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Championship · Matchweek 17
Stoke CityStoke City
3–0
FT
Charlton AthleticCHA

Momentum

– Stoke CityCHA –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,105

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Nathan Jones
Position
3 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-1-4-2

Referee

Tom Nield

Weather

Conditions
few clouds
Temperature
-1.0° (feels -3.5°)
Wind
1.9
Humidity
75%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 4 · xG 7.55–7.19 · xPts 6.95

  • L A Leicester City 1–2 xG 0.96–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–1 xG 1.09–1.43 UK CHAMP
  • W A Oxford United 3–0 xG 2.49–1.76 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 5–1 xG 2.04–1.1 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 1–0 xG 0.96–1.65 UK CHAMP

Charlton Athletic

DDWLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 5.63–9.46 · xPts 5.52

  • L H Southampton 1–5 xG 0.95–3.98 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–1 xG 0.41–2.54 UK CHAMP
  • W H West Bromwich Albion 1–0 xG 1.22–0.95 UK CHAMP
  • D H Swansea City 1–1 xG 1.43–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • D A Hull City 1–1 xG 1.63–1.18 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 7 matches since 2007

Stoke City 40 draws3 Charlton Athletic

Goals 13–7 · 2.86 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 71%

Last 10 · 7 matches

Stoke City 40 draws3 Charlton Athletic

Goals 13–7 · 2.86 per match · BTTS 43% · over 2.5 71%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 30 draws2 Charlton Athletic

Goals 11–5 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Stoke City 4–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 3–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 3–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–0 Stoke City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 46Stoke City at home · 23Charlton Athletic all · 46Charlton Athletic away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.431.150.96
W / D / L15 / 10 / 219 / 6 / 813 / 14 / 194 / 10 / 9
Goals for / match1.111.480.960.91
Goals against / match1.221.221.261.39
Clean sheets28%26%28%22%
Failed to score37%22%22%26%
Both teams scored44%61%54%56%
Over 2.544%56%39%35%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.241.441.151.03
xG against / match1.431.191.551.76
xG difference-0.190.26-0.40-0.72
Finishing vs xG-0.130.03-0.19-0.12
xPts / match1.281.551.191.00
Points vs xPts-0.08-0.12-0.03-0.04
Game state
Scored first44%52%48%39%
PPG when scoring first2.252.172.051.78
PPG when conceding first0.270.560.270.38
Came back from behind22%38%24%36%
Leads held71%69%59%44%
Minutes leading24%31%16%14%
Minutes level50%48%56%61%
Minutes trailing27%21%28%26%
First goal (min)37345661
First goal conceded (min)44474350
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half55%50%66%71%
Goals conceded in 2nd half62%75%53%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.150.260.260.22
Late goals against0.350.350.330.61
Style
Possession52%53%42%40%
Shots11.212.711.09.2
On target3.84.73.53.0
Shot conversion10%12%9%10%
Shots inside box65%67%68%68%
Big chances created1.82.11.91.7
Corners6.06.44.13.2
xG from set plays28%34%39%44%
Goals from headers16%15%19%20%
Pressure index13.316.37.04.7
Dominant minutes52.757.334.427.4
Pass accuracy78%79%70%69%
Fouls10.410.612.012.7
Cards2.302.262.202.09

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'88
16–30'55
31–45'108
46–60'1314
61–75'85
76–90'716

Charlton Athletic

0–15'28
16–30'58
31–45'811
46–60'78
61–75'108
76–90'1215

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.037
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.172
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.373
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-141 89%1.241.11.151.21.34
3-4-2-13 6%1.331.331.331.762.14
4-4-22 4%0.01.02.51.292.17

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-1-4-214 30%0.860.861.641.081.41
3-5-210 22%1.10.91.01.031.55
3-4-2-16 13%0.830.831.51.421.54
3-4-1-25 11%1.00.61.01.021.72
4-2-3-13 6%1.331.01.331.261.01

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.9Home 50% P 50%3.5Draw 27% P 28%4.2Away 23% P 22%

Double Chance

1.22Stoke or Draw 39% P 39%1.28Stoke or Charlton 37% P 36%1.9Draw or Charlton 25% P 25%

Draw No Bet

1.331 71%3.252 29%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49% P 48%1.8No 51% P 52%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.66Over 56% P 54%2.1Under 44% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home50%51%55%+3.6
Draw28%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 47.5–50% · 2,898 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes48%49%49%+0.0

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Tom Nield

Career
79 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.114.05+0.1057
Fouls / match23.321.8+1.25
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.140.17-0.4520
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
37' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 40 200 62'11
2025-11-01 10 210 23'7
2025-10-18 50 250 18'4
2025-09-27 60 250 8'8
2025-09-13 20 280 7'7
2025-08-23 60 370 12'6
2025-08-16 90 270 27'10
2025-04-12 10 310 88'2
2025-04-05 50 290 59'13
2025-03-08 71 230 12'6