-0.282
As underdog-0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.034
Conceded when ahead-0.363
Conceded late (76+)-0.123

Ahead vs level +0.36 · Behind vs level +0.12

Hull City

Current: unbeaten 8 · winless 2 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-136 74%1.641.611.441.491.76
3-4-2-16 12%1.51.01.171.091.37
3-4-1-22 4%0.51.52.01.251.52
4-4-22 4%3.01.50.51.091.08
4-4-1-11 2%1.02.02.01.420.96

Ipswich Town

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.841.761.021.841.03
4-4-1-11 2%1.01.01.01.271.19

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 20%3.7Draw 25% P 25%1.72Away 55% P 55%

Double Chance

2.05Hull or Draw 23% P 22%1.28Hull or Ipswich 37% P 38%1.18Draw or Ipswich 40% P 40%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 52.5–55% · 176 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%19%24%+5.3
Draw25%27%26%-1.3
Away55%54%50%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 44%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2841
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.01
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.3043
Time added8.27.2+1.1488
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 20 130 45'7
2025-11-04 –– 25– –6
2025-10-21 70 220 10'9
2025-10-04 70 150 5'11
2025-10-01 40 180 17'8
2025-09-20 40 170 55'9
2025-08-30 30 180 18'10
2025-08-16 30 220 13'10
2025-05-25 20 350 16'9
2025-05-03 · Ipswich Town 80 270 28'9