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Championship · Matchweek 17
MillwallMillwall
1–0
FT
Sheffield WednesdaySHF

Momentum

– MillwallSHF –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass
Attendance
13,958

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Henrik Pedersen
Position
9 · 24
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Jacob Miles

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
8.2° (feels 4.7°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
84%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

WDLDL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 6.11–5.14 · xPts 7.41

  • L A Portsmouth 1–3 xG 0.76–1.35 UK CHAMP
  • D H Preston North End 1–1 xG 1.53–0.74 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–4 xG 0.16–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • D A Oxford United 2–2 xG 2.25–0.57 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 1–0 xG 1.41–0.8 UK CHAMP

Sheffield Wednesday

LDDLL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 3 GA 9 · xG 4.76–7.47 · xPts 4.97

  • L H Sheffield United 0–3 xG 0.31–1.94 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 1–3 xG 1.11–1.67 UK CHAMP
  • D H Norwich City 1–1 xG 1.33–1.32 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 0–0 xG 0.35–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • L H Oxford United 1–2 xG 1.65–1.21 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 22 matches since 2005

Millwall 87 draws7 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 31–25 · 2.55 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 59%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Millwall 63 draws1 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 17–6 · 2.3 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Millwall 31 draws1 Sheffield Wednesday

Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Sheffield Wednesday 1–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 2–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 3–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Millwall 0–2 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield Wednesday 0–4 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 4–1 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Millwall 1–0 Sheffield Wednesday UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 48Millwall at home · 24Sheffield Wednesday all · 46Sheffield Wednesday away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.750.390.35
W / D / L24 / 12 / 1213 / 3 / 82 / 12 / 321 / 5 / 17
Goals for / match1.331.380.630.65
Goals against / match1.061.131.931.96
Clean sheets40%46%9%13%
Failed to score21%21%50%48%
Both teams scored48%38%48%48%
Over 2.546%50%52%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.501.630.880.80
xG against / match1.331.152.012.07
xG difference0.180.49-1.13-1.27
Finishing vs xG-0.17-0.26-0.25-0.15
xPts / match1.471.630.730.62
Points vs xPts0.280.12-0.34-0.28
Game state
Scored first52%58%26%17%
PPG when scoring first2.602.571.001.00
PPG when conceding first0.790.560.100.12
Came back from behind43%27%9%10%
Leads held86%87%15%20%
Minutes leading27%34%13%9%
Minutes level56%50%41%37%
Minutes trailing17%16%46%53%
First goal (min)44373840
First goal conceded (min)43443628
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%52%48%53%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%82%55%47%
Late goals for (76'+)0.350.330.070.09
Late goals against0.350.460.430.43
Style
Possession48%50%45%43%
Shots12.913.58.78.0
On target4.24.62.52.5
Shot conversion10%10%7%8%
Shots inside box68%71%68%65%
Big chances created2.32.41.20.9
Corners5.76.24.33.9
xG from set plays33%36%33%29%
Goals from headers16%19%17%7%
Pressure index11.914.86.96.1
Dominant minutes44.449.732.829.2
Pass accuracy70%72%73%72%
Fouls12.610.911.811.9
Cards1.901.381.701.87

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'66
16–30'96
31–45'105
46–60'1112
61–75'115
76–90'1717

Sheffield Wednesday

0–15'516
16–30'79
31–45'315
46–60'713
61–75'416
76–90'320

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

Sheffield Wednesday

No pressure profile yet.

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 83%1.81.41.081.541.27
4-4-24 8%1.750.750.751.480.88
4-4-1-12 4%0.51.01.51.252.23
4-1-4-11 2%1.01.01.01.11.34
4-3-1-21 2%3.02.01.01.073.62

Sheffield Wednesday

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-113 28%0.540.381.540.851.98
3-5-212 26%0.670.751.750.831.9
4-2-3-16 13%0.00.332.330.472.39
5-3-24 9%0.250.52.01.052.15
3-4-34 9%0.250.752.01.051.86

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.65Home 57% P 58%3.75Draw 25% P 25%5.5Away 17% P 17%

Double Chance

1.14Millwall or Draw 41% P 41%1.25Millwall or Sheff Wed 38% P 38%2.2Draw or Sheff Wed 21% P 21%

Draw No Bet

1.221 77%4.02 23%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 46%1.72No 54% P 54%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 46%1.72Under 55% P 54%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56%2.1Under 44%
4.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home58%59%57%-1.5
Draw25%25%28%+3.8
Away17%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes46%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Jacob Miles

Career
10 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
4.2 (3.8 yellow · 0.2 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 3.2 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.1
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 2 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.5 cards, 16.3 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 –– 12– –8
2024-11-30 30 300 47'5