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Championship · Matchweek 17
West Bromwich AlbionWBA
1–1
FT
Birmingham CityBRC

Momentum

– WBABRC –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Capacity
26,445
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,282

Teams

Coaches
Ryan Mason · Chris Davies
Position
17 · 10
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Kirk

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
8.0° (feels 5.5°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
96%

Where to watch · 255

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

West Bromwich Albion

LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 6.52–7.02 · xPts 6.78

  • L A Coventry City 2–3 xG 1.59–2.84 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 2–1 xG 2.21–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.95–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • D H Sheffield Wednesday 0–0 xG 1.33–0.35 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–1 xG 0.44–1.81 UK CHAMP

Birmingham City

LWWLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 13 GA 4 · xG 9.94–3.16 · xPts 10.98

  • W H Norwich City 4–1 xG 2.78–1.77 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 1.33–0.66 UK CHAMP
  • W H Millwall 4–0 xG 1.69–0.16 UK CHAMP
  • W H Portsmouth 4–0 xG 3.31–0.28 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 0–1 xG 0.83–0.29 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 23 matches since 2002

West Bromwich Albion 87 draws8 Birmingham City

Goals 28–31 · 2.57 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

West Bromwich Albion 33 draws4 Birmingham City

Goals 9–12 · 2.1 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

West Bromwich Albion 12 draws2 Birmingham City

Goals 3–6 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 20%

Recent meetings

  • D Birmingham City 0–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 3–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 2–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Bromwich Albion 2–3 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 2–3 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWest Bromwich Albion all · 46West Bromwich Albion at home · 23Birmingham City all · 46Birmingham City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.151.481.390.87
W / D / L13 / 14 / 198 / 10 / 517 / 13 / 165 / 5 / 13
Goals for / match1.041.221.240.78
Goals against / match1.261.091.221.48
Clean sheets30%35%22%13%
Failed to score33%30%24%39%
Both teams scored50%52%56%48%
Over 2.546%44%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.441.671.491.07
xG against / match1.050.781.141.27
xG difference0.390.890.35-0.21
Finishing vs xG-0.40-0.45-0.25-0.28
xPts / match1.621.951.571.23
Points vs xPts-0.47-0.48-0.18-0.36
Game state
Scored first41%52%50%22%
PPG when scoring first2.052.002.352.40
PPG when conceding first0.380.860.410.44
Came back from behind17%29%33%32%
Leads held62%57%71%83%
Minutes leading25%32%28%11%
Minutes level50%52%42%38%
Minutes trailing25%16%31%51%
First goal (min)42383952
First goal conceded (min)45503527
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half52%54%49%61%
Goals conceded in 2nd half53%64%39%32%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.170.240.30
Late goals against0.260.300.150.13
Style
Possession52%54%54%52%
Shots13.415.213.69.9
On target4.14.74.12.6
Shot conversion8%8%9%8%
Shots inside box65%63%64%67%
Big chances created2.12.42.41.8
Corners5.26.15.85.0
xG from set plays36%41%30%33%
Goals from headers26%22%21%17%
Pressure index13.416.314.410.4
Dominant minutes52.957.354.344.6
Pass accuracy80%81%77%77%
Fouls10.210.111.712.3
Cards1.831.612.112.22

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'66
16–30'89
31–45'912
46–60'511
61–75'88
76–90'1212

Birmingham City

0–15'1010
16–30'1112
31–45'812
46–60'98
61–75'87
76–90'117

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.22

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-124 52%1.251.171.291.480.98
4-4-217 37%1.291.00.821.521.08
3-4-2-13 6%0.00.03.00.861.62
5-4-12 4%0.51.52.01.180.75

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-140 87%1.381.331.281.541.16
4-4-1-12 4%1.51.01.51.730.5
4-4-22 4%1.50.50.51.160.61
3-4-31 2%0.00.01.00.251.91
4-1-4-11 2%3.01.00.00.831.5

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 33% P 33%3.1Draw 30% P 30%2.55Away 37% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5West Brom or Draw 32% P 32%1.36West Brom or Birmingham 35% P 35%1.4Draw or Birmingham 34% P 34%

Draw No Bet

1.91 49%1.82 51%

Both Teams To Score

2.0Yes 46% P 47%1.72No 54% P 53%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.37Over 40% P 40%1.57Under 60% P 60%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

4.51.83Over 50%1.83Under 50%
5.52.2Over 42%1.61Under 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 692 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%34%34%+0.6
Draw30%30%27%-2.5
Away37%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 45–47.5% · 2,102 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes47%46%47%+0.3

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 37.5–40% · 1,310 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.540%39%39%+0.7

Thomas Kirk

Career
51 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.55 (4.39 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
22.1 · 4.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.26
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.444.05+0.7074
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.11
Fouls per card4.95.4-0.97 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.210.17+0.3974
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
35' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 40 171 14'7
2025-10-25 50 230 35'9
2025-10-22 40 120 72'9
2025-10-05 40 240 38'7
2025-10-04 30 211 71'8
2025-09-27 · Birmingham City 51 230 34'12
2025-09-13 40 200 8'10
2025-08-30 40 230 64'13
2025-08-16 40 270 16'12
2025-04-18 40 231 31'11