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Championship · Matchweek 17
WrexhamWrexham
2–0
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– WrexhamBristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
17

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,540

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Gerhard Struber
Position
15 · 6
Formation
3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
7.5° (feels 4.9°)
Wind
4.1
Humidity
94%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

DWDWD 2W 3D 0L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 3 · xG 5.01–6.14 · xPts 5.67

  • D A Ipswich Town 0–0 xG 0.06–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • W H Charlton Athletic 1–0 xG 2.54–0.41 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 0–0 xG 0.54–1.81 UK CHAMP
  • W H Coventry City 3–2 xG 1.35–1.48 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 1–1 xG 0.52–0.93 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

WLLDW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 4.56–6.45 · xPts 5.22

  • W H Swansea City 3–0 xG 1.96–1.12 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.63–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 0.58–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 1–5 xG 1.1–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • W H Birmingham City 1–0 xG 0.29–0.83 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2025

Wrexham 11 draws0 Bristol City

Goals 4–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Wrexham 11 draws0 Bristol City

Goals 4–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Wrexham 11 draws0 Bristol City

Goals 4–2 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • D Bristol City 2–2 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Wrexham 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 46Wrexham at home · 23Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.541.611.351.35
W / D / L19 / 14 / 1310 / 7 / 617 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.501.781.281.13
Goals against / match1.411.611.281.22
Clean sheets26%22%30%26%
Failed to score13%4%33%35%
Both teams scored65%74%46%52%
Over 2.550%56%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.221.541.181.16
xG against / match1.481.281.481.46
xG difference-0.260.26-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG0.280.240.10-0.03
xPts / match1.221.541.201.19
Points vs xPts0.320.070.150.16
Game state
Scored first52%56%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.082.232.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.950.800.670.67
Came back from behind46%50%31%33%
Leads held63%62%77%80%
Minutes leading31%30%30%28%
Minutes level46%43%41%43%
Minutes trailing23%26%29%29%
First goal (min)37383236
First goal conceded (min)40373029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%49%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%51%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.370.480.240.13
Late goals against0.410.350.240.17
Style
Possession48%51%49%46%
Shots11.314.112.211.7
On target3.84.84.14.2
Shot conversion13%13%10%10%
Shots inside box66%68%60%62%
Big chances created2.32.81.91.9
Corners4.55.24.85.0
xG from set plays32%36%24%29%
Goals from headers29%38%21%20%
Pressure index10.113.111.99.3
Dominant minutes41.951.343.939.0
Pass accuracy78%80%78%76%
Fouls9.78.89.510.3
Cards1.591.261.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'98
16–30'119
31–45'1212
46–60'138
61–75'79
76–90'1719

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Bristol City · 8 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.378
Early press (0-15, level)+0.568
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.105
When level+0.478
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.087
10 min after scoring+0.496

Situations

At home+0.154
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.423
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.244
As favourite+0.193
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.148
Conceded when ahead-0.285
Conceded late (76+)-0.408

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level +0.04

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-123 50%1.611.571.391.171.25
3-5-28 17%0.50.881.880.962.43
3-5-1-16 13%1.51.171.51.641.12
3-4-1-23 6%1.671.331.01.341.59
3-1-4-23 6%2.332.00.670.91.43

Bristol City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
3-4-31 2%1.00.00.00.351.13

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.5Home 37% P 38%3.2Draw 29% P 29%2.8Away 33% P 33%

Double Chance

1.44Wrexham or Draw 33% P 34%1.33Wrexham or Bristol City 36% P 36%1.5Draw or Bristol City 32% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 52%1.9No 49% P 48%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58%2.2Under 42%
4.52.1Over 44%1.66Under 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 572 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.4
Draw29%28%28%+0.1
Away33%34%33%-0.5

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Both teams to score · yes 50–52.5% · 3,449 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes52%51%51%-0.6

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.545%46%45%-1.2

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4098
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.66
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3335
Time added7.57.2+0.3259
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 40 240 34'8
2025-11-01 60 250 50'10
2025-10-18 111 211 16'12
2025-10-04 30 140 36'6
2025-10-01 40 230 74'6
2025-09-20 50 150 17'7
2025-09-13 30 180 59'8
2025-08-30 30 230 49'4
2025-04-12 90 311 6'3
2025-03-29 40 220 8'8