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Championship · Matchweek 17

Momentum

Norwich CityOXF
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Carrow Road, Norwich
Capacity
27,244
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,922

Teams

Coaches
Philippe Clement · Gary Rowett
Position
23 · 21
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tom Reeves

Weather

Conditions
scattered clouds
Temperature
3.4° (feels 0.9°)
Wind
2.6
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Norwich City

LLDLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 6.71–7.89 · xPts 6.1

  • L A Birmingham City 1–4 xG 1.77–2.78 UK CHAMP
  • L H Leicester City 1–2 xG 0.37–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 1.32–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–2 xG 2.28–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 1–2 xG 0.97–0.64 UK CHAMP

Oxford United

WDLLD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 5.07–9.5 · xPts 4.2

  • D H Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.74–0.91 UK CHAMP
  • L A West Bromwich Albion 1–2 xG 0.79–2.21 UK CHAMP
  • L H Stoke City 0–3 xG 1.76–2.49 UK CHAMP
  • D H Millwall 2–2 xG 0.57–2.25 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield Wednesday 2–1 xG 1.21–1.65 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 4 matches since 2024

Norwich City 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 5–4 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 10 · 4 matches

Norwich City 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 5–4 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Last 5 · 4 matches

Norwich City 12 draws1 Oxford United

Goals 5–4 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 25%

Recent meetings

  • W Oxford United 0–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Oxford United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Oxford United 2–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricNorwich City all · 46Norwich City at home · 23Oxford United all · 46Oxford United away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.411.301.020.78
W / D / L19 / 8 / 199 / 3 / 1111 / 14 / 214 / 6 / 13
Goals for / match1.371.170.980.91
Goals against / match1.221.221.281.39
Clean sheets20%17%17%13%
Failed to score20%26%41%44%
Both teams scored61%56%52%56%
Over 2.548%44%46%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.411.170.99
xG against / match1.461.271.431.68
xG difference-0.100.14-0.25-0.70
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.24-0.20-0.07
xPts / match1.351.461.210.95
Points vs xPts0.06-0.16-0.19-0.17
Game state
Scored first52%48%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.082.092.061.63
PPG when conceding first0.680.580.220.17
Came back from behind27%21%19%13%
Leads held68%69%58%44%
Minutes leading28%24%21%19%
Minutes level48%53%47%47%
Minutes trailing24%24%32%34%
First goal (min)42492829
First goal conceded (min)46503538
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%59%38%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%64%41%41%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.220.150.13
Late goals against0.300.300.150.26
Style
Possession54%56%40%38%
Shots12.613.711.99.8
On target4.54.53.42.6
Shot conversion11%9%8%9%
Shots inside box64%62%54%53%
Big chances created2.32.51.61.6
Corners5.35.74.03.4
xG from set plays25%27%40%33%
Goals from headers10%8%16%19%
Pressure index12.514.16.43.8
Dominant minutes53.258.833.723.1
Pass accuracy79%80%69%70%
Fouls10.210.010.811.0
Cards1.931.571.672.04

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Oxford United

0–15'1013
16–30'108
31–45'814
46–60'511
61–75'56
76–90'77

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.082
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Oxford United

No pressure profile yet.

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Oxford United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 4

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-127 59%1.070.931.191.31.37
4-4-26 13%0.831.331.51.331.73
5-4-14 9%1.01.01.50.841.78
3-4-2-14 9%1.00.751.50.781.22
4-1-4-13 6%1.331.01.00.881.11

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.8Home 53% P 52%3.6Draw 26% P 26%4.5Away 21% P 22%

Double Chance

1.18Norwich or Draw 40% P 39%1.28Norwich or Oxford Utd 36% P 37%1.95Draw or Oxford Utd 24% P 24%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54% P 52%2.0No 46% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 49%2.0Under 47% P 51%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.9Over 49%1.8Under 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home52%51%55%+3.6
Draw26%27%26%-1.4
Away22%21%19%-2.1

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Tom Reeves

Career
26 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.04 (3.0 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
18.8 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
56%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2839
Fouls / match21.221.8-0.59
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.3169
Time added8.17.2+1.0186
First card
36' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 42% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-10-18 31 210 7'9
2025-01-10 30 180 63'7
2024-11-30 30 290 33'1