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Championship · Matchweek 18
Norwich CityNorwich City
3–1
FT
Queens Park RangersQPR

Momentum

– Norwich CityQPR –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Carrow Road, Norwich
Capacity
27,244
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,571

Teams

Coaches
Philippe Clement · Julien Stéphan
Position
23 · 12
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Lewis Smith

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
7.8° (feels 3.9°)
Wind
7.7
Humidity
91%

Where to watch · 177

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Norwich City

LDLLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 4 GA 10 · xG 7.27–8.18 · xPts 6.29

  • D H Oxford United 1–1 xG 1.53–0.93 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 1–4 xG 1.77–2.78 UK CHAMP
  • L H Leicester City 1–2 xG 0.37–1.31 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 1.32–1.33 UK CHAMP
  • L H Hull City 0–2 xG 2.28–1.83 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

LLDWW 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 8 · xG 8.66–6.47 · xPts 8.09

  • W A Blackburn Rovers 1–0 xG 1.41–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 3–2 xG 3.41–1.41 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 0–0 xG 0.74–1.88 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 1.58–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 1–4 xG 1.51–1.48 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 30 matches since 2005

Norwich City 159 draws6 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 44–30 · 2.47 per match · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Norwich City 45 draws1 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 14–11 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Norwich City 22 draws1 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 3–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 3–0 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 2–2 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Norwich City 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Norwich City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Norwich City 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricNorwich City all · 46Norwich City at home · 23Queens Park Rangers all · 46Queens Park Rangers away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.411.301.261.09
W / D / L19 / 8 / 199 / 3 / 1116 / 10 / 206 / 7 / 10
Goals for / match1.371.171.330.91
Goals against / match1.221.221.591.57
Clean sheets20%17%22%26%
Failed to score20%26%28%39%
Both teams scored61%56%63%52%
Over 2.548%44%63%48%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.351.411.300.98
xG against / match1.461.271.331.45
xG difference-0.100.14-0.03-0.47
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.240.02-0.07
xPts / match1.351.461.371.07
Points vs xPts0.06-0.16-0.110.02
Game state
Scored first52%48%33%17%
PPG when scoring first2.082.092.473.00
PPG when conceding first0.680.580.600.60
Came back from behind27%21%26%33%
Leads held68%69%84%100%
Minutes leading28%24%20%10%
Minutes level48%53%46%48%
Minutes trailing24%24%34%42%
First goal (min)42494550
First goal conceded (min)46503423
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%59%57%62%
Goals conceded in 2nd half59%64%48%28%
Late goals for (76'+)0.260.220.390.26
Late goals against0.300.300.260.04
Style
Possession54%56%46%45%
Shots12.613.712.711.1
On target4.54.54.13.2
Shot conversion11%9%10%8%
Shots inside box64%62%63%63%
Big chances created2.32.51.81.2
Corners5.35.74.84.3
xG from set plays25%27%31%34%
Goals from headers10%8%17%20%
Pressure index12.514.111.77.9
Dominant minutes53.258.846.738.9
Pass accuracy79%80%76%76%
Fouls10.210.011.010.8
Cards1.931.571.911.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Norwich City

0–15'78
16–30'87
31–45'128
46–60'913
61–75'156
76–90'1214

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'712
16–30'711
31–45'1215
46–60'716
61–75'107
76–90'1812

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Norwich City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.66

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.364

Game state

When ahead+0.124
When level-0.147
When behind-0.054
10 min after conceding-0.277
10 min after scoring+0.665

Situations

At home-0.213
Away+0.114
3 days rest or fewer+0.082
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.142
As favourite-0.144
Evenly matched+0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.027
Conceded when ahead-0.134
Conceded late (76+)-0.146

Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level +0.27 · Behind vs level +0.10

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Norwich City

Current: winless 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 14

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-138 83%1.451.391.181.291.43
3-4-2-15 11%1.41.41.21.551.6
3-4-32 4%0.01.02.51.911.56
3-2-4-11 2%3.01.00.01.861.51

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-223 50%1.131.391.71.281.42
4-2-3-123 50%1.391.261.481.321.24

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.5Home 38% P 38%3.5Draw 27% P 26%2.7Away 35% P 35%

Double Chance

1.44Norwich or Draw 32% P 32%1.28Norwich or QPR 36% P 37%1.5Draw or QPR 31% P 31%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56% P 57%2.1No 44% P 43%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 53%1.9Under 50% P 47%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54%2.0Under 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 35–37.5% · 153 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%38%42%+3.4
Draw26%26%20%-5.4
Away35%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 3.3 goals a game · BTTS 68% · over 2.5 65%

Both teams to score · yes 55–57.5% · 2,581 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes57%56%57%+1.1

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Lewis Smith

Career
75 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.21
Cards to home side
45%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2839
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.98
Fouls per card5.65.4+0.11 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2843
Time added8.27.2+1.1388
First card
34' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-25 40 220 22'7
2025-11-08 · Queens Park Rangers 20 130 45'7
2025-11-04 –– 25– –6
2025-10-21 70 220 10'9
2025-10-04 70 150 5'11
2025-10-01 40 180 17'8
2025-09-20 40 170 55'9
2025-08-30 30 180 18'10
2025-08-16 30 220 13'10
2025-05-25 20 350 16'9