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Championship · Matchweek 17
Blackburn RoversBBR
0–1
FT
Queens Park RangersQPR

Momentum

– BBRQPR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
11,122

Teams

Coaches
Valérien Ismaël · Julien Stéphan
Position
18 · 16
Formation
3-4-1-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Adam Herczeg

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
6.5° (feels 5.9°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
95%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

WWWLW 4W 0D 1L · 12 pts (2.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 7.83–5.99 · xPts 8.24

  • W A Preston North End 2–1 xG 1.4–2.18 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 1–2 xG 1.15–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bristol City 1–0 xG 1.37–0.58 UK CHAMP
  • W A Leicester City 2–0 xG 1.73–1.3 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 2–1 xG 2.18–1.15 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

LLLDW 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 7.54–7.17 · xPts 6.77

  • W H Hull City 3–2 xG 3.41–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 0–0 xG 0.74–1.88 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 1.58–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 1–4 xG 1.51–1.48 UK CHAMP
  • L A Derby County 0–1 xG 0.29–1.6 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2006

Blackburn Rovers 165 draws7 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 44–26 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 60 draws4 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 17–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 20 draws3 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–4 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 46Blackburn Rovers at home · 23Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.130.911.261.09
W / D / L13 / 13 / 204 / 9 / 1016 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match0.910.831.330.91
Goals against / match1.221.171.591.57
Clean sheets26%22%22%26%
Failed to score35%30%28%39%
Both teams scored48%56%63%52%
Over 2.539%30%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.201.261.300.98
xG against / match1.301.151.331.45
xG difference-0.100.11-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG-0.28-0.430.02-0.07
xPts / match1.321.461.371.07
Points vs xPts-0.19-0.54-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first46%39%33%17%
PPG when scoring first1.761.222.473.00
PPG when conceding first0.520.670.600.60
Came back from behind26%38%26%33%
Leads held56%40%84%100%
Minutes leading21%14%20%10%
Minutes level55%61%46%48%
Minutes trailing24%24%34%42%
First goal (min)44514550
First goal conceded (min)49533423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half48%58%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%52%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.220.350.390.26
Late goals against0.390.430.260.04
Style
Possession48%48%46%45%
Shots11.511.612.711.1
On target3.23.24.13.2
Shot conversion8%7%10%8%
Shots inside box67%69%63%63%
Big chances created2.01.71.81.2
Corners5.35.84.84.3
xG from set plays27%30%31%34%
Goals from headers27%26%17%20%
Pressure index10.110.711.77.9
Dominant minutes44.645.846.738.9
Pass accuracy74%73%76%76%
Fouls10.59.811.010.8
Cards2.172.001.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'54
16–30'67
31–45'1112
46–60'69
61–75'46
76–90'1018

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-1-217 37%1.060.941.291.311.11
4-2-3-113 28%1.080.921.231.131.34
3-4-2-112 26%1.170.831.081.151.35
3-5-22 4%1.51.51.01.062.12
5-3-21 2%3.01.00.01.330.18

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.25Home 42% P 41%3.4Draw 28% P 27%3.2Away 30% P 31%

Double Chance

1.36Blackburn or Draw 35% P 34%1.3Blackburn or QPR 36% P 37%1.61Draw or QPR 29% P 29%

Draw No Bet

1.611 58%2.22 42%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 53%2.0No 46% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%41%-0.1
Draw27%28%26%-1.9
Away31%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.547%46%45%-1.2

Adam Herczeg

Career
41 matches · 6 seasons
Cards / match
3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.12
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.914.05-0.2643
Fouls / match22.321.8+0.38
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.22 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4222
Time added7.97.2+0.7874
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-04 71 291 49'9
2025-10-25 40 250 45'8
2025-10-18 · Queens Park Rangers 60 190 33'12
2025-10-04 20 120 45'11
2025-09-30 70 331 36'8
2025-08-23 · Queens Park Rangers 30 230 28'7
2025-08-09 50 200 35'7
2025-03-15 · Blackburn Rovers 10 250 13'9
2025-03-08 · Queens Park Rangers 81 271 33'11
2025-02-15 40 140 47'5