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Championship · Matchweek 18
PortsmouthPortsmouth
0–1
FT
Bristol CityBristol City

Momentum

– PortsmouthBristol City –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
18

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,388

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Gerhard Struber
Position
21 · 7
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-1-2

Referee

Samuel Allison

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
9.6° (feels 7.5°)
Wind
4.0
Humidity
83%

Where to watch · 178

2025/2026

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 Coventry City 4628117 974552 95 DDWWW
2 Ipswich Town 4623158 804733 84 DWDDW
3 Millwall 46241111 644915 83 DWWDW
4 Southampton 46221410 825626 80 WWDDW
5 Middlesbrough 46221410 724725 80 LDWWD
6 Hull City 46211015 70664 73 LDDLW
7 Wrexham 46191413 69654 71 LWWLD
8 Derby County 4620917 67598 69 LWLWL
9 Norwich City 4619819 63567 65 LWWDL
10 Birmingham City 46171316 57561 64 WDWWD
11 Swansea City 46181018 5759-2 64 WLWDW
12 Bristol City 46171118 59590 62 DLDLW
13 Sheffield United 4618622 66660 60 WWLLW
14 Preston North End 46151516 5562-7 60 WLLWL
15 Queens Park Rangers 46161020 6173-12 58 DLLLL
16 Watford 46141517 5365-12 57 LLLLL
17 Stoke City 46151021 5156-5 55 DLLLL
18 Portsmouth 46141319 4964-15 55 WWLWD
19 Charlton Athletic 46131419 4458-14 53 LDLWL
20 Blackburn Rovers 46131320 4256-14 52 DLDWL
21 West Bromwich Albion (-2) 46131419 4858-10 51 DWWDL
22 Oxford United 46111421 4559-14 47 WLLWL
23 Leicester City (-6) 46121618 5868-10 46 LLDDW
24 Sheffield Wednesday (-18) 4621232 2989-60 0 DDLLW
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 4.65–9.72 · xPts 5.06

  • L A Sheffield United 0–3 xG 0.09–3.09 UK CHAMP
  • W H Millwall 3–1 xG 1.35–0.76 UK CHAMP
  • L A Hull City 2–3 xG 1.12–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 0–0 xG 1.81–0.54 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 0–4 xG 0.28–3.31 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

LLDWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 9 · xG 5.41–6.49 · xPts 6.01

  • L A Wrexham 0–2 xG 1.14–0.87 UK CHAMP
  • W H Swansea City 3–0 xG 1.96–1.12 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 0.63–1.08 UK CHAMP
  • L H Blackburn Rovers 0–1 xG 0.58–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 1–5 xG 1.1–2.04 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2009

Portsmouth 33 draws6 Bristol City

Goals 11–16 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Portsmouth 22 draws6 Bristol City

Goals 9–16 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 10 draws4 Bristol City

Goals 4–11 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 5–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 3–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 3–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • D Portsmouth 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 0–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 3–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPortsmouth all · 46Portsmouth at home · 23Bristol City all · 46Bristol City away · 23
Results
Matches46234623
Points per game1.201.301.351.35
W / D / L14 / 13 / 198 / 6 / 917 / 11 / 188 / 7 / 8
Goals for / match1.071.091.281.13
Goals against / match1.391.001.281.22
Clean sheets22%26%30%26%
Failed to score28%30%33%35%
Both teams scored54%48%46%52%
Over 2.544%39%46%44%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.181.461.181.16
xG against / match1.241.121.481.46
xG difference-0.060.34-0.29-0.31
Finishing vs xG-0.11-0.370.10-0.03
xPts / match1.361.601.201.19
Points vs xPts-0.16-0.300.150.16
Game state
Scored first46%48%39%35%
PPG when scoring first2.192.272.332.50
PPG when conceding first0.300.360.670.67
Came back from behind27%31%31%33%
Leads held64%67%77%80%
Minutes leading18%23%30%28%
Minutes level51%51%41%43%
Minutes trailing31%27%29%29%
First goal (min)50453236
First goal conceded (min)41453029
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half61%56%46%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half55%56%44%39%
Late goals for (76'+)0.280.350.240.13
Late goals against0.280.130.240.17
Style
Possession50%54%49%46%
Shots12.215.412.211.7
On target3.74.44.14.2
Shot conversion9%7%10%10%
Shots inside box65%67%60%62%
Big chances created1.61.81.91.9
Corners5.66.34.85.0
xG from set plays40%41%24%29%
Goals from headers16%20%21%20%
Pressure index11.714.811.99.3
Dominant minutes49.757.043.939.0
Pass accuracy74%74%78%76%
Fouls10.29.89.510.3
Cards1.931.741.832.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'59
16–30'512
31–45'98
46–60'814
61–75'98
76–90'1313

Bristol City

0–15'911
16–30'1115
31–45'127
46–60'115
61–75'510
76–90'1111

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-143 94%1.261.091.31.181.23
3-4-2-12 4%0.51.01.51.461.28
3-4-31 2%0.00.05.00.341.67

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-125 54%1.481.441.41.161.42
4-2-3-18 17%1.131.251.380.971.51
3-5-25 11%0.81.01.01.521.38
3-4-1-24 9%1.00.751.51.481.44
4-3-2-11 2%3.02.01.02.461.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 35%3.4Draw 28% P 29%2.6Away 37% P 36%

Double Chance

1.5Portsmouth or Draw 31% P 32%1.3Portsmouth or Bristol City 36% P 36%1.44Draw or Bristol City 33% P 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51% P 53%1.9No 49% P 47%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 46%1.8Under 53% P 54%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 52%2.0Under 46% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 35–37.5% · 691 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%34%34%+0.5
Draw29%30%27%-2.5
Away36%36%38%+2.0

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Both teams to score · yes 52.5–55% · 3,040 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Yes53%54%54%-0.2

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Samuel Allison

Career
80 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.88 (3.8 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
22.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
49%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 64 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4029
Fouls / match22.121.8+0.25
Fouls per card5.95.4+0.47 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.110.17-0.9710
Time added7.37.2+0.1053
First card
33' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2025-11-08 20 220 30'11
2025-11-01 40 260 63'9
2025-10-18 20 220 18'6
2025-10-01 50 170 28'8
2025-04-21 · Portsmouth 71 250 27'13
2025-04-08 10 230 45'2
2025-03-29 30 220 4'5
2025-03-14 · Bristol City 50 210 34'5
2025-03-11 30 140 28'4
2025-03-01 · Portsmouth 60 240 5'8