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Championship · Matchweek 17
SouthamptonSouthampton
3–0
FT
Leicester CityLEI

Momentum

– SouthamptonLEI –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
Capacity
32,384
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,921

Teams

Coaches
Tonda Eckert · Martí Cifuentes Corvillo
Position
16 · 10
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
2.4° (feels 2.4°)
Wind
1.0
Humidity
92%

Where to watch · 243

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Southampton

LLWWW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 8.25–7.74 · xPts 6.62

  • W A Charlton Athletic 5–1 xG 3.98–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • W H Sheffield Wednesday 3–1 xG 1.67–1.11 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 0.81–1.58 UK CHAMP
  • L H Preston North End 0–2 xG 0.65–1.91 UK CHAMP
  • L A Blackburn Rovers 1–2 xG 1.15–2.18 UK CHAMP

Leicester City

LLDWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 6.03–5.87 · xPts 7.06

  • W H Stoke City 2–1 xG 1.25–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W A Norwich City 2–1 xG 1.31–0.37 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 1.38–1.39 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–2 xG 1.3–1.73 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–1 xG 0.8–1.41 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 41 matches since 2000

Southampton 169 draws16 Leicester City

Goals 54–65 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 54%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Southampton 50 draws5 Leicester City

Goals 16–23 · 3.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Southampton 30 draws2 Leicester City

Goals 11–9 · 4.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Southampton 2–1 Leicester City aet UK FA Cup · Round 4
  • W Leicester City 3–4 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 3–0 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 2–0 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 2–3 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 5–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 1–4 Leicester City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 1–0 Leicester City UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Leicester City 1–2 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Leicester City 4–1 Southampton UK PL · Regular Season
MetricSouthampton all · 48Southampton at home · 24Leicester City all · 46Leicester City away · 23
Results
Matches48244623
Points per game1.751.961.131.04
W / D / L23 / 15 / 1013 / 8 / 312 / 16 / 185 / 9 / 9
Goals for / match1.751.671.261.17
Goals against / match1.190.831.481.48
Clean sheets25%42%13%13%
Failed to score12%17%20%17%
Both teams scored71%54%72%74%
Over 2.562%54%54%56%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.711.781.281.22
xG against / match1.331.091.471.67
xG difference0.380.69-0.19-0.45
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.11-0.02-0.05
xPts / match1.591.781.261.12
Points vs xPts0.160.18-0.13-0.08
Game state
Scored first52%50%48%35%
PPG when scoring first2.242.671.731.88
PPG when conceding first1.261.330.550.57
Came back from behind54%67%33%40%
Leads held72%81%46%50%
Minutes leading34%36%26%19%
Minutes level49%48%43%45%
Minutes trailing18%16%31%36%
First goal (min)40394051
First goal conceded (min)44403934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%49%48%59%
Goals conceded in 2nd half61%55%50%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.380.250.370.43
Late goals against0.270.170.280.26
Style
Possession56%58%52%50%
Shots14.415.812.912.0
On target5.35.54.24.3
Shot conversion12%11%10%10%
Shots inside box68%66%59%66%
Big chances created2.92.91.71.5
Corners5.86.55.34.4
xG from set plays28%26%34%38%
Goals from headers22%25%12%11%
Pressure index17.921.112.69.9
Dominant minutes59.063.847.141.7
Pass accuracy83%84%80%79%
Fouls10.79.810.810.9
Cards1.881.631.962.17

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Southampton

0–15'135
16–30'178
31–45'79
46–60'1710
61–75'1212
76–90'1713

Leicester City

0–15'1412
16–30'86
31–45'816
46–60'88
61–75'313
76–90'1713

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Leicester City

No pressure profile yet.

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-120 42%2.051.950.951.521.23
3-4-2-117 35%1.181.651.651.951.44
3-4-34 8%1.51.51.51.071.7
5-4-12 4%2.01.50.02.420.33
4-2-2-22 4%2.02.01.52.560.86

Leicester City

Current: unbeaten 3 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-145 98%1.131.271.491.291.48
4-3-31 2%1.01.01.00.851.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.85Home 51% P 51%3.6Draw 26% P 26%4.0Away 23% P 23%

Double Chance

1.22Southampton or Draw 39% P 39%1.28Southampton or Leicester 37% P 37%1.9Draw or Leicester 25% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 55%2.0No 46% P 45%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home51%51%53%+2.3
Draw26%25%23%-2.6
Away23%23%24%+0.3

In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes55%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Gavin Ward

Career
292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4029
Fouls / match20.821.8-1.02
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2445
Time added7.27.2-0.0247
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-22 40 231 39'13
2025-11-04 –– 15– –6
2025-10-21 20 170 50'8
2025-10-04 40 261 46'7
2025-09-30 20 210 65'8
2025-09-13 80 190 34'12
2025-08-30 20 150 52'5
2025-08-16 · Leicester City 20 180 74'7
2025-04-21 30 220 10'8
2025-04-09 40 170 37'2